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May 2020 Observations & Discussions

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Post by GreyBeard Mon May 11, 2020 3:45 pm

Another ho hum day,currently 52° intermittent sun and clouds with an occasional brief shower. Looks like possible record cold tonight and tomorrow night.Hoping for turn around by the end of the week with temps approaching 80° on Friday. That will be a welcome change. Still have heating system turning on at night, but the one caveat with that is home heating oil can be had for $1.13 a gallon.It's times like these when I wish I had a 500 gallon tank. Regular gas at Bj's $1.61 a gallon. Remember a few summers back when it was over $4.00 a gallon?

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Post by dkodgis Mon May 11, 2020 3:54 pm

At 3:30 pm it got black out, wind blew for 10 min like crazy and now it is summy. Two more days of cold nights

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Post by brownie Mon May 11, 2020 3:59 pm

dkodgis wrote:At 3:30 pm it got black out, wind blew for 10 min like crazy and now it is summy. Two more days of cold nights
It hit here at 3 pm, pea size hail! Blue skies now.

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Post by amugs Mon May 11, 2020 5:05 pm

Wind Chills - tonight - YIKES for MAY!!

May 2020 Observations & Discussions - Page 5 1589277600-FQpKD1oOVzg

Temps for tonight:
May 2020 Observations & Discussions - Page 5 1589277600-jaJjoBZU8SM

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Post by billg315 Wed May 13, 2020 10:29 am

Cold morning but shaping up for a nice afternoon. The temps coming up will be much more May appropriate. And with beaches reopened I hope Memorial Day weekend continues that warming trend.
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Post by dkodgis Wed May 13, 2020 11:14 am

Mother’s Day felt more like St. Patrick’s Day for being cool. I have high hope by not this weekend but the next that we see some heat come our way
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Post by amugs Wed May 13, 2020 8:32 pm

GFS saying a phase of this trop cyclone hat will bring copious amounts of rain and wind from Monday late through Tuesday if crrect:
May 2020 Observations & Discussions - Page 5 Gfs_z500_vort_namer_22.thumb.png.554595af9b24aa32734fb1421ea644ea

May 2020 Observations & Discussions - Page 5 Gem_z500_vort_namer_26.thumb.png.d50ce264e7e480176a41b24cb44ce804

May 2020 Observations & Discussions - Page 5 1589922000-JHxzrlSSvSQ

Winds - NE/Easterly fetch = beach erosion and coastal flooding

May 2020 Observations & Discussions - Page 5 1589922000-lYWillT9g2U

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Post by amugs Wed May 13, 2020 8:37 pm

Holy WETNESS!!

May 2020 Observations & Discussions - Page 5 1590235200-GfIR0jWk2Qk

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Post by amugs Thu May 14, 2020 9:56 am

May 2020 Observations & Discussions - Page 5 EX-wjK2WAAAPKxa?format=jpg&name=small

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Post by jmanley32 Thu May 14, 2020 10:14 am

Looks like a bunch of different storm systems to track in the next 7-10 days one tomorrow with possible severe storms and even the slight chance of tornadoes. So is potential arthur going to interact with some other system to give us that crazy 3-5 inches of rain? Can't say I am looking forward to that at all. At least memorial day is shot so we dont have to be upset about weather related cancellations. Though I am not sure about NJ plans for memorial day. RI plans to have its beaches open, they think they going to stop people at the border you want a lawsuit governor? It's illegal to ban interstate travel so if you wanna go go!
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Post by Sanchize06 Thu May 14, 2020 10:26 am

GFS

May 2020 Observations & Discussions - Page 5 Qpf_acc.us_ne

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Post by billg315 Thu May 14, 2020 1:45 pm

Atmosphere will be boiling tomorrow: High temps and high dewpoints. I’m expecting a good round of possibly severe T’Storms tomorrow late afternoon/evening. Then it looks like a lot of rain chances next week with that disturbance spinning off the East Coast.
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Post by Frank_Wx Thu May 14, 2020 9:52 pm

I’m excited for storms tomorrow.

Probably haven’t been this excited for a weather event since 2010

Ok kidding

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Post by jmanley32 Thu May 14, 2020 11:03 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:I’m excited for storms tomorrow.

