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February 1st-2nd Godzilla, Part III: 1st Call Snow Map

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1 - February 1st-2nd Godzilla, Part III: 1st Call Snow Map - Page 11 Empty Re: February 1st-2nd Godzilla, Part III: 1st Call Snow Map

Post by jmanley32 Sun Jan 31, 2021 1:06 am

Awesome Frank, I am here with ya.

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Post by rb924119 Sun Jan 31, 2021 1:08 am

Yeah it does. But the coastal plain doesn’t want that. It’s getting too deep in a bad spot....overhead.

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Post by Frank_Wx Sun Jan 31, 2021 1:09 am

1 - February 1st-2nd Godzilla, Part III: 1st Call Snow Map - Page 11 Ecmwf-deterministic-nyc-total_snow_10to1-2278000.png.88b9c9ac9b94bb33ffb9ed5b63041742

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Post by Frank_Wx Sun Jan 31, 2021 1:11 am

1 - February 1st-2nd Godzilla, Part III: 1st Call Snow Map - Page 11 Sn10_acc.us_ne.png.37b60a283ab46914479d71fdc0aed22c

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Post by rb924119 Sun Jan 31, 2021 1:13 am

I saw the changes that I was looking for lol good night all!

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Post by Frank_Wx Sun Jan 31, 2021 1:14 am

Oh madonne

It’s still freaking snowing into Tuesday night

1 - February 1st-2nd Godzilla, Part III: 1st Call Snow Map - Page 11 1612321200-79vOIsx7G30

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Post by Frank_Wx Sun Jan 31, 2021 1:17 am

NNJ is a prime location. Why? If the low ticks east tomorrow then they’ll be the jackpot. But even if it comes west some more, while that would be bad for the shore and LI, NNJ would stay in the heaviest axis. They’re in a win win situation. The coast, of course, is smelling the rain but I’m fairly confident very little rain comes from this

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Post by larryrock72 Sun Jan 31, 2021 1:20 am

When the transfer to the low happens off the coast if it was develop further south would that help the coast? ( Jersey coast) currently forecasted to have rising temps Sunday night into Monday 38-39 for a high.

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Post by jmanley32 Sun Jan 31, 2021 1:35 am

Frank_Wx wrote:NNJ is a prime location. Why? If the low ticks east tomorrow then they’ll be the jackpot. But even if it comes west some more, while that would be bad for the shore and LI, NNJ would stay in the heaviest axis. They’re in a win win situation. The coast, of course, is smelling the rain but I’m fairly confident very little rain comes from this
Does NYC and my area still look good to you? Not much change in euro from 18z so I feel like we are in a really good spot. Still can jackpot or be close?
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Post by jmanley32 Sun Jan 31, 2021 1:37 am

wow it does snow another inch or so after your map above. unreal how long this could go. I moved my plans to tuesday but that may be scrapped too.
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Post by jmanley32 Sun Jan 31, 2021 1:39 am

full snow from euro jeeze that was long, reminds me of winters back in the 90s when it just snowed for days sometimes.

1 - February 1st-2nd Godzilla, Part III: 1st Call Snow Map - Page 11 Sn10_a10
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Post by adamfitz1969 Sun Jan 31, 2021 3:17 am

If anyone is up, the NAM literally gives its best run in the last 5 years. Incredulous precip amounts.



Last edited by adamfitz1969 on Sun Jan 31, 2021 3:22 am; edited 1 time in total (Reason for editing : fix)

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Post by adamfitz1969 Sun Jan 31, 2021 4:03 am

1 - February 1st-2nd Godzilla, Part III: 1st Call Snow Map - Page 11 StormTotalSnow

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Post by heehaw453 Sun Jan 31, 2021 5:48 am

The Euro wow. Tucked and explosive. unreal.

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Post by Snownyc Sun Jan 31, 2021 5:49 am

Show us the pictures please

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Post by heehaw453 Sun Jan 31, 2021 5:57 am

06Z GFS. More consolidated storm. That seems to be what models are showing. Deeper trough, more consolidation and tucked mid-levels. Surface low is blowing up more in response. This probably will be mid-980s surface low when all is said and done. wow.

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Post by heehaw453 Sun Jan 31, 2021 5:59 am

06Z GFS

1 - February 1st-2nd Godzilla, Part III: 1st Call Snow Map - Page 11 Gfs06z10

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Post by heehaw453 Sun Jan 31, 2021 6:01 am

Remember folks it doesn't matter how strong the storm is when it reaches our latitude it's about it maturation as it gets to our latitude.

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Post by heehaw453 Sun Jan 31, 2021 6:05 am

06Z NAM is starting to fall in line with other guidance now with regard to much bigger CCB extending much further NW.

It is pivoting CCB NE-->SW (diagonally)

1 - February 1st-2nd Godzilla, Part III: 1st Call Snow Map - Page 11 06znam10


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Post by TheAresian Sun Jan 31, 2021 6:06 am

Cheers to you all for cashing in on this one. The far western frontier is the cutoff zone so I hope for a foot and expect 2".

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Post by Snownyc Sun Jan 31, 2021 6:07 am

Do this have the potential to be a classic storm if temps can stay maybe not a one day total but this could be some kids let’s say unfair 15 years old biggest storm in the nyc metro area

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Post by moleson Sun Jan 31, 2021 6:12 am

Snownyc wrote:Do this have the potential to be a classic storm if temps can stay maybe not a one day total but this could be some kids let’s say unfair 15 years old biggest storm in the nyc metro area

What language is this?
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Post by heehaw453 Sun Jan 31, 2021 6:19 am

latest RGEM.  LHV special.  

1 - February 1st-2nd Godzilla, Part III: 1st Call Snow Map - Page 11 Rgem12

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Post by Snownyc Sun Jan 31, 2021 6:20 am

moleson wrote:
Snownyc wrote:Do this have the potential to be a classic storm if temps can stay maybe not a one day total but this could be some kids let’s say unfair 15 years old biggest storm in the nyc metro area

What language is this?
I’m trying to ask can this be the biggest storm in about 15 years in the nyc metro area.

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Post by docstox12 Sun Jan 31, 2021 6:33 am

Haven't looked at the site since yesterday morning and I am very happy for all of us THIS morning.Holy crow, these maps are just incredible! Very happy for the board, Frank and our other expert Mets,Doc,rb,mugsy,heehaw and any others I may have missed.Bring this baby home, boys, can't wait for storm day and observations coming in!
Sincerely yours,
Doc,incurable snow addict at age 70
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Post by Taffy Sun Jan 31, 2021 6:43 am

I haven't been able to check in the last week.
Anything going on I should know about?  
Very Happy lol!
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Post by rb924119 Sun Jan 31, 2021 7:06 am

SREFs now rain/mix all the way up to I-78. Interestinggggg. Very different results between NAM and SREFs.


Last edited by rb924119 on Sun Jan 31, 2021 7:11 am; edited 1 time in total

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