NJ Strong Weather Forum


Join the forum, it's quick and easy

NJ Strong Weather Forum
NJ Strong Weather Forum
Would you like to react to this message? Create an account in a few clicks or log in to continue.

Tracking Hurricane Irma

+38
Dis2cruise
lglickman1
Ram4wd
emokid51783
HectorO
GreyBeard
WOLVES1
jwalsh
Disneyprincess1592
algae888
jimv45
docstox12
Joe Snow
Radz
mikeypizano
track17
Sanchize06
sabamfa
sroc4
RJB8525
nutleyblizzard
Snow88
WeatherBob
Dunnzoo
EnyapWeather
hyde345
frank 638
jake732
SoulSingMG
amugs
weatherwatchermom
Math23x7
larryrock72
aiannone
skinsfan1177
rb924119
jmanley32
Frank_Wx
42 posters

Page 18 of 35 Previous  1 ... 10 ... 17, 18, 19 ... 26 ... 35  Next

Go down

Tracking Hurricane Irma - Page 18 Empty Re: Tracking Hurricane Irma

Post by Math23x7 Sun Sep 03, 2017 8:57 pm

Dave Tolleris (DT) thinks that once Irma ends it's current southwest movement and begins to go northwest in a couple of days, the models will correct themselves and shift Irma's track east and out to sea.

Math23x7
Wx Statistician Guru
Wx Statistician Guru

Posts : 2379
Join date : 2013-01-08

Back to top Go down

Tracking Hurricane Irma - Page 18 Empty Re: Tracking Hurricane Irma

Post by amugs Sun Sep 03, 2017 9:01 pm

Math23x7 wrote:Dave Tolleris (DT) thinks that once Irma ends it's current southwest movement and begins to go northwest in a couple of days, the models will correct themselves and shift Irma's track east and out to sea.

He hugs the Euro and EPS. Explain what mechanism is going to kick her through the Block setting up?

Meantime
Tracking Hurricane Irma - Page 18 DI1yNI3WAAAHj3r

amugs
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 15093
Join date : 2013-01-07

Back to top Go down

Tracking Hurricane Irma - Page 18 Empty Re: Tracking Hurricane Irma

Post by weatherwatchermom Sun Sep 03, 2017 9:16 pm

https://www.pscp.tv/AccuRayno/1BRJjyrRPOjGw?t=106


Bernie Rayno latest video
weatherwatchermom
weatherwatchermom
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 3734
Reputation : 77
Join date : 2014-11-25
Age : 60
Location : Hazlet Township, NJ

Back to top Go down

Tracking Hurricane Irma - Page 18 Empty Re: Tracking Hurricane Irma

Post by sroc4 Sun Sep 03, 2017 9:52 pm

Thanks Weather mom Levi Cowans latest video as well.

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com

_________________
"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65"WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85" WINTER 2022/2023 TOTALS 4.9"      
WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2023/2024 TOTALS 13.1"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20"WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25"WINTER 2021/2022 TOTALS 31.65" 
sroc4
sroc4
Admin
Admin

Posts : 8331
Reputation : 301
Join date : 2013-01-07
Location : Wading River, LI

Back to top Go down

Tracking Hurricane Irma - Page 18 Empty Re: Tracking Hurricane Irma

Post by weatherwatchermom Sun Sep 03, 2017 9:54 pm

sroc4 wrote:Thanks Weather mom Levi Cowans latest video as well.

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com
thanks was just going to watch it... update...he is so clear and concise....a great watch...and as you have been saying..we have to wait and see...
weatherwatchermom
weatherwatchermom
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 3734
Reputation : 77
Join date : 2014-11-25
Age : 60
Location : Hazlet Township, NJ

Back to top Go down

Tracking Hurricane Irma - Page 18 Empty Re: Tracking Hurricane Irma

Post by jmanley32 Sun Sep 03, 2017 10:30 pm

Okay this is insane, talk about unheard of on earth....this is purely for fun cuz I just can't believe this happening HMON 857mb 206kts, yeah okay.  If true so then god help us.

Tracking Hurricane Irma - Page 18 Hmon_m10
jmanley32
jmanley32
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 20513
Reputation : 108
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 42
Location : Yonkers, NY

Back to top Go down

Tracking Hurricane Irma - Page 18 Empty Re: Tracking Hurricane Irma

Post by Joe Snow Sun Sep 03, 2017 10:33 pm

jmanley32 wrote:Okay this is insane, talk about unheard of on earth....this is purely for fun cuz I just can't believe this happening HMON 857mb 206kts, yeah okay.  If true so then god help us.