Probably haven’t been this excited for a weather event since 2010

Ok kidding
About 2010 or the whole thing? Do you see this being a good severe event, most usually disappoint?
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Post by jmanley32 Fri May 15, 2020 12:36 am

Parts of hudson valley and into CT and PA are in enhanced for severe weather now. Lets rock and roll tomorrow! We need some excitement.
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Post by jmanley32 Fri May 15, 2020 9:42 am

Looks like the severe threat has shifted the worst well to the north. Northern Hudson Valley and central NY look to have best chance. Of course the spc outlook could still change.
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Post by dkodgis Fri May 15, 2020 11:01 am

Later today is shaping up to be a grinder
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Post by billg315 Fri May 15, 2020 11:39 am

Frank_Wx wrote:I’m excited for storms tomorrow.

Probably haven’t been this excited for a weather event since 2010

Ok kidding

Don’t kill my joy. I’ve got no sports, no bars, and no gym. I need at least some thunder and lightning in my life. And c’mon; I know you’ll be sitting by your window with some Nutella waiting for these storms to roll in tonight. Razz
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Post by Grselig Fri May 15, 2020 12:02 pm

billg315 wrote:
Frank_Wx wrote:I’m excited for storms tomorrow.

Probably haven’t been this excited for a weather event since 2010

Ok kidding

Don’t kill my joy. I’ve got no sports, no bars, and no gym. I need at least some thunder and lightning in my life. And c’mon; I know you’ll be sitting by your window with some Nutella waiting for these storms to roll in tonight. Razz

Hold, on friend, it's field day for the kids! lets not ruin this morning.  However, I'm all in for thunder, lightning, hale and locusts later today, after 3.  I hope we can compromise on this situation. Its for the kids!  

I hate not having my gym.  Working out in the back yard, but I have no heavy weights. Better cardio and leaner, but not the same.    Still, far better than nothing.
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Post by billg315 Fri May 15, 2020 12:56 pm

Grselig wrote:
billg315 wrote:
Frank_Wx wrote:I’m excited for storms tomorrow.

Probably haven’t been this excited for a weather event since 2010

Ok kidding

Don’t kill my joy. I’ve got no sports, no bars, and no gym. I need at least some thunder and lightning in my life. And c’mon; I know you’ll be sitting by your window with some Nutella waiting for these storms to roll in tonight. Razz

Hold, on friend, it's field day for the kids! lets not ruin this morning.  However, I'm all in for thunder, lightning, hale and locusts later today, after 3.  I hope we can compromise on this situation. Its for the kids!  

I hate not having my gym.  Working out in the back yard, but I have no heavy weights. Better cardio and leaner, but not the same.    Still, far better than nothing.

Your request is eminently reasonable. I will compromise. No thunderboomers before 3 pm. We’ll keep any atmospheric pyrotechnics and locusts to after 8 pm.

And on the gym issue I’ve been doing more cardio and body weight exercises but like you I do miss the wider selection of exercises at the gym.
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Post by Sanchize06 Fri May 15, 2020 1:06 pm

Euro still showing widespread 4-7" of rain throughout the week

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Post by jmanley32 Fri May 15, 2020 1:47 pm

Sanchize06 wrote:Euro still showing widespread 4-7" of rain throughout the week
Jeeze that wil lcause some issues, even with lower precip than usual.  I dunno how much storms will affect the southern areas as SPC as I said moved the highest area now into central NY.  Yes I hope we get a massive t-storm.

rainfall map?
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Post by amugs Fri May 15, 2020 2:37 pm

GFS trends wet - in line with EURO so far:
May 2020 Observations & Discussions - Page 5 Gfs_apcpn_neus_fh162_trend.thumb.gif.40ae2476bbaca562c1f0051c0b7c7dae

EURO:
May 2020 Observations & Discussions - Page 5 Qpf_acc.us_ne.thumb.png.225d5fe429667b340655296ae01c149b

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Post by billg315 Fri May 15, 2020 2:39 pm

Sunny and 84* with a dewpoint of 60*. Perfect conditions for some storms. May catch a “break” (If you don’t like storms) in that the main line arrives after sunset so the atmosphere may not be as juiced.
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Post by Grselig Fri May 15, 2020 3:05 pm

billg315 wrote:Sunny and 84* with a dewpoint of 60*. Perfect conditions for some storms. May catch a “break” (If you don’t like storms) in that the main line arrives after sunset so the atmosphere may not be as juiced.

Let’s hope there are no breaks. We need good storms. Field day is over. May they be biblical (in a good way where nobody gets hurt).
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Post by frank 638 Fri May 15, 2020 3:44 pm

Crazy how last week we were dealing with snow squall And snow showers now it’s summer currently it’s 83*And I am ready for a good thunderstorm nothing severe

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Post by jimv45 Fri May 15, 2020 4:07 pm

Tornado Watch just put up to my north! looks like a busy night ahead.

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