DECEMBER 16th 17th 2020 Snow Threat???

frank 638 wrote:

SoulSingMG wrote:Welcome back, Bernie.

please let stay all snow please we need this esp the winter we had last year

where do we watch this?

SoulSingMG wrote:

bloc1357 wrote:

SoulSingMG wrote:Holy Smokes.

Where did you find this map?? When I go to NWS pages all I find is today's event.

https://www.weather.gov/okx//winter

Interesting....takes me to a completely different page when I click on that link....only shows today not the 16th and 17th

bloc1357 wrote:

SoulSingMG wrote:

bloc1357 wrote:

SoulSingMG wrote:Holy Smokes.

Where did you find this map?? When I go to NWS pages all I find is today's event.

https://www.weather.gov/okx//winter

Interesting....takes me to a completely different page when I click on that link....only shows today not the 16th and 17th

That’s very odd. You should see a Snow Amount Potential page including other maps depicting low-end and high-end amounts. Make sure you click the “probabilistic snowfall forecasts” tab.

18z GFS, ICYMI. She purrty, even for LI.

SoulSingMG wrote:18z GFS, ICYMI. She purrty, even for LI.

your posting the ratio snow that map doesn't verify cut it by almost half.

jmanley32 wrote:

SoulSingMG wrote:18z GFS, ICYMI. She purrty, even for LI.

your posting the ratio snow that map doesn't verify cut it by almost half.

Mmhmm, but the theme is LI staying in the good snows. Euro is running...

Euro & GFS, coming into gorgeous alignment.

Really amazing how close the major models have been for so long on this. I mean dating back to last Thursday there was largely big picture agreement on this storm and it has held through the whole weekend. Now the details are coming together on the models as well. The only real outlier this whole time was the NAM this morning and even that came around quickly on the last run (yet to be seen if the positive trend continues in its next run). It seems the last couple years we could never get good model agreement, but this has bucked that trend.

amugs wrote:Okay call me crazy but this has the same type of overall look like dare I say Jan. 2016 Blizzard!!! Very similar peeps in the snow distribution.

Certainly reminiscent in the forecast amounts. Reminds me a bit of the setup for the January 2016 storm (Jonas? can't remember winter storm names), which also was preceded by a minor storm a couple days before.

Yikes... widespread power outages?!

I think the NYC total is low, NWS is saying 12-18.

Still a few days away but Hyde starting to look like we may miss out on the goods, but there time to come back more north!!!!

amugs wrote:Non Crapola - on my cell phone - sorry

And this for ya'll rom 33& rain Mike B Met student

blizzard warnings I think might go up on Wed. Not b4 winds have be looked at close to storm. Not that it changes snow totals but it's still fun to say hey we got one. My concern is the power. Especially pines. This is supposed be a wet snow right?

crippo84 wrote:

amugs wrote:Non Crapola

What is meant by the Crapola ratio? Clearly higher than 10:1...

Years ago, Frank put in a feature to auto-correct K-U-C-H-E-R-A to that. He did a similar one for B-O-S-T-O-N for different correction.

Any first call snow maps

billg315 wrote:

amugs wrote:Okay call me crazy but this has the same type of overall look like dare I say Jan. 2016 Blizzard!!! Very similar peeps in the snow distribution.

Certainly reminiscent in the forecast amounts. Reminds me a bit of the setup for the January 2016 storm (Jonas? can't remember winter storm names), which also was preceded by a minor storm a couple days before.

The only time in my life I was annoyed getting a foot of snow.