Tracking Hurricane Irma - Page 18 Hmon_m10

237 mph wind that will send some trees and houses in to the next zip code affraid affraid affraid affraid
Joe Snow
Joe Snow
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 924
Reputation : 7
Join date : 2014-02-12
Age : 62
Location : Sanford Florida, Fmrly Kings Park, NY

Back to top Go down

Tracking Hurricane Irma - Page 18 Empty Re: Tracking Hurricane Irma

Post by jmanley32 Sun Sep 03, 2017 10:47 pm

Joe Snow wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:Okay this is insane, talk about unheard of on earth....this is purely for fun cuz I just can't believe this happening HMON 857mb 206kts, yeah okay.  If true so then god help us.

Tracking Hurricane Irma - Page 18 Hmon_m10

237 mph wind that will send some trees and houses in to the next zip code affraid affraid affraid affraid
Thats also smack in the middle of the bahamas, next zipcode, stuff would land in FL. Not gonna happen, unless I hear otherwise.
jmanley32
jmanley32
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 20513
Reputation : 108
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 42
Location : Yonkers, NY

Back to top Go down

Tracking Hurricane Irma - Page 18 Empty Re: Tracking Hurricane Irma

Post by weatherwatchermom Sun Sep 03, 2017 11:28 pm

Here's what I just heard on channel 4 I don't usually what that channel..but forecaster just said if irma were to hit usa it wouldn't be that strong.....did anyone else hear her? I know I didn't hear wrong that I s irresponsible...
weatherwatchermom
weatherwatchermom
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 3734
Reputation : 77
Join date : 2014-11-25
Age : 60
Location : Hazlet Township, NJ

Back to top Go down

Tracking Hurricane Irma - Page 18 Empty Re: Tracking Hurricane Irma

Post by jmanley32 Sun Sep 03, 2017 11:29 pm

weatherwatchermom wrote:Here's what I just heard on channel 4 I don't usually what that channel..but forecaster just said if irma were to hit usa it wouldn't be that strong.....did anyone else hear her? I know I didn't hear wrong that I s irresponsible...
Thats absurd, on another note 00z GFS has begun strap in lol, the recon data must have been input cuz it initialized at 961mb.
jmanley32
jmanley32
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 20513
Reputation : 108
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 42
Location : Yonkers, NY

Back to top Go down

Tracking Hurricane Irma - Page 18 Empty Re: Tracking Hurricane Irma

Post by jmanley32 Sun Sep 03, 2017 11:34 pm

Hr 30 wow, 13mb stronger on hi-res map. Woah 933mb.
jmanley32
jmanley32
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 20513
Reputation : 108
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 42
Location : Yonkers, NY

Back to top Go down

Tracking Hurricane Irma - Page 18 Empty Re: Tracking Hurricane Irma

Post by hyde345 Sun Sep 03, 2017 11:35 pm

weatherwatchermom wrote:Here's what I just heard on channel 4 I don't usually what that channel..but forecaster just said if irma were to hit usa it wouldn't be that strong.....did anyone else hear her? I know I didn't hear wrong that I s irresponsible...

Maybe she should watch what Irma may do to the bahamas and then get back to us.
hyde345
hyde345
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 1082
Reputation : 48
Join date : 2013-01-08
Location : Hyde Park, NY

Back to top Go down

Tracking Hurricane Irma - Page 18 Empty Re: Tracking Hurricane Irma

Post by Sanchize06 Sun Sep 03, 2017 11:49 pm

GFS stronger and even more further south through 78

Sanchize06
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 1041
Reputation : 21
Join date : 2013-02-05
Location : Union Beach, NJ

Back to top Go down

Tracking Hurricane Irma - Page 18 Empty Re: Tracking Hurricane Irma

Post by jmanley32 Sun Sep 03, 2017 11:57 pm

This run very well may hit FL, Bahamas get wreaked.
jmanley32
jmanley32
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 20513
Reputation : 108
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 42
Location : Yonkers, NY

Back to top Go down

Tracking Hurricane Irma - Page 18 Empty Re: Tracking Hurricane Irma

Post by jmanley32 Mon Sep 04, 2017 12:04 am

Its actually missing direct hit on Bahamas and cuba riding between them, is this gulf bound rb? : )

Is the difference that the trough pulled out much faster?  I noticed on this run it does so much faster.


Last edited by jmanley32 on Mon Sep 04, 2017 12:11 am; edited 1 time in total
jmanley32
jmanley32
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 20513
Reputation : 108
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 42
Location : Yonkers, NY

Back to top Go down

Tracking Hurricane Irma - Page 18 Empty Re: Tracking Hurricane Irma

Post by Joe Snow Mon Sep 04, 2017 12:09 am

@138 Bye Bye Cuba
Joe Snow
Joe Snow
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 924
Reputation : 7
Join date : 2014-02-12
Age : 62
Location : Sanford Florida, Fmrly Kings Park, NY

Back to top Go down

Tracking Hurricane Irma - Page 18 Empty Re: Tracking Hurricane Irma

Post by jmanley32 Mon Sep 04, 2017 12:12 am

Joe Snow wrote:@138 Bye Bye Cuba
what is up with this run, drastically different.
jmanley32
jmanley32
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 20513
Reputation : 108
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 42
Location : Yonkers, NY

