Re: HURRICANE MATTHEW

by **WeatherBob** Sat Oct 01, 2016 12:52 am

That coastal front that the GFS portrays is very eerily similar to Floyd and Irene.

by **jmanley32** Sat Oct 01, 2016 12:54 am

Frank_Wx wrote:

Thats not at landfall, thats well before.

by **Frank_Wx** Sat Oct 01, 2016 12:55 am

jmanley32 wrote:
Frank_Wx wrote:
Thats not at landfall, thats well before.

I know

btw, where do you find Hi Res on Tropical Tid?

by **jmanley32** Sat Oct 01, 2016 12:56 am

Okay I see still loading, wow 40kt 925 winds into NYC already well ahead of the storm at 168. With the rain already coming in I think a lot of that could be mixed down, peculation of course.

by **jmanley32** Sat Oct 01, 2016 12:57 am

Frank_Wx wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:
Frank_Wx wrote:
Thats not at landfall, thats well before.

I know

btw, where do you find Hi Res on Tropical Tid?

Go to full atlantic view, GFS, lower level and choose surface pressure.

by **jmanley32** Sat Oct 01, 2016 12:59 am

These winds are going to be huge for most of the area Frank I think already pushing 60kts sustained. These are not gists from way I read it.

by **Frank_Wx** Sat Oct 01, 2016 1:01 am

925mb valid early next Saturday morning

by **Frank_Wx** Sat Oct 01, 2016 1:02 am

by **Frank_Wx** Sat Oct 01, 2016 1:04 am

GFS from carolinas to northeast almost resembled Donna

by **Joe Snow** Sat Oct 01, 2016 1:07 am

Frank_Wx wrote:

100 + MPH wind for Long Island, I need to get a kite will be awesome!!!! affraid

by **Frank_Wx** Sat Oct 01, 2016 1:07 am

by **WeatherBob** Sat Oct 01, 2016 1:08 am

Can anyone post the tracks of Floyd and Irene?

by **Frank_Wx** Sat Oct 01, 2016 1:09 am

Wow, 00z GEFS. That is saying something.

HURRICANE MATTHEW - Page 30 GFS-ENS_MSLPThickQPF_na_f180

by **SoulSingMG** Sat Oct 01, 2016 1:09 am

Frank_Wx wrote:

I wonder what kind of surge Nyc metro experiences with a track like this...

by **Joe Snow** Sat Oct 01, 2016 1:10 am

1 KNT = 1.151 MPH

by **Snow88** Sat Oct 01, 2016 1:10 am

0z GEFS is West Surprised

http://www.stormvistawxmodels.com/img/gfs-ens/current/00z/GFS-ENS_MSLPThickQPF_na_f180.png

by **Frank_Wx** Sat Oct 01, 2016 1:10 am

by **WeatherBob** Sat Oct 01, 2016 1:12 am

The surge will be dependent on how long the east and NE winds last before switching to the NW. Will have to see how many high tide cycles will be affected by the strongest east and NE winds.

by **Frank_Wx** Sat Oct 01, 2016 1:12 am

Frank Sinatra: "come fly with me, let's fly let's fly away" pic.twitter.com/mEOS7ySp49
— Francesco Paparatto (@nj_strong_wx) October 1, 2016

by **Frank_Wx** Sat Oct 01, 2016 1:20 am

by **Snow88** Sat Oct 01, 2016 1:22 am

NAVGEMMMMMMMMM

HURRICANE MATTHEW - Page 30 20hocgg

by **Frank_Wx** Sat Oct 01, 2016 1:24 am

Snow88 wrote:NAVGEMMMMMMMMM

That would force everyone to evacuate

by **SoulSingMG** Sat Oct 01, 2016 1:26 am

Snow88 wrote:NAVGEMMMMMMMMM

Woah. 2016 LI Express?

And yay! My late night buddy is here and up late! Euro next, Snow?

by **Joe Snow** Sat Oct 01, 2016 1:27 am

Frank_Wx wrote:
Snow88 wrote:NAVGEMMMMMMMMM

That would force everyone to evacuate

There is no way possible that, that many people could evacuate the area in two days, the roads could not handle the volume..........

by **SoulSingMG** Sat Oct 01, 2016 1:30 am

Joe Snow wrote:
Frank_Wx wrote:
Snow88 wrote:NAVGEMMMMMMMMM

That would force everyone to evacuate

There is no way possible that, that many people could evacuate the area in two days, the roads could not handle the volume..........

Long Island would be in huge, huge trouble if that panned out. Fire island would be gone.

by **Joe Snow** Sat Oct 01, 2016 1:34 am

SoulSingMG wrote:
Joe Snow wrote:
Frank_Wx wrote:
Snow88 wrote:NAVGEMMMMMMMMM

That would force everyone to evacuate

There is no way possible that, that many people could evacuate the area in two days, the roads could not handle the volume..........

Long Island would be in huge, huge trouble if that panned out. Fire island would be gone.

Pretty much, the Flooding up state and the storm surge would set the area back for years, I hope there is some way this does not pan out.

by **NjWeatherGuy** Sat Oct 01, 2016 1:40 am

GFDL looks ominous

by Sponsored content