Re: Long Range Thread 13.0

by **algae888** Tue Feb 07, 2017 3:35 pm

sroc4 wrote:
billg315 wrote:
sroc4 wrote:
billg315 wrote:Don't tease me like this Frank! Haha. Imagine if with all the griping about this winter if February was a record snowfall month.

Not all of us were griping

Haha. Very true. A few people on here, who I won't name but two of whom have screen names start with "sro . . ." and "Frank_W . . " respectively were very persistent in saying that February might hold some promise.

Dont forget Iso...

Scott me too. Never gave up esp with iso strat and mjo pulse to 8. Was a bit frustrating late last week but hung in there. Bill you can add mugs to that list too! Just kidding mugs. Anyway Bill and Scott, maybe our new leader should be Punxsutawney Phil.lol

by **billg315** Tue Feb 07, 2017 3:40 pm

Hahaha. Yes, I could add a few people to the list. And yes, the groundhog issued his decree on Thursday and the Weather Gods are about to deliver.

by **Snow88** Tue Feb 07, 2017 5:40 pm

Midmonth

http://www.stormvistawxmodels.com/img/gfs/current/18z/GFS_MSLPThickQPF_na_f219.png?1364096147

by **algae888** Tue Feb 07, 2017 6:04 pm

yea snow and look at the pna ridge...
Long Range Thread 13.0 - Page 16 Gfs-ens_z500a_nhem_41

Long Range Thread 13.0 - Page 16 Gfs-ens_z500a_nhem_65

its there for awhile. fun times ahead.. Very Happy

by **billg315** Tue Feb 07, 2017 6:08 pm

Ridge out west, trough in the east, maybe a split PV. This is more like it!

by **jmanley32** Tue Feb 07, 2017 7:03 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:The LR GFS shows 4 additional storm events. Big February possible

Sure does 18z is beautiful about 8 days from now timeframe Al was talking about. I just hope it doesnt fall on 18th.

by **amugs** Tue Feb 07, 2017 7:04 pm

Here is JIM WITT's PD '78 style storm peeps - HUMINA HUMINA!!
Long Range Thread 13.0 - Page 16 Eps_mslpa_noram_61_1(1).png.992f7aeb0f30689b6bce1e6903ef7d7e

Long Range Thread 13.0 - Page 16 Eps_mslpa_noram_61_1(1).png.992f7aeb0f30689b6bce1e6903ef7d7e

by **amugs** Tue Feb 07, 2017 7:05 pm

jmanley32 wrote:
Frank_Wx wrote:The LR GFS shows 4 additional storm events. Big February possible
Sure does 18z is beautiful about 8 days from now timeframe Al was talking about. I just hope it doesnt fall on 18th.

Thursday 16th Time frame

Long Range Thread 13.0 - Page 16 Gfs_r10

by **jmanley32** Tue Feb 07, 2017 7:06 pm

amugs wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:
Frank_Wx wrote:The LR GFS shows 4 additional storm events. Big February possible
Sure does 18z is beautiful about 8 days from now timeframe Al was talking about. I just hope it doesnt fall on 18th.

Thursday 16th Time frame

Perfect!

by **jmanley32** Tue Feb 07, 2017 11:35 pm

Wow hr 204 GFS big one incoming!!

by **Frank_Wx** Tue Feb 07, 2017 11:43 pm

The GFS and CMC show a Godzilla to Roidzilla next Thursday

Long Range Thread 13.0 - Page 16 589aa1ab8feea

by **jmanley32** Tue Feb 07, 2017 11:46 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:The GFS and CMC show a Godzilla to Roidzilla next Thursday

Things can't get any better at this time!

by **jmanley32** Tue Feb 07, 2017 11:48 pm

Snow maps dont match up that high on GFS but CMC is at least a godzilla, depending on how much we actually get from this storm.

by **Snow88** Wed Feb 08, 2017 6:04 pm

Euro Control has a 965 low near the Capes for next week

by **dkodgis** Wed Feb 08, 2017 10:16 pm

If I understand correctly, next week will be a bit of a cold snap and after that, who knows?

by **devsman** Thu Feb 09, 2017 12:59 pm

CMC starting to sniff out storm for next week

by **jmanley32** Thu Feb 09, 2017 1:03 pm

devsman wrote:CMC starting to sniff out storm for next week

Yep next weekds mid to late week storm could crush this in comparison im hearing.

by **sroc4** Thu Feb 09, 2017 1:40 pm

My Gawd the euro at 500mb is setting up to be amazing for the 13th and the 16th. "Potential" for fun times ahead

by **sroc4** Thu Feb 09, 2017 1:46 pm

Energy for Mondays storm potential makes it onshore over the next 36-48hrs.

by Guest Thu Feb 09, 2017 1:57 pm

sroc4 wrote:Energy for Mondays storm potential makes it onshore over the next 36-48hrs.

My man. Monday? I thought the potential was next Wednesday/Thursday?

Talk to me.

by track17 Thu Feb 09, 2017 2:03 pm

Looking at the temps for next week this is another one the shore has no chance on. Good luck to everyone else

by **devsman** Thu Feb 09, 2017 2:11 pm

The storm can bring the cold. Look at what happened today. More worried that It will be a Boston storm

by track17 Thu Feb 09, 2017 2:13 pm

Devs the storm underperformed big time here so I can't just by anything. Good luck to you though

by **Frank_Wx** Thu Feb 09, 2017 2:15 pm

Long Range Thread 13.0 - Page 16 589cbfa9d873a

Monday's potential would be extremely interesting if H5 closed off south of us. This one has to be watched still, not yet convinced the polar energy stays to our north like that.

by **Frank_Wx** Thu Feb 09, 2017 2:16 pm

Long Range Thread 13.0 - Page 16 589cbff19d8df

Then the next Godzilla potential comes between the 16th-17th. EURO barely misses the phase but the pieces are there.

by **sroc4** Thu Feb 09, 2017 2:19 pm

syosnow94 wrote:
sroc4 wrote:Energy for Mondays storm potential makes it onshore over the next 36-48hrs.

My man. Monday? I thought the potential was next Wednesday/Thursday?

Talk to me.

Here is the s/w of note entering W Canada by hr 42.

Long Range Thread 13.0 - Page 16 Euro_h21

Now follow....

Long Range Thread 13.0 - Page 16 Euro_h22

Long Range Thread 13.0 - Page 16 Euro_h23

Long Range Thread 13.0 - Page 16 Euro_h24

Hr 90-96 H5closes off on a path ESE just N of LI and sets up shop over Cape Cod.

Long Range Thread 13.0 - Page 16 Euro_h26

Long Range Thread 13.0 - Page 16 Euro_h25

Resulting in this at the surface verbatim:

Long Range Thread 13.0 - Page 16 Euro_s24

Long Range Thread 13.0 - Page 16 Euro_s25

The euro the trend over the past few runs is stronger and digging deeper with this s/w. A little deeper and we are in business. The GFS is, as usual, more progressive with its positively tilted trough orientation so as of now less of an event. Track17 if you are reading do not give up hope. Although this may be the case you CANNOT LOOK AT TEMPS VERBATIM RIGHT NOW as the models still haven't sorted out the energy at 18,000 feet yet. This would most likely benefit the S&E yet again, but its close..def close enough to watch for all sooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooo.................

We Track!! What a Face

by **devsman** Thu Feb 09, 2017 2:22 pm

Cmc almost has a phased coastal to our South. Now we pray.

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