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Tracking Hurricane Irma

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Post by jmanley32 Sun Sep 03, 2017 5:23 pm

mikeypizano wrote:
syosnow94 wrote:
sabamfa wrote:
weatherwatchermom wrote:..how do you get everyone out and where do they go. .listen..they say you should always be hurricane or emergency weather ready..and in this house we are...but there is a difference of being ready for a bad storm and a possible Cat 3-4 or 5 headed your way..and that is for anyone that gets this storm...so it worries me..as it does all of you on this board...uncertain times for all of us.

Very concerned. I'm prepared for a bad storm. I've got crank chargers and lanterns and radios. I've got battery pack chargers. I'll grab more food and water. But a major hurricane? I have no idea where I'd go or what I'd do. I've got my husband, our elderly cat, my parents, and all their pets to worry about. There's no way to plan. I'm truly terrified and don't understand those folks that want a major hurricane to hit this area.

Trying to be helpful here.  It's not rocket science. Book a few days in a nice hotel in let's say Scranton Pa.  one that takes pets.  Make sure they have a 24 hour cancellation policy so you can get out of it.  This will take 30 minutes and give you 10 days peace of mind.  Easy

Why Scranton?
With this beast id say colorado lol

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Post by rb924119 Sun Sep 03, 2017 5:24 pm

JMA JMA JMA JMA!!!!! JOIN THE GULF CAMP BABAYYYYYYYYYYYYYYY!!!!!! Here comes the horse race betting again -_- lmfaoooooooooooo

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Post by mikeypizano Sun Sep 03, 2017 5:25 pm

sabamfa wrote:Syo, is Scranton even out of the path? Looks like this storm is so huge that that still might get clobbered.

Depends on the track, but during Sandy, we had lower winds than anywhere else. (I am in between Scranton and Wilkes Barre)
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Post by jmanley32 Sun Sep 03, 2017 5:25 pm

rb924119 wrote:JMA JMA JMA JMA!!!!! JOIN THE GULF CAMP BABAYYYYYYYYYYYYYYY!!!!!! Here comes the horse race betting again -_- lmfaoooooooooooo
For you woooohoooo lol
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Post by jmanley32 Sun Sep 03, 2017 5:27 pm

Honestly living on 2nd floor of a apartment building what should my preparing include? I am not near ocean but winds are my main concern.  Flooding can happen on our bridge but thats no big deal.  What worries me most is i street park and my cars getting crushed.
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Post by track17 Sun Sep 03, 2017 5:32 pm

Jman you guys have me confused. You talking about preparing but the models are trending south it looks. Why are we so concerned. Is there something I am missing? That is def possible just confused. Are the models not trending south

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Post by Frank_Wx Sun Sep 03, 2017 5:32 pm

Tracking Hurricane Irma - Page 16 IMG_20170903_154820.jpg.3abb66c720aba411b641f03556b4fd0c

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Post by Frank_Wx Sun Sep 03, 2017 5:33 pm

track17 wrote:Jman you guys have me confused. You talking about preparing but the models are trending south it looks. Why are we so concerned. Is there something I am missing? That is def possible just confused. Are the models not trending south

Look at my last post. No model has a clue whatsoever. There are no trends.

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Post by jmanley32 Sun Sep 03, 2017 5:35 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:Tracking Hurricane Irma - Page 16 IMG_20170903_154820.jpg.3abb66c720aba411b641f03556b4fd0c
Frank that looks like a massive spread retrograde like sandy, thats scary. With a few OTS, which sandy had a lot of this far out.


Last edited by jmanley32 on Sun Sep 03, 2017 5:37 pm; edited 1 time in total
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Post by jmanley32 Sun Sep 03, 2017 5:37 pm

HH found 90kts so far, not far off from what current obs shows, 15kts more and itll have be pushed up.
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Post by Guest Sun Sep 03, 2017 5:38 pm

Just figured a town located a couple of hundred miles inland. Not Scranton for any particular reason. No reason for anyone to panic or be caught off guard. I live on the coast and have zero fear at all

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Post by Guest Sun Sep 03, 2017 5:43 pm

syosnow94 wrote:Just figured a town located a couple of hundred miles inland. Not Scranton for any particular reason.    No reason for anyone to panic or be caught off guard.  I live on the coast and have zero fear at all

There's no reason to be afraid. Not yet at least. And I suspect that if the word comes in that it's time to leave the coast you already have a plan in place. We discussed last winter. Survival of the fittest, which in modern times tends to mean most prepared.

