June Obs & Discussion

jmanley32 wrote:

sroc4 wrote:

jmanley32 wrote:Appears the NAM even at 12z is way off with the actual placement of the line, oh well that sux, was hoping for some severe storms. The HRRR has the placement where it actually shows the line on radar now so I would discount the NAm completely.

Discounted completely?  

Well look at the placement of the current line and the placement on the NAM, and the placement on the HRRR and the current radar. I dont think the line is suddenly going to jump to where the NAM is do you? LOL

Totally different entities moving through at diff times. 2pm ish HRRR vs 5pm is on the NAM

sroc4 wrote:

jmanley32 wrote:

sroc4 wrote:

jmanley32 wrote:Appears the NAM even at 12z is way off with the actual placement of the line, oh well that sux, was hoping for some severe storms. The HRRR has the placement where it actually shows the line on radar now so I would discount the NAm completely.

Discounted completely?  

Well look at the placement of the current line and the placement on the NAM, and the placement on the HRRR and the current radar. I dont think the line is suddenly going to jump to where the NAM is do you? LOL

Totally different entities moving through at diff times.  2pm ish HRRR vs 5pm is on the NAM

So there may be a similar line like on the NAM in a few hours? But the NAM did NOT show the morning line at all is why i thought that.

jmanley32 wrote:

sroc4 wrote:

jmanley32 wrote:

sroc4 wrote:

jmanley32 wrote:Appears the NAM even at 12z is way off with the actual placement of the line, oh well that sux, was hoping for some severe storms. The HRRR has the placement where it actually shows the line on radar now so I would discount the NAm completely.

Discounted completely?  

Well look at the placement of the current line and the placement on the NAM, and the placement on the HRRR and the current radar. I dont think the line is suddenly going to jump to where the NAM is do you? LOL

Totally different entities moving through at diff times.  2pm ish HRRR vs 5pm is on the NAM

So there may be a similar line like on the NAM in a few hours? But the NAM did NOT show the morning line at all is why i thought that.

NWS Latest update:

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
Stratified rain on the north side of an MCS passing off the NJ
coast will work quickly across the area the next couple of
hours. We should then clear back out. The question is can the
airmass recover and destabilize again for a chance of thunderstorms
later this afternoon. The last several runs of the HRRR redevelops
convection to NW of the Lower Hudson Valley late this
afternoon, which then drops south and east across the area
through early this evening. So will maintain a scattered threat
for late this afternoon into early this evening. Any strong and
or severe looks to be isolated and not as widespread as earlier
thought.

Well that stinks, oh well, just another addition to a very bad day.

RPM for tonight

amugs wrote:RPM for tonight

No images showing mugs.

Here is that second line of storms coming in that Scott was talking about:

The NWS confirms the severe line of storms that moved through the Philly and South Jersey area earlier was a derecho. Winds were clocked in the upper-80s mph in many locations and three deaths recorded.

Nothing my way today until about 7:15 pm - then quite the rain storm. Still raining heavily

Last night on the way to Monroe from Fort Lee NJ, ran into pitch black clouds.It opened up with extremely heavy rain and some wind near Hickory Farm Nursery.Had to pull over in the old Red Apple Rest parking lot for 10 minutes, I could not see even with my windshield wipers going at cartoon speed.Notices small branches and leaves going up the Orange Turnpike.
Calm and sunny now.

Dunnzoo wrote:

docstox12 wrote:Last night on the way to Monroe from Fort Lee NJ, ran into pitch black clouds.It opened up with extremely heavy rain and some wind near Hickory Farm Nursery.Had to pull over in the old Red Apple Rest parking lot for 10 minutes, I could not see even with my windshield wipers going at cartoon speed.Notices small branches and leaves going up the Orange Turnpike.
Calm and sunny now.

Wow, Red Apple Rest! That's a throwback! The rain was quite the deal here, nothing severe, just heavy rain.

Sunny, calm.

Dunz, it's still there but boarded up and in terrible shape.I expect it to come down sooner rather than later.I know it was in a Woody Allen movie and the Motel across the street still in business , was in the 1970 movie "Love Story".Monroe NY's claim to movie fame,LOL.Pass them both on the way to Fort Lee and back to attend to my Mom's needs.

NAM's for T-storms today
3K


Regular NAM (12K)

Yesterdays Storms Report - WOW!!

0119 PM TSTM WND GST BEACH HAVEN 39.56N 74.25W 06/03/2020 M93 MPH OCEAN NJ PUBLIC MEASURED 93 MPH WIND GUST FROM WXUNDERGROUND KNJLONGB42.

amugs wrote:NAM's for T-storms today
3K


Regular NAM (12K)

Yjat looks identical to last nights, let me hopethat i see a better storm than last night just rediculously heavy rain and not really any wind. The worst looked to be to my north around 287. Thats a lice likke bowing line, might get some good storm out of that.

jmanley32 wrote:

amugs wrote:NAM's for T-storms today
3K


Regular NAM (12K)

Yjat looks identical to last nights, let me hopethat i see a better storm than last night just rediculously heavy rain and not really any wind. The worst looked to be to my north around 287.  Thats a lice likke bowing line, might get some good storm out of that.

But its the NAM. "Completely Discounted"



JK Jon. I hope you the family are well.

amugs wrote:Yesterdays Storms Report - WOW!!

 0119 PM TSTM WND GST BEACH HAVEN 39.56N 74.25W   06/03/2020 M93 MPH OCEAN NJ PUBLIC     MEASURED 93 MPH WIND GUST FROM WXUNDERGROUND   KNJLONGB42.  

wow that's one of our favorite boat stops..I am glad we were not on our boat down there yesterday...

HELLLLLOOOOOO...ANYONE HERE..... hope everyone is well??!!..we had lots of rain and storms yesterday..a total of 2.16 inches of rain..good for my garden... very humid today...but sun is out...hope you all stay safe and enjoy the weekend!!

weatherwatchermom wrote:HELLLLLOOOOOO...ANYONE HERE..... hope everyone is well??!!..we had lots of rain and storms yesterday..a total of 2.16 inches of rain..good for my garden... very humid today...but sun is out...hope you all stay safe and enjoy the weekend!!

Here for ya Mom!!
The DP here is 70* and temp is 77* = disgusting out!

1.81" of wetness for me - great for my vegetable garden too!!

What a gorgeous day today!! Felt like September. Went off a hike at Campgaw Reservation in Mahwah, Ramapo Reservation was insane.
Temps here got to 78* with a nice breeze to windy conditions throughout the day. Good wx days ahead Mon and Tuesday!

53* last night - gorgeous sleeping weather.

Tonight is going to be very comfortable sleeping as well!