Tracking Hurricane Irma

Even if Irma has no effect here its still something we need to track for historical logging, cuz thats what she is going to be,....historical.  And something tells me SOMETHING of her will effect us.  If not Jose is out next threat, LR GFS has direct landfall on LI. By all means not to be taken at all seriously at 16 days out.

Is there a way to track how much ACE Irma is racking up? I think it may be record breaking.

jmanley32 wrote:Is there a way to track how much ACE Irma is racking up? I think it may be record breaking.

True

jimv45 wrote:Boy talk about timing I have an Aunt coming up Wednesday from West Palm beach hope has home left when she returns.

My sister is moving from ny to delray beach on Thursday,talk about timing

My inlaws have a house that is in the process of being built in daytona area (they are supposed to go down around 23rd to do the papers), by looks of the hit on FL it may be leveled, with no insurance on it yet thats aweful.

If this storm does potentially hit south Florida what kind of effects would it have for central FL?

Wow 8pm update Irma has 140mph winds.

jmanley32 wrote:Wow 8pm update Irma has 140mph winds.

Could be a CAT 5 by tomorrow morning.

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=hwrf-p®ion=11L&pkg=mslp_wind&runtime=2017090418&fh=126&xpos=0&ypos=0

ok trying to educate my self a bit and was poking on troptb...what is the hwrf run..I looked it up and saw what it is..is this not a reliable model to use..no one really talking about it?...but rb..look at that run at 126 looks like irma trying to squeeze into the gom??or does it make a sharp turn north?
just curious

0z 

aiannone wrote:10 hurricane hunter drops are included in 0z NCEP models including special soundings from the following WFOs for sampling of trough:

BIS, UNR, LBF, DDC, AMA, ABR, OAX, TOP,
OUN, INL, MPX, SGF, LZK, DVN, ILX, GRB, APX, DTX, ILN, OHX, and
SJU.

Can all this data make it into the GFS for the 0z run........... I would assume that is what they are trying for.

130kt winds noted in current recon mission. Almosta cat 5

Cat 5 irmagod! I had a feeling she go there.

weatherwatchermom wrote:https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=hwrf-p®ion=11L&pkg=mslp_wind&runtime=2017090418&fh=126&xpos=0&ypos=0

ok trying to educate my self a bit and was poking on troptb...what is the hwrf run..I looked it up and saw what it is..is this not a reliable model to use..no one really talking about it?...but rb..look at that run at 126 looks like irma trying to squeeze into the gom??or does it make a sharp turn north?
just curious

Levi c answered my question with his video...

it's actually north of 12z

At hr 72 of the 0z run, the GFS is just a tick S/SW and a few mb lower (922 currently, 925 on the 18z) of the 18z run for the same time period. Still shaping up to be a monster.

Question for the ones who know these things: What effect if any is Irma having on Jose or vice versa?

If she happens to go into Cuba a little, then there will be a loss of power. It's after she's out of the Cuba area that gives her the opportunity to strengthen again if she's out on the water too long.

00z is really bad for fl.

Really bad is an understatement.

Am I reading the CMC right or is it just smoking something? I swear it has Irma at 988 mb.

150mph winds, 937 millibars as of 5am

06z GFS

sroc4 wrote:WOW!!!

bam cat 5 huge eye this is surreal. All in about 6 hrs. I'm affraid what the ceiling is for her! 06z gfs brings her to a 2nd landfall in SC and then remnants get pushed east into our area by Wednesday.