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Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?

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Post by aiannone Sun Sep 17, 2017 11:14 am

syosnow94 wrote:
jwalsh wrote:The cone moves westHurricane Jose - Yay or Nay? - Page 12 Img_5111

No change at all actually
Yes it moved west. This was the 11pm
Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay? - Page 12 Image10

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Post by frank 638 Sun Sep 17, 2017 11:18 am

Just got through watching The Weather Channel so far they're saying for NYC Long Island lower Westchester Coastal Connecticut and south of Jersey will see two to three inches worth of rain with beach erosion and possibility of major coastal flooding

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Post by amugs Sun Sep 17, 2017 11:37 am

WOW - a decent shift west now - they are starting to listen to Rb !!!!!!!!

Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay? - Page 12 145546

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Post by amugs Sun Sep 17, 2017 11:38 am

OHJ SNAP from Ventrice and his new forecast model that is said to have done well with Irma within 48 hours!
Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay? - Page 12 MgWeb_WRF_20170917-120000_ANE_ECONUS_F00553000_PgeneralSfcWind_R12km.thumb.png.783e10d3238998e6a6d0afec011ff121

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Post by amugs Sun Sep 17, 2017 11:44 am

GFS just caved peeps - this is getting real now. 12Z euro, NAVGEM will see if this westerly track holds.

Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay? - Page 12 59be97b33a0f1

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Post by amugs Sun Sep 17, 2017 11:46 am

Syo - going golfing Tuesday?? Good luck dude and I want to see yuor score card LOL!! Laughing Laughing

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Post by amugs Sun Sep 17, 2017 11:50 am

If this leftover energy is for real then this pulls Jose closer to the coast as the NAM is showing.
Complex set up for sure here

Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay? - Page 12 Sketched_59be8198d5390

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Post by skinsfan1177 Sun Sep 17, 2017 11:52 am

amugs wrote:If this leftover energy is for real then this pulls Jose closer to the coast as the NAM is showing.
Complex set up for sure here

Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay? - Page 12 Sketched_59be8198d5390

Amugs what is that energy over us will that phase into jose
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Post by SoulSingMG Sun Sep 17, 2017 11:58 am

skinsfan1177 wrote:
amugs wrote:If this leftover energy is for real then this pulls Jose closer to the coast as the NAM is showing.
Complex set up for sure here

Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay? - Page 12 Sketched_59be8198d5390

Amugs what is that energy over us will that phase into jose

Irma, if I may.
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Post by skinsfan1177 Sun Sep 17, 2017 12:05 pm

SoulSingMG wrote:
skinsfan1177 wrote:
amugs wrote:If this leftover energy is for real then this pulls Jose closer to the coast as the NAM is showing.
Complex set up for sure here

Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay? - Page 12 Sketched_59be8198d5390


Amugs what is that energy over us will that phase into jose

Irma, if I may.

Haha so Irma and Jose meet up after all
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Post by SoulSingMG Sun Sep 17, 2017 12:06 pm

skinsfan1177 wrote:
SoulSingMG wrote:
skinsfan1177 wrote:
amugs wrote:If this leftover energy is for real then this pulls Jose closer to the coast as the NAM is showing.
Complex set up for sure here

Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay? - Page 12 Sketched_59be8198d5390


Amugs what is that energy over us will that phase into jose

Irma, if I may.

Haha so Irma and Jose meet up after all

And rumor has it, they're looking for a third. #Maria
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Post by jake732 Sun Sep 17, 2017 12:19 pm

even with this shift west, is it more then a breezy day?? i cant read wind maps to well
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Post by skinsfan1177 Sun Sep 17, 2017 12:28 pm

jake732 wrote:even with this shift west, is it more then a breezy day?? i cant read wind maps to well

More than a breezy day on current model runs trending west. Might see 3-5 inches of rain and major coastal flooding
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Post by jake732 Sun Sep 17, 2017 12:29 pm

i live 15 miles from coast so for me much less i guess...meaning no flooding
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Post by frank 638 Sun Sep 17, 2017 12:38 pm

So far the weather channel has NYC south of Jersey Long Island and much of Connecticut for 2 and 3 inches of rain and the possibility of major coastal flooding

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Post by amugs Sun Sep 17, 2017 12:45 pm

frank 638 wrote:So far the weather channel has NYC south of Jersey Long Island and much of Connecticut for 2 and 3 inches of rain and the possibility of major coastal flooding

Word to wise PEEPS!!

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Post by SoulSingMG Sun Sep 17, 2017 12:51 pm

Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay? - Page 12 Img_6410
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Post by frank 638 Sun Sep 17, 2017 1:06 pm

What does Westwood track you guys think tropical storm Watches or Warnings will go up far area

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Post by frank 638 Sun Sep 17, 2017 1:06 pm

LOL I'm sorry what I meant was with this West would track do you think tropical storm watches will go up

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Post by amugs Sun Sep 17, 2017 1:25 pm

frank 638 wrote:What does Westwood track you guys think tropical storm Watches or Warnings will go up far area

For the shore areas and NYC metro , LI and S CT maybe they wont do so until maybe tonight or tomorrow morning.

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Post by Sanchize06 Sun Sep 17, 2017 1:26 pm

JMA is west

Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay? - Page 12 Jma_z500_mslp_us_4

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Post by frank 638 Sun Sep 17, 2017 1:30 pm

Wow Jose going more west if it stays like this Suffolk county could get hit with a landfall

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Post by amugs Sun Sep 17, 2017 1:30 pm

If trends continue well see watches later today possibly.

2. While the center of Jose is currently forecast to remain offshore
of the U.S. coast, the large cyclone could cause some direct impacts
from Virginia northward to New England, and any deviation to the
left of the NHC forecast track would increase the likelihood and
magnitude of those impacts. Interests along the U.S. east coast
from Virginia to New England should monitor the progress of Jose
through the next several days. Tropical storm watches could be
required for a portion of this area later today.


I would say the LI and this point

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Post by jmanley32 Sun Sep 17, 2017 1:41 pm

Wow that map above in in the 50 to 65 kt wind field damn. Frank not going to change hurricane index yet?
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Post by aiannone Sun Sep 17, 2017 2:00 pm

Im waiting for king euro

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Post by amugs Sun Sep 17, 2017 2:04 pm

aiannone wrote:Im waiting for king euro

Here we go Alex!!

Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay? - Page 12 59beb8adb71b0

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Post by aiannone Sun Sep 17, 2017 2:09 pm

Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay? - Page 12 Ecmwf_12

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