Winter Predictions Contest- Win $20 Amazon Gift Card

I have a lot of credit with Amazon that I never use thanks to school, so I figured I'll spice things up a bit this year and offer a $20 gift card to whoever gets the most points in this years winter predictions. The gift card will be emailed electronically to your email if you win. Here are the rules:

-The central location for these predictions is Central Park, NY, NOT your own town.
-Anything before November 1st does not count, this contest will BEGIN on November 1st.
-If there is a tie at the end, there will be a randomly chosen tie breaker question for just those people.

1. First day with day time high's in the 40's.
2. First day with day time high's in the 30's.
3. First day of measurable snowfall (>2 inches).
4. First day of scattered snow showers/flurries for NYC Metro Region?
5. How much total snowfall will fall winter 2013-2014 for Central Park, NY?
6. Number of SECS (Significant EC Storm >6 inches of snow)?
7. Number of MECS/Godzilla's (>12 inches of snow)?
8. Number of HECS/Roidzilla's (>24 inches of snow)?
9. First night with night time low's in the 20's?
10. First night with night time low's in the teens, if any?
11. Which month will have the coldest temp. departures from normal? (Dec, Jan, Feb, or Mar)?

Please do not re-post the questions in your responses. Just number 1 through 11 and put your answers beside it.

GOOD LUCK  

1... November 29th
2... December 18th
3... December 25th
4... November 15th
5... 48 inches
6... 2
7... 1
8... 1
9... January 4th
10... February 13th
11... February

1...Nov 20th
2...Dec 12th
3...Dec 15th
4...Nov 3rd
5...36.75 inches
6...3
7...1
8...0
9...Dec 13th
10...January 6th
11...Febuary

Wow Frank, thats a pretty bold prediction by you about the first night in the 20s being Jan 4th. Sounds like something warlock would say lol. I've experienced plenty of nights in the 20s in November when those cold snaps hit.

1.- Nov 2nd
2.- Dec 8th
3.- Dec 12th
4.- Dec 12th
5.- 35 for CP and 48-50 for me in Mahwah.
6.- 4
7.- 3
8.- 1
9.- Nov 28th.
10.- Dec 28th
11. January.

Here goes....
1. 11/17
2. 12/16
3. 12/16
4. 11/22
5. 37 inches
6. 2
7. 0
8. 0
9. 12/28
10. 1/3
11. January

HectorO wrote:Wow Frank, thats a pretty bold prediction by you about the first night in the 20s being  Jan 4th. Sounds like something warlock would say lol. I've experienced plenty of nights in the 20s in November when those cold snaps hit.

lol I'm not very good at this game. My memory is terrible. I try to think of averages and I think average low temps in the 20's begins sometime in December or January.

OK here goes.....for Central Park only.....
1. 11/22
2. 12/1
3. 12/20
4. 11/30
5. 34"
6. 1
7. 1
8. 0
9. 12/5
10. 1/27
11. February

Check this out:

Here is the 2013-14 TWC winter storm naming criteria:

- National Weather Service winter storm warnings must be posted.

- The winter storm must be affecting either a) a large population center or b) a multi-state region.

- The winter storm must be historical, memorable, or otherwise unusual (such as the current one) in nature.



- The time for significant impacts must generally be within 48 hours

I am actually a fan of the weather channel naming system. I think it brings more awareness to the public since we can easily relate to a name, like we do with tropical systems.

Also, I can tell a number of people on this forum are waiting until October 31st to make their prediction. I think I should have done the same thing. LOL

[/quote] Also, I can tell a number of people on this forum are waiting until October 31st to make their prediction. I think I should have done the same thing. LOL[/quote] Although Im not sure its going to help me all that much

Love the contest frank, I'll do some research and post my predictions within a few weeks!

1. Nov 18
2. Dec 15
3. Dec 17
4. Dec 10
5. 40"
6. 3
7. 1
8. 0
9. Jan 5
10. Jan 15
11. January

Winter Outlook Accuweather

Get out the Depends in the Southwest????? Are they for real - Mild Start to.............???? Bone chilling, snow and ice to end it?

Here is the important part of the outlook:

Pastelok wrote:Winter weather lovers will have to be patient this year, as the start of the season in the East certainly won't pack a punch in terms of cold or snowfall. Winter will begin mildly, with a long duration of above-normal temperatures. One snow system and some chilly air could come at times during November, however.
Temperatures will fall in the latter part of the season, likely the beginning of January, allowing snow to fall along the I-95 corridor.
Philadelphia, which received only 8 inches of snow last year, will likely get higher amounts, but other areas from New York City to Boston should not expect to beat last year's totals. Overall, however, winter sports enthusiasts have a shot at an average season.
"It's not going to be a complete [snow] drought season coming up, but I think they'll have to wait until probably late in the season to get their best chances of the higher snow amounts," AccuWeather.com Expert Long-Range Forecaster Paul Pastelok said.

Frank_Wx wrote:1... November 29th
2... December 18th
3... December 25th
4... November 15th
5... 48 inches
6... 2
7... 1
8... 1
9... January 4th
10... February 13th
11... February

Quietace wrote:1...Nov 20th
2...Dec 12th
3...Dec 15th
4...Nov 3rd
5...36.75 inches
6...3
7...1
8...0
9...Dec 13th
10...January 6th
11...Febuary

HectorO wrote:Wow Frank, thats a pretty bold prediction by you about the first night in the 20s being  Jan 4th. Sounds like something warlock would say lol. I've experienced plenty of nights in the 20s in November when those cold snaps hit.