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Post by Frank_Wx Sun Sep 03, 2017 5:47 pm

First recon found 958mb pressure in Irma. Woah

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Post by sabamfa Sun Sep 03, 2017 5:48 pm

I'm not near the coast. I'm worried about the winds after Sandy. We had tree after tree after tree come down in my neighborhood, including one next to my house that also pulled down all the wires and a telephone pole with sparks flying everywhere. Cop that responded later responded to a house a half mile away and a tree fell on his car. I'm pretty traumatized by winds at this point. :/

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Post by jmanley32 Sun Sep 03, 2017 5:50 pm

Frank and at that pt also found 96kt winds. Beastly.
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Post by jmanley32 Sun Sep 03, 2017 5:51 pm

18z coming in stronger headed to bahams 8mb stronger at hi-res 920mb yikes. Missed islands by miles.
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Post by Guest Sun Sep 03, 2017 5:54 pm

sabamfa wrote:I'm not near the coast. I'm worried about the winds after Sandy. We had tree after tree after tree come down in my neighborhood, including one next to my house that also pulled down all the wires and a telephone pole with sparks flying everywhere. Cop that responded later responded to a house a half mile away and a tree fell on his car. I'm pretty traumatized by winds at this point. :/

During Sandy a tornado spun up and went right down my block. Trees and utility poles snapped in half. Had no power for 13 days. Lost 2 trees and my fence. Basement flooded. Trust me I've been there. I think you can look up the tornado still on the internet. It was cool

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Post by jmanley32 Sun Sep 03, 2017 5:56 pm

looks like trough pulling out slightly faster than 12z
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Post by jmanley32 Sun Sep 03, 2017 5:56 pm

syosnow94 wrote:
sabamfa wrote:I'm not near the coast. I'm worried about the winds after Sandy. We had tree after tree after tree come down in my neighborhood, including one next to my house that also pulled down all the wires and a telephone pole with sparks flying everywhere. Cop that responded later responded to a house a half mile away and a tree fell on his car. I'm pretty traumatized by winds at this point. :/

During Sandy a tornado spun up and went right down my block. Trees and utility poles snapped in half.  Had no power for 13 days.  Lost 2 trees and my fence.  Basement flooded.   Trust me I've been there. I think you can look up the tornado still on the internet. It was cool
Dang syo i always wanted see a tornado, i dunno bout that close though u were lucky.
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Post by jmanley32 Sun Sep 03, 2017 5:58 pm

Good lord, not hi-res 18z GFS heading into bahams at 911mb!!

Going into soyuthern bahamas at 901mb cat 5, irmagod, sorry frank had use ur joke, cuz its for sure that!


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Post by weatherwatchermom Sun Sep 03, 2017 5:59 pm

sabamfa wrote:
weatherwatchermom wrote:..how do you get everyone out and where do they go. .listen..they say you should always be hurricane or emergency weather ready..and in this house we are...but there is a difference of being ready for a bad storm and a possible Cat 3-4 or 5 headed your way..and that is for anyone that gets this storm...so it worries me..as it does all of you on this board...uncertain times for all of us.

Very concerned. I'm prepared for a bad storm. I've got crank chargers and lanterns and radios. I've got battery pack chargers. I'll grab more food and water. But a major hurricane? I have no idea where I'd go or what I'd do. I've got my husband, our elderly cat, my parents, and all their pets to worry about. There's no way to plan. I'm truly terrified and don't understand those folks that want a major hurricane to hit this area.


lets see what happens..right now i am off the ledge Wink ...but there were times during those model runs the last couple of days.I want to pack and run... lets see what the next couple of days brings..get your water and meds..batteries..and everything you would need to survive a week or two without power...that way if the panic happens you are not fighting lines...and shortages...if it comes down to looking like its coming here...you can make further plans...stay busy...
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Post by weatherwatchermom Sun Sep 03, 2017 6:00 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:First recon found 958mb pressure in Irma. Woah
so what we've been seeing on those models are real
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Post by mikeypizano Sun Sep 03, 2017 6:01 pm

syosnow94 wrote:Just figured a town located a couple of hundred miles inland. Not Scranton for any particular reason.    No reason for anyone to panic or be caught off guard.  I live on the coast and have zero fear at all

Ahh ok, understood
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Post by weatherwatchermom Sun Sep 03, 2017 6:03 pm

syosnow94 wrote:
sabamfa wrote:
weatherwatchermom wrote:..how do you get everyone out and where do they go. .listen..they say you should always be hurricane or emergency weather ready..and in this house we are...but there is a difference of being ready for a bad storm and a possible Cat 3-4 or 5 headed your way..and that is for anyone that gets this storm...so it worries me..as it does all of you on this board...uncertain times for all of us.

Very concerned. I'm prepared for a bad storm. I've got crank chargers and lanterns and radios. I've got battery pack chargers. I'll grab more food and water. But a major hurricane? I have no idea where I'd go or what I'd do. I've got my husband, our elderly cat, my parents, and all their pets to worry about. There's no way to plan. I'm truly terrified and don't understand those folks that want a major hurricane to hit this area.

Trying to be helpful here.  It's not rocket science. Book a few days in a nice hotel in let's say Scranton Pa.  one that takes pets.  Make sure they have a 24 hour cancellation policy so you can get out of it.  This will take 30 minutes and give you 10 days peace of mind.  Easy

thats what my husband said to me...too we would pack up and head out...lol ..
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Post by jmanley32 Sun Sep 03, 2017 6:06 pm

Anyone else watching GFS? Is it just me or at 132 did it just take a more job west, its already destroyed the bahamas at 900mb, whats that like 175mph winds?
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Post by weatherwatchermom Sun Sep 03, 2017 6:09 pm

144 is 894 omg...
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Post by mikeypizano Sun Sep 03, 2017 6:12 pm

150 is 886!
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