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12/16-12/17 Godzilla: Final Snow Map & Obsevations

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Post by weatherwatchermom Thu Dec 17, 2020 10:07 am

@Frank_Wx wrote:http://sirocco.accuweather.com/nxssa_r1_h_500x620d/r1h/inxr1Kphla_h.gif

in that dark green right now snowing pretty hard!
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Post by weatherwatchermom Thu Dec 17, 2020 10:10 am

Hey Mugs..Happy Birthday!!!
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Post by amugs Thu Dec 17, 2020 10:33 am

@weatherwatchermom wrote:Hey Mugs..Happy Birthday!!!

GRAZI MILLE!!!!!!!!!

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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by essexcountypete Thu Dec 17, 2020 10:37 am

Can't believe that last little spot of green on the radar is over me. Still snowing. cheers
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Post by Dunnzoo Thu Dec 17, 2020 10:38 am

Happy Birthday Mugsy! Calling it at 9" of birthday gold for you! When my son shoveled last night, there was 6.5" on the ground, and it wasn't too heavy. Then the mix and additional inches in the early morning made it soooo heavy! Glad we didn't wait to shovel everything this morning. Temps stayed in the 23*-25* during the storm.

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Snowfall winter of 2020-2021  51.1"

Snowfall winter of 2019-2020         8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019     25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018     51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017     45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016     29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015     50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014     66.5"
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Post by amugs Thu Dec 17, 2020 10:45 am

@Dunnzoo wrote:Happy Birthday Mugsy! Calling it at 9" of birthday gold for you! When my son shoveled last night, there was 6.5" on the ground, and it wasn't too heavy. Then the mix and additional inches in the early morning made it soooo heavy! Glad we didn't wait to shovel everything this morning. Temps stayed in the 23*-25* during the storm.

Thanks Janet and I do concur - CAD was strong even with that slightly warm tongue at 750 that I posted yesterday from the NAM that Ray (rb) was speaking of. Out to snow blow after class (virtual today)!

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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by amugs Thu Dec 17, 2020 10:46 am


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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by rb924119 Thu Dec 17, 2020 10:47 am

Happy Birthday, mugsy, and many happy and healthy more!!!

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Post by algae888 Thu Dec 17, 2020 10:52 am

This will end up being a major East Coast snow storm for the immediate New York City area

As per posts on this board and elsewhere (not yet in the NWS PNS), Central Park up to 10", Newark Airport reporting 11", the Bronx with 12.6", Elizabeth with 9.1", LaGuardia with 9", JFK with 6.2" (close to the coast, so a lot more sleet) and Philly with a final tally of 6.6". I think we're going to see a lot more reports in the 8-12" range for Middlesex and NE NJ
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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Thu Dec 17, 2020 10:54 am

There have been 29 Decembers with 10 or more inches of snow in NYC

24 of those winters have then had 30 or more inches for the season or 82.8%

17 of the 29 have had 40 or more inches of snow for the season or 58.6%

9 of the 29 have had 50 or more inches of snow or the season or 31.0%
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Post by jimv45 Thu Dec 17, 2020 10:55 am

Nice storm about 15 here!! hearing they got 25 inches just east of my parents who live in Hopewell Jct near Stormville if that is correct!

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Post by algae888 Thu Dec 17, 2020 10:58 am

@CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:There have been 29 Decembers with 10 or more inches of snow in NYC

24 of those winters have then had 30 or more inches for the season or 82.8%

17 of the 29 have had 40 or more inches of snow for the season or 58.6%

9 of the 29 have had 50 or more inches of snow or the season or 31.0%

Great stuff CP. It looks like there's a good chance that a lot of the winter forecast for this year are going to bust very low. Their December forecast are definitely a bust as we will be well above normal in snowfall and probably end up slightly below normal temperature wise I did not see one forecast predict that
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Post by emokid51783 Thu Dec 17, 2020 11:00 am

The snow keeps coming down in Jersey City, been all morning

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Post by Dunnzoo Thu Dec 17, 2020 11:19 am

NWS Upton storm totals, Bergen County numbers (they didn't include mine of 9") were all reported as of this morning, after compaction from the sleet we had last night. Problem when there is a changeover during the storm. geek

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Snowfall winter of 2020-2021  51.1"

Snowfall winter of 2019-2020         8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019     25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018     51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017     45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016     29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015     50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014     66.5"
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Post by amugs Thu Dec 17, 2020 11:25 am


