April 2020 Observations and Discussion

Zoo great idea for future storms

Like I typically do this time of year I lock the long range thread and consolidate most discussion in these monthly threads.

Expect cooler than normal conditions to persist another two weeks. We are seeing high latitude blocking (-NAO) across the Atlantic and a +PNA. The MJO is active in phases that favor cooler weather.



When it crashes to the center is the time we should expect to see a step-change to sustained warm up. I think the first week of May will be around normal, some days below, but by the time we get to the second week it should be noticeably warmer around here.

And who wants white gold in dem hills??

Friday into Saturday AM:



How about some freeze and frost - break out the firewood!! And blanky

SNOWING IN Stillwater NJ at 1190 feet Altitude! Not sticking but 39 degrees and Dropping! People are talking might get a Inch of Snow Tonight! Snow is Good !

Well it’s been snowing here in Stillwater at 1190 feet altitude for a couple hours, it is Down to 34 degrees, about 3/4 inch of snow on cars and BBQ grill, if it gets colder I may have to Break out the Snow Shovel !

April 17th snows - got to love this!!!! Thanks for posting the pictures 1190.
Buddy in Franklin said expecting 4-6" tonight and another in West Milford said snow was sticking to grass and car tops.

EURO takes MJO into Phase 3 = Cold for the east - LOVELY!!! Where was this phase in Jan or Feb!!
From WxBell adn JB


Look at Phase 3 on this ARGGHHH!!!

This morning at 6 am, 45 degrees and hard to say how much snow. We woke up to about three. Maybe it was more. I have to think there was some melting going on given the ground is warmer. Nice to see the woods white.

8 am back to snowing. Fair rate of falling snow

8 am back to snowing. Fair rate of falling snow

And we are at 41* and a cold .53" of rain...... cold rainy spring not fun!

33.6° and snowing, no accumulation.

Went back and forth between rain and snow all night, nothing sticking, ten to fifteen miles to my NW 3-4 inches. The final parting insult to the worst winter ever.

Glad you guys are enjoying April snow, I am perfectly happy not having snow. I just want 60s-70s it will help my mood with this awful staying home.  Anyone see 240 hrs on GFS, woah thats one bad noreaster, hybrid I dunno what to call it for this time of year, not that it will happen but bears watching, would put this past Mondays storm to shame.  Hope you are all doing well.

From my buddy in Franklin in NY



Another Freeze coming to a town near you Tuesday night into Wednesday morning with snow showers to the Northern folk.

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:33.6° and snowing, no accumulation.

Went back and forth between rain and snow all night, nothing sticking, ten to fifteen miles to my NW 3-4 inches. The final parting insult to the worst winter ever.

Not a flake here at all, just rain.Damaian a little North of me had 3 inches.You're right CP, a last insulting parting shot of a God awful winter here.

Bottomed out at 27.8° this morning. Definitely looking forward to 60° later today.

Where was this pattern December 15th through March?

Amazing that so many seem to be complaining about how cold April has been and most stations are now within a half degree plus or minus normal right now for the month (NYC -0.2° through the 18th, Newark +0.2° and Poughkeepsie +0.5°.

We've grown so accustomed to above normal temperatures we've forgotten what normal feels like, or at least what use to be normal as the planet continues to warm.

A double wamo by the GFS!
Watch it happen and why - cause its not winter.

HI-Res NAM and HRRR has a nice line pushing through the area between 3-5pm

Not impressive on radar at the moment, maybe if these clouds break a little it will provide a little pop, but it doesn't usually pan out for severe weather for us here in NENJ... we'll see

Yeah I dunno, a possible watch of only 40% is mesoscale discussion for central jersey sounth. Nothing up this way. Had some rain and one clap thunder a little bit ago, been showers for hours now. Wind is coming up a bit lets see if the wind advisory holds true. I would say yes as passages of fronts often do yield some pretty strong winds. Its a short duration advisory only 9 hrs. 5pm to 2am. Then a freeze, 29 they say grr, too cold. Where was that cold back in winter?

amugs wrote:A double wamo by the GFS!
Watch it happen and why - cause its not winter.

Cannot see the image mugs, what did it show, can you repost?

Pouring here and temps dropped 4 degrees in 5 minutes here with a strong winds so far.

WOW hailing bigly here!!

Freeze Warnings tonight ... again
Freeze Warning
URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service New York NY
541 AM EDT Tue Apr 21 2020

CTZ005-006-009-010-NJZ002-004-103>105-107-NYZ067>071-078-080-
212030-
/O.CON.KOKX.FZ.W.0003.200422T0400Z-200422T1300Z/
/O.CON.KOKX.WI.Y.0008.200421T2100Z-200422T0600Z/
Northern Fairfield-Northern New Haven-Southern Fairfield-
Southern New Haven-Western Passaic-Eastern Passaic-Western Bergen-
Eastern Bergen-Western Essex-Western Union-Orange-Putnam-Rockland-
Northern Westchester-Southern Westchester-Northwestern Suffolk-
Southwestern Suffolk-
541 AM EDT Tue Apr 21 2020

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
2 AM EDT WEDNESDAY...
...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM
EDT WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...For the Wind Advisory, northwest winds 10 to 20 mph with
gusts up to 50 mph expected. For the Freeze Warning, sub-
freezing temperatures as low as 26 expected.

* WHERE...Portions of northeast New Jersey, southern Connecticut
and southeast New York.

* WHEN...For the Wind Advisory, from 5 PM this afternoon to 2 AM
EDT Wednesday. For the Freeze Warning, from midnight tonight to
9 AM EDT Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects.
Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may
result. Frost and freeze conditions will kill crops, other
sensitive vegetation and possibly damage unprotected outdoor
plumbing.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold. To prevent
freezing and possible bursting of outdoor water pipes they should
be wrapped, drained, or allowed to drip slowly. Those that have
in-ground sprinkler systems should drain them and cover above-
ground pipes to protect them from freezing.

Tornado warning here!! With a ton hail. Winds did not really get crazy. Knocked out my zoom session with a parent. Luckily doesn't look like there was a actual tornado.