January 7, 2017 Storm Observations

Steady light snow coating on the ground already latest hrrr showing 5 to 6 inches of snow for New York City at 10 to 1 ratio

Manahawkin,NJ

algae888 wrote:Steady light snow coating on the ground already latest hrrr showing 5 to 6 inches of snow for New York City at 10 to 1 ratio

yep giggity so if 15 to 1 or possibly even higher on high end could see 8 plus.

Really starting to come down now. Al let's see if we get the same amount being so close but with this setup could b big diff not far apart.

Just got back in from getting the snow blower ready(go figure them weatherman is the last to get ready after warning all friends for 2 days!!). Anyhow steady snow and 23 in Deer Park.

Moderate snow here

jmanley32 wrote:

algae888 wrote:Steady light snow coating on the ground already latest hrrr showing 5 to 6 inches of snow for New York City at 10 to 1 ratio

yep giggity so if 15 to 1 or possibly even higher on high end could see 8 plus.

Nws feels we could be 15 to 20 to 1 ratio. If we get those ratios New York City will see 6 to 9 inches of snow today expect winter storm warnings with the next update

Moderate snow here Central LI. Everything already coated. Sticking with ease. Temp 22.6

Janet woop woop

OKX latest:
 
NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/     LIGHT SNOW OVER-SPREADING THE REGION ON SCHEDULE AS OF 14Z. NO   CHANGES TO FORECAST.     CONCERN IS FOR HIGHER AMOUNTS DUE TO THE "FLUFF" FACTOR AND 0.4   TO 0.5 QPF FOR NYC AND 1.0" ON EASTERN LI - WHICH WOULD PUT THEM   INTO THE 6+ AMOUNTS. ALSO NE JERSEY, N. WESTCHESTER AND PUTNAM   WILL LIKELY NEED AN ADVISORY.     OTHERWISE, 180 KT JET IN THE 12Z OKX SOUNDING - NOT A COUPLED JET   STRUCTURE, BUT A HECK OF AN ENTRANCE REGION DRIVING A TEXTBOOK   AGEOSTROPHIC DIRECTION CIRCULATION (SEE UCCELLINI AND JOHNSON,   1979).     OVERALL, A VERY POWDERY SNOW WILL LESSEN IMPACTS (AND MAKE FOR   EASIER SHOVELING).

Umm ya think????

Light Snow just starting falling. 22 degrees.

algae888 wrote:

jmanley32 wrote:

algae888 wrote:Steady light snow coating on the ground already latest hrrr showing 5 to 6 inches of snow for New York City at 10 to 1 ratio

yep giggity so if 15 to 1 or possibly even higher on high end could see 8 plus.

Nws feels we could be 15 to 20 to 1 ratio. If we get those ratios New York City will see 6 to 9 inches of snow today expect winter storm warnings with the next update

20 to 1 would b 10 to 12! I said wsw wouldn't b posted for some areas until it was already snowing.

Frank, I can confirm it has been snowing in Garwood since around 9am

Frank give us the storm mode this warrent it get up lol

Flurries in northern Westchester... 22.5°

I have gone from light to small periods of moderate on the last 1/2 hr here.
YESSSS FRANK STORM MODE 1ST ONE OF THIS WINTER SEASON !!! Woo hooo!!

Flurries have begun, 20*

Not expecting more than C-1" here. Would be extremely surprised with anything more.

nujerzeedevil wrote:Moderate snowfall here in Bayville, Ocean County. About 1"+ on the ground thus far.

I'm also in Bayville...looks like 2" on the ground already with a full days of mod/heavy snow yet to come. Looks like for the Shore this is 'our storm', as Bernie Rayno would say!

A good sign hee on this radar more snow further wst on the fringe. Means that the NNE will bring the into the NYC and points about 15 Miles west maybe 20 of NYC with heavier bands getting into NYC metro.

If it don't pick up will be lucky to get near 3in

Mugs Is 6" a lock for me? Central Suffork County

17.2 heavy virga.

I've actually seen a few flakes in the last 5 minutes so expectations for me have already been exceeded.

Hope S & E jackpot, I'll be tracking the conservancy measurements as always.

Winter Storm Warning
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
943 AM EST SAT JAN 7 2017
...MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW WILL CONTINUE INTO THE AFTERNOON...
.LOW PRESSURE LOCATED OFF THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST THIS MORNING
WILL STRENGTHEN AS IT TRACKS NORTHEASTWARD. THE CENTER OF THE
STORM IS FORECAST TO BE LOCATED ABOUT 300 MILES OFF THE NEW JERSEY
COAST EARLY THIS EVENING.
DEZ002-MDZ019-020-NJZ020>022-025>027-072300-
/O.CON.KPHI.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-170107T2300Z/
KENT-TALBOT-CAROLINE-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-COASTAL ATLANTIC-
COASTAL OCEAN-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DOVER...EASTON...DENTON...JACKSON...
MILLVILLE...HAMMONTON...ATLANTIC CITY...LONG BEACH ISLAND...
WHARTON STATE FOREST
943 AM EST SAT JAN 7 2017
...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
EVENING...
* LOCATION...PARTS OF SOUTHEASTERN NEW JERSEY...CENTRAL DELAWARE
AND PARTS OF EASTERN MARYLAND.
* HAZARD TYPE...SNOW.
* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...5 TO 10 INCHES WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS
ALONG THE NEW JERSEY COAST.
* TIMING...SNOW WILL PERSIST THROUGH MOST OF THE AFTERNOON BEFORE
TAPERING OFF FROM WEST TO EAST BY EARLY EVENING. A PERIOD OF
MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW WILL OCCUR LATE THIS MORNING AND EARLY
THIS AFTERNOON WHEN SNOWFALL RATES OF ONE TO TWO INCHES PER
HOUR ARE EXPECTED.
* IMPACTS...TRAVEL WILL BE VERY HAZARDOUS TODAY WITH SNOW COVERED
ROADS AND POOR VISIBILITY. EVEN INTERSTATES OR HIGHWAYS WILL BE
SNOW COVERED AND SLIPPERY AT THE HEIGHT OF THE STORM.
* WINDS...NORTH 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS AROUND 30 MPH ALONG THE
COAST.
* VISIBILITY...ONE HALF MILE OR LESS AT TIMES.
* TEMPERATURES...MID 20S.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE
EXPECTED. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE ALONG THE COAST. THIS
WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS.

300 miles of the Jersey coast late this afternoon That's half way to Bermuda lol

Flurries started.

We should have all gone to AC!

oldtimer wrote:300 miles of the Jersey coast late this afternoon   That's half way to Bermuda lol

close 758 miles to bermuda and bermuda is way se of NJ, so 300miles east of nj will give us a good swath of snow, if it was 200 miles or less this would be a crazy storm.

oldtimer wrote:Mugs  Is 6" a lock for me?  Central Suffork County

Yup old timer if I fall short first 2 drinks fir you on me at get together !

Well well well those who ride the gfs is the last one to the paerty and now snowiest let's see what upton and the tv pro mets do!