Back to top Go down

Tracking Hurricane Irma - Page 18 Empty Re: Tracking Hurricane Irma

Post by jmanley32 Mon Sep 04, 2017 12:14 am

Hello south FL as it starts to head north or NW missing direct landfall on Cuba.
jmanley32
jmanley32
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 20513
Reputation : 108
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 42
Location : Yonkers, NY

Back to top Go down

Tracking Hurricane Irma - Page 18 Empty Re: Tracking Hurricane Irma

Post by Joe Snow Mon Sep 04, 2017 12:15 am

jmanley32 wrote:
Joe Snow wrote:@138 Bye Bye Cuba
what is up with this run, drastically different.

Looking like Hurricane Donna's evil twin, track very similar


Last edited by Joe Snow on Mon Sep 04, 2017 12:17 am; edited 1 time in total
Joe Snow
Joe Snow
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 924
Reputation : 7
Join date : 2014-02-12
Age : 62
Location : Sanford Florida, Fmrly Kings Park, NY

Back to top Go down

Tracking Hurricane Irma - Page 18 Empty Re: Tracking Hurricane Irma

Post by weatherwatchermom Mon Sep 04, 2017 12:16 am

It looks like the storm stalls from 150 to 156 over cuba
weatherwatchermom
weatherwatchermom
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 3734
Reputation : 77
Join date : 2014-11-25
Age : 60
Location : Hazlet Township, NJ

Back to top Go down

Tracking Hurricane Irma - Page 18 Empty Re: Tracking Hurricane Irma

Post by jmanley32 Mon Sep 04, 2017 12:18 am

Man I hope this isnt the outcome for two reasons, the south doesnt need more of this and its go put us tracing another 10-15 days, which we started 5 days ago  crying lol
jmanley32
jmanley32
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 20513
Reputation : 108
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 42
Location : Yonkers, NY

Back to top Go down

Tracking Hurricane Irma - Page 18 Empty Re: Tracking Hurricane Irma

Post by jmanley32 Mon Sep 04, 2017 12:20 am

Oh man its a 884mb landfall on south FL, around Miami omg....
jmanley32
jmanley32
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 20513
Reputation : 108
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 42
Location : Yonkers, NY

Back to top Go down

Tracking Hurricane Irma - Page 18 Empty Re: Tracking Hurricane Irma

Post by jmanley32 Mon Sep 04, 2017 12:22 am

FL is never the same.....all the way up below 900mb my god horror.
jmanley32
jmanley32
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 20513
Reputation : 108
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 42
Location : Yonkers, NY

Back to top Go down

Tracking Hurricane Irma - Page 18 Empty Re: Tracking Hurricane Irma

Post by Joe Snow Mon Sep 04, 2017 12:25 am

jmanley32 wrote:FL is never the same.....all the way up below 900mb my god horror.

That would be shear devastation for most of Florida.................WOW
Joe Snow
Joe Snow
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 924
Reputation : 7
Join date : 2014-02-12
Age : 62
Location : Sanford Florida, Fmrly Kings Park, NY

Back to top Go down

Tracking Hurricane Irma - Page 18 Empty Re: Tracking Hurricane Irma

Post by Disneyprincess1592 Mon Sep 04, 2017 12:28 am

What would a south FL landfall mean for central FL?

Disneyprincess1592

Posts : 34
Reputation : 0
Join date : 2017-08-31

Back to top Go down

Tracking Hurricane Irma - Page 18 Empty Re: Tracking Hurricane Irma

Post by jmanley32 Mon Sep 04, 2017 12:28 am

Joe Snow wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:FL is never the same.....all the way up below 900mb my god horror.

That would be shear devastation for most of Florida.................WOW
My inlaws new house is under construction due to move late Sept., it will be gone eye right over the daytona area....
jmanley32
jmanley32
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 20513
Reputation : 108
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 42
Location : Yonkers, NY

Back to top Go down

Tracking Hurricane Irma - Page 18 Empty Re: Tracking Hurricane Irma

Post by jmanley32 Mon Sep 04, 2017 12:29 am

Disneyprincess1592 wrote:What would a south FL landfall mean for central FL?
All of FL on this run is devastated, but this is the first run like this, models still have no clue.
jmanley32
jmanley32
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 20513
Reputation : 108
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 42
Location : Yonkers, NY

Back to top Go down

Tracking Hurricane Irma - Page 18 Empty Re: Tracking Hurricane Irma

Post by Sponsored content


Sponsored content


Back to top Go down

Page 18 of 35 Previous  1 ... 10 ... 17, 18, 19 ... 26 ... 35  Next

Back to top


 
Permissions in this forum:
You cannot reply to topics in this forum