1.- Nov 2nd
2.- Dec 8th
3.- Dec 12th
4.- Dec 12th
5.- 35 for CP and 48-50 for me in Mahwah.
6.- 4
7.- 3
8.- 1
9.- Nov 28th.
10.- Dec 28th
11. January.

mako460 wrote:Here goes....
1.   11/17
2.    12/16
3.    12/16
4.     11/22
5.     37 inches
6.      2
7.      0
8.      0
9.    12/28
10.   1/3
11.    January

Dunnzoo wrote:OK here goes.....for Central Park only.....
1.  11/22
2.  12/1
3.  12/20
4.  11/30
5.  34"
6.  1
7.  1
8.  0
9.  12/5
10. 1/27
11. February

labgirl wrote:1. Nov 18
2. Dec 15
3. Dec 17
4. Dec 10
5. 40"
6. 3
7. 1
8. 0
9. Jan 5
10. Jan 15
11. January

Just a reminder to everyone to make sure to get your predictions in before November 1st!

1. 11/13
2. 11/25
3. 12/6
4. 11/13
5. 32”
6. 3
7. 1
8. 1
9. 12/8
10. 1/8
11. January

Baby needs a new pair of snow shoes!!!

amugs wrote:1. 11/13
2. 11/25
3. 12/6
4. 11/13
5. 32”
6. 3
7. 1
8. 1
9. 12/8
10. 1/8
11. January

Baby needs a new pair of snow shoes!!!

You have a baby or are you referring to yourself? Lol

Only kiddin'. My baby is 12 years old and I couldn't produce one if i wanted - snip,snip my man. A fling and no hard evidence after the deed!

1. Nov. 16th
2. Dec. 17th
3. Dec. 27th
4. Dec. 18th
5. 39in
6. 2
7. 1
8. 1
9. Nov. 17
10. Jan. 16
11. February

Frank_Wx wrote:1... November 29th
2... December 18th
3... December 25th
4... November 15th
5... 48 inches
6... 2
7... 1
8... 1
9... January 4th
10... February 13th
11... February

Quietace wrote:1...Nov 20th
2...Dec 12th
3...Dec 15th
4...Nov 3rd
5...36.75 inches
6...3
7...1
8...0
9...Dec 13th
10...January 6th
11...Febuary

HectorO wrote:Wow Frank, thats a pretty bold prediction by you about the first night in the 20s being  Jan 4th. Sounds like something warlock would say lol. I've experienced plenty of nights in the 20s in November when those cold snaps hit.

1.- Nov 2nd
2.- Dec 8th
3.- Dec 12th
4.- Dec 12th
5.- 35 for CP and 48-50 for me in Mahwah.
6.- 4
7.- 3
8.- 1
9.- Nov 28th.
10.- Dec 28th
11. January.

mako460 wrote:Here goes....
1.   11/17
2.    12/16
3.    12/16
4.     11/22
5.     37 inches
6.      2
7.      0
8.      0
9.    12/28
10.   1/3
11.    January

Dunnzoo wrote:OK here goes.....for Central Park only.....
1.  11/22
2.  12/1
3.  12/20
4.  11/30
5.  34"
6.  1
7.  1
8.  0
9.  12/5
10. 1/27
11. February

labgirl wrote:1. Nov 18
2. Dec 15
3. Dec 17
4. Dec 10
5. 40"
6. 3
7. 1
8. 0
9. Jan 5
10. Jan 15
11. January

amugs wrote:1. 11/13
2. 11/25
3. 12/6
4. 11/13
5. 32”
6. 3
7. 1
8. 1
9. 12/8
10. 1/8
11. January

Baby needs a new pair of snow shoes!!!

Mets2695 wrote:1. Nov. 16th
2. Dec. 17th
3. Dec. 27th
4. Dec. 18th
5. 39in
6. 2
7. 1
8. 1
9. Nov. 17
10. Jan. 16
11. February

Just a reminder to all that you only have until November 1st to do this contest.

10 days left to qualify for this contest. Refer to my first post of this thread to see how it works.

1.  Nov 7th
2.  Dec 2nd
3.  Dec 23rd
4.  Nov 24th
5.  36.8 inches
6.  3
7.  1
8.  0
9.  Dec 19th
10. Dec 29th
11. January

An odd fact.

11 out of 12 predictions so far are between 30.0 - 39.9 inches of snow in NYC (including mine 36.8") this winter. The 144 year average in NYC (Central Park) is 28.4 inches so everyone is predicting a bit above normal snowfall which is OK by me.

The oddity is despite 30.0 - 39.9 inches being not that far from the norm, there has been only one winter since 1970 in NYC that has fallen in that range, (the winter of 2000/01 35.0 inches). Many higher than that, even more lower, but only 1 in the last 43 years within that range.

We all must know something

BTW - Franks 48 inches is the only prediction not in the 30-40 inch range.

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:An odd fact.

11 out of 12 predictions so far are between 30.0 - 39.9 inches of snow in NYC (including mine 36.8") this winter. The 144 year average in NYC (Central Park) is 28.4 inches so everyone is predicting a bit above normal snowfall which is OK by me.

The oddity is despite 30.0 - 39.9 inches being not that far from the norm, there has been only one winter since 1970 in NYC that has fallen in that range, (the winter of 2000/01 35.0 inches). Many higher than that, even more lower, but only 1 in the last 43 years within that range.

We all must know something

Haha that's extremely interesting. I actually told my younger cousin to pick a number between 15 and 80, and she said 48. That's how I got my number. Lol