March 14th Godzilla Discussion Part 2

Trough looked more positive tilted

amugs wrote:RPM

That's a rather painful alternate possibility.

Frank_Wx wrote:RPM is a Roidzilla

Jeff Smith mentioned he likes this model best right now for the storm.

Frank_Wx wrote:If anything I am not as confident in a Roidzila now than I was this morning. The ridge in the west on latest guidance seems to be slipping east some...

If RPM kept going to finish would NYC be in the 20-24+? So your not as confident but still time to change right? still I am not complaining i got a blizzard watch already and 12-18 with 50-60mph winds, but am always, as all others are hope for more.

SoulSingMG wrote:

Frank_Wx wrote:RPM is a Roidzilla

Jeff Smith mentioned he likes this model best right now for the storm.

Oh wow look at the snow map at 18z tues and the radar 18z we got at least another 6-12 from that heavy band coming through, id like to see entire run once in range is go be crazy! BTW where do you get these from?

GFS still was a great run its a BM track

jmanley32 wrote:

Frank_Wx wrote:If anything I am not as confident in a Roidzila now than I was this morning. The ridge in the west on latest guidance seems to be slipping east some...

If RPM kept going to finish would NYC be in the 20-24+?  So your not as confident but still time to change right? still I am not complaining i got a blizzard watch already and 12-18 with 50-60mph winds, but am always, as all others are hope for more.

Why do you want the winds? I hate wind with a passion, especially when cleaning up snow...

jmanley32 wrote:

amugs wrote:RPM

crap and thats not entire storm is it.

That's through about 1 pm Tue. If you look at the RPM loop Frank posted that also was through just afternoon Tue. And there's still heavy wrap-around snow as far south as the Delaware Bay to work through.

mikeypizano wrote:

jmanley32 wrote:

Frank_Wx wrote:If anything I am not as confident in a Roidzila now than I was this morning. The ridge in the west on latest guidance seems to be slipping east some...

If RPM kept going to finish would NYC be in the 20-24+?  So your not as confident but still time to change right? still I am not complaining i got a blizzard watch already and 12-18 with 50-60mph winds, but am always, as all others are hope for more.

Why do you want the winds? I hate wind with a passion, especially when cleaning up snow...

cuz thats what makes a blizzard, dont worry cleaning up the winds will mostly have passed, i think there will be a time of high winds not whole time, just a piece of mother nature that has always facinated me, everyone here knows lol

Frank we have to see by oz tonight and 12z tomorrow about the PNA. If it kicked east then we may have issue with Roidzilla and just be in Godzilla range. Nothing to freak out about but a possibility. 
Lots if time yet and nervous nillies will be left with no fingernails!

billg315 wrote:

jmanley32 wrote:

amugs wrote:RPM

crap and thats not entire storm is it.

That's through about 1 pm Tue. If you look at the RPM loop Frank posted that also was through just afternoon Tue. And there's still heavy wrap-around snow as far south as the Delaware Bay to work through.

yeah just saw that and commented def a roidzilla for our area.

High winds lead to power outages which leaves me with no heat. Also I'll probably be out cleaning up up mid storm to try and keep up with it for my own driveway and any customers who want it done so they can go to work or anything.

Aresian my man. I get your frustration. I don't understand why people toss models. They are all just computer guess work. But here's why I'm not asking questions.
1. The NWS which is the most conservative of any weather forecasting agency put us in 12-18 3 days out. UNHEARD OF. GOVERNMENT HINGES ON THEIR EVERY WORD.
2. There's stil 36 hours till anything is set in stone

3. The local mets who are also very conservative are confident in a foot plus

4. Frank is too drunk to have changed the scroll (although to be honest his last post mentioning a deteriorating pacific ridge has me worried)

00z run tonight and 12z run tomorrow are going to blow us away, I think. The energy at hand is just now entering BC, Canada and will now be properly sampled over land.

I've got a GOOD feeling about it!

Mikey P paesan. Jman has a wind fetish. It's crazy. I don't get it but to each his own. As far as no heat if you live where you do and don't have a wood burning stove then shame on you. Shit I have one on LI and it's cranking right now

No one should be worry

Skins do you think we have a shot at 6-8 at the coast that would be great if we could get that much?

Syosnow, we have a pellet stove so technically it is a wood burner.

SoulSingMG wrote:00z run tonight and 12z run tomorrow are going to blow us away, I think. The energy at hand is just now entering BC, Canada and will now be properly sampled over land.

I've got a GOOD feeling about it!

Bring er him soul man, seen this dance soooo many times with big storms

So you're good Mike. People think I'm nuts for saying it but I WISH for power outages. Makes me feel better that I can provide heat and safety for my family

GEFS looks great for NYC. West of there, not really. Low is in a great spot though.

amugs wrote:

SoulSingMG wrote:00z run tonight and 12z run tomorrow are going to blow us away, I think. The energy at hand is just now entering BC, Canada and will now be properly sampled over land.

I've got a GOOD feeling about it!

Bring er him soul man, seen this dance soooo many times with big storms

We got this, Mugs! Even Jeff Smith sounding this excited this far out is quite something.

Not good as the stove is powervented and has room blower and auger motors as well.

SoulSingMG wrote:00z run tonight and 12z run tomorrow are going to blow us away, I think. The energy at hand is just now entering BC, Canada and will now be properly sampled over land.

I've got a GOOD feeling about it!

Bring er him soul man, seen this dance soooo many times with big storms. Love the enthusiasm man

Actually this is us right now..

skinsfan1177 wrote:No one should be worry

Speak for yourself. This will be me at the start of the 00z runs tonight.

skinsfan1177 wrote:No one should be worry

I'm think that's conservative and achievable atm. But honestly we have not seen the final solution yet but I expect bigger amounts here. We will smell the rain and get the big snow