_________________
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Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Thu Dec 17, 2020 11:26 am

Happy Birthday your highness (Mugs)
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Post by nutleyblizzard Thu Dec 17, 2020 11:32 am

With that final snow band that came through I ended up with another inch. 8” total for the storm. It’s not the 12+ I was expecting, but a good storm nonetheless.
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Post by WeatherBob Thu Dec 17, 2020 11:37 am

I don’ t mean to be critical but when people say , it’s snowing so hard here, the snow is picking up here, we got 10 in of snow here. It wud make it so much easier , since there are different types of devices we use to access the internet: laptop, hone, iPad etc , to actually know where the person is when they make an observation. As such, to make it easy for people to know where the observation is coming from, just put you area, town and state etc. .

Thank you!
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Post by docstox12 Thu Dec 17, 2020 11:43 am

Happy Birthday Mugsy!!!
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Post by RJB8525 Thu Dec 17, 2020 11:44 am

Binghamton NY got 41"lol

Happy bday Mugs party party party
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Post by sroc4 Thu Dec 17, 2020 11:49 am

Hey folks.  Sorry for the lack of updates last night into this am.  Last night I sort of intentionally went radio silent because when we get to now cast sometimes I like to just sit back and let it happen.  Esp if there is bad news It drives me crazy to hear about it over and over.  I was optimistic that IMBY would reach double digits but watching the warm nose inch its way closer last night it became apparent that it wasnt going to happen.   Instead I sat back with the wife and kids and drank wine and enjoyed the moment.  Much more relaxing that way.  It of course didn't help that my wife gave me a little grief when I got home from work last night and jumped right on the comp to check in here.  And I quote "Seriously?  You've been watching the weather non stop for a week.  Cant you just enjoy it with me?"    
Fair enough honey.  

This morning I was scrambling to clear the driveway and get to my office to open up.  

Id say this pretty much played out how I expected; with no real surprises.  I mentioned yesterday that there were going to be aspects of both mine and Rays original discussion on the 11th that were going to verify, and other aspects that will not.  The original discussion detailed a great big picture set up for wide spread snowfall which verified quite nicely.  The idea that the set up was a poor one and that the majority of our area would be flooded with warm air clearly wasn't the case.  That said Ray was pretty much spot on and never wavering with the idea of a warm nose poking into the coast, and that the axis of heaviest totals would past I80/84 which looks to be the case.  Bravo Ray.  You really are second to none on this board, and I thank you for your input as I still love to learn.   The warm nose and because the LP did tuck itself in tight to the coast for the majority of the precip. ket totals along the coastal plain down relatively speaking.  That said It appears that pretty much the vast majority of the coverage area with the exception of the Southern and and far eastern portions of LI and the southern half of NJ saw wide spread 6+ amounts with Godzilla amounts wide spread just off the coast.  I haven't seen an official NWS map with totals on it yet though to verify the details.      

Simply based on what Ive been reading on here it seems my original map was fairly accurate for LI.  For that I am pleased.  Obv the verification was on the lower end of the ranges it would appear.  Im ok with that though.  Out by me we did have a window of sleet and rain between about 3am-6:30ish am, but then got another inch or so this morning when it changed back.    

Anyway IMBY Im happy to report a final tally of 7.25".  For mid December along the coast with water temps still in the low to mid 50's you better believe I am happy with that total.

Cheers everyone and on to the next one!!!

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WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65" WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20" WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25" WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85"
WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
Dec 16th/17th 7.25"    
Jan 31st-Feb 3rd 15.5"    
Feb 7th 6"
Feb 10th-11th 2.75"
Feb 18th-19th 6.25"
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Post by algae888 Thu Dec 17, 2020 12:01 pm

The models actually did a pretty good job with this system seeing it from seven days out and only trending slightly warmer the last few days but still they had a high impact event from last Thursday's runs and all models pretty much remained consistent.
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Post by frank 638 Thu Dec 17, 2020 12:07 pm

Happy birthday 🎁🎊🎂🎈🎉 mugs what a great way to have a birthday 🥳 Enjoy your day stay safe and have fun in the snow

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Post by jmanley32 Thu Dec 17, 2020 12:14 pm

Wow so nothing else fell. Can I call bust at least for my area? Not even close low end from any major forecast. Like 5 inches. I'm get reports of a foot plus in CT how did they jackpot?
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Post by jimv45 Thu Dec 17, 2020 12:18 pm

Happy Birthday Mugs!

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