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February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part V: Continued Onslaught

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February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part V: Continued Onslaught - Page 13 Empty Re: February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part V: Continued Onslaught

Post by brownie Tue Feb 02, 2021 7:55 am

I’m going with 25”, as reported on the news for Morris Plains, as that is the section of Parsippany that I live in.  If I see a spotter report that says differently, I will change it.

I gave up measuring here yesterday around 20”, when it all started to compact.

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Post by billg315 Tue Feb 02, 2021 7:58 am

30* with some very fine snow flurries here. Steady snow bands on radar just north and west of me.
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Post by billg315 Tue Feb 02, 2021 8:06 am

@rb924119 wrote:Welp. My garage is 4” deep with salt water and still going. There go my efforts to keep all of my brand new gym equipment in good condition. I had it up on blocks, and there’s just so much I can do alone to get it off the floor. Not even six freakin’ months old. Talk about a bad weekend. I guess it could be worse, though; could be our first floor and everything/one in it.

Ugh, sorry Ray, that’s awful. I was afraid this would happen to some folks. I posted a picture from my friends’ house on one of the Cape May barrier islands earlier - she had water almost to her garage door in the afternoon. I’m afraid high tide last night may have done in their garage too but haven’t spoken to them yet. They had water in the garage from Jonas I believe. Hope the damage is limited for you and you don’t have much to clean up.
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Post by sroc4 Tue Feb 02, 2021 8:28 am

@weatherwatchermom wrote:Son pulled a Sroc from a few years ago and threw himself in the snow..I tried to tell him the sleet made it hard..lol..we had about 14.5 inches.. I am very happy ..lets see what tom brings. We did get a snow day for tom..parts of town lost power this morning so it was a freaking mess for Virtual for some. My sister in Byram def has more than 2 feet of snow so far. WHAT A STORM... party party




I LOVE IT!!!!!!!

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WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65" WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"
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Post by DAYBLAZER Tue Feb 02, 2021 8:38 am

Good Morning from Hopatcong. Amateur measurements indicate another 6 inches fell overnight, bringing my total to about 32 inches....and it is still coming down up here.

Absolutely outrageous.
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Post by sroc4 Tue Feb 02, 2021 8:40 am

I ended with about 14.5". What a great storm. Ray that completely sucks brotha. Currently have a little drizzle at 34*
Hopefully I can get a change over and have it spit a little more snow today even if there isnt any accum. I ended with a period of plain rain last night around 9ish.

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WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65" WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20" WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25" WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85"
WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
Dec 16th/17th 7.25"    
Jan 31st-Feb 3rd 15.5"    
Feb 7th 6"
Feb 10th-11th 2.75"
Feb 18th-19th 6.25"
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Post by heehaw453 Tue Feb 02, 2021 8:43 am

@DAYBLAZER wrote:Good Morning from Hopatcong. Amateur measurements indicate another 6 inches fell overnight, bringing my total to about 32 inches....and it is still coming down up here.

Absolutely outrageous.

That's very impressive!

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Post by heehaw453 Tue Feb 02, 2021 8:47 am

Excellent snow growth ratios in the mid-levels for western areas. If you get under banding today I wouldn't be surprised for someone to pick up another 5". Possibly more if there is just a slight disturbance on the trough.

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Post by brownie Tue Feb 02, 2021 8:54 am

After shoveling my front walk.  Yardstick there just because.  Wink
February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part V: Continued Onslaught - Page 13 71d27e10

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Post by jmanley32 Tue Feb 02, 2021 8:55 am

@sroc4 wrote:I ended with about 14.5".  What a great storm.  Ray that completely sucks brotha.  Currently have a little drizzle at 34*
Hopefully I can get a change over and have it spit a little more snow today even if there isnt any accum.  I ended with a period of plain rain last night around 9ish.  
There you are!! Where were you the entire storm? We missed your interactions! Hope you were do something fun in the snow.
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Post by jmanley32 Tue Feb 02, 2021 8:56 am

@heehaw453 wrote:Excellent snow growth ratios in the mid-levels for western areas.  If you get under banding today I wouldn't be surprised for someone to pick up another 5".  Possibly more if there is just a slight disturbance on the trough.
You think we are done here NYC area on east? If so I am gonna venture out today as roads are pretty clear just parking is go be a PITA. NWS as I said took down the WSW seems it will snow to the west of here but thats about as far east as it gets.
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Post by jmanley32 Tue Feb 02, 2021 8:58 am

@brownie wrote:After shoveling my front walk.  Yardstick there just because.  Wink
February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part V: Continued Onslaught - Page 13 71d27e10
wowzwers and to think you may add double digits if sunday pans out!!! And the rain i do not think is go take much off on friday. Do not worry bout measure, its near impossible with the blowing and drifts that we had and then compacting, i went by a very close local spotter by NWS too, within miles of me.
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Post by billg315 Tue Feb 02, 2021 9:03 am

Radar starting to show some signs of filling in a bit over my location, and right on cue snow intensity has picked up a notch here. I’d say Light-to-Moderate here.
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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Tue Feb 02, 2021 9:11 am

25 inches here and snowing lightly but picking up in intensity the last several minutes. I wouldn't mind making a run at 30.
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Post by weatherwatchermom Tue Feb 02, 2021 9:12 am

@DAYBLAZER wrote:Good Morning from Hopatcong. Amateur measurements indicate another 6 inches fell overnight, bringing my total to about 32 inches....and it is still coming down up here.

Absolutely outrageous.
Wow how exciting!!!
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Post by sroc4 Tue Feb 02, 2021 9:12 am

@jmanley32 wrote:
@sroc4 wrote:I ended with about 14.5".  What a great storm.  Ray that completely sucks brotha.  Currently have a little drizzle at 34*
Hopefully I can get a change over and have it spit a little more snow today even if there isnt any accum.  I ended with a period of plain rain last night around 9ish.  
There you are!! Where were you the entire storm? We missed your interactions! Hope you were do something fun in the snow.


I end up spending so much time on the comp tracking etc leading up to the storm, plus all the other stuff in my day to day life that occupies my time, that when it comes down to game time I like to sit back and enjoy it in the flesh. That plus my family wanted to enjoy it with me instead of me sitting in front of the comp which again I had been doing quite a bit of leading up to it.

Ive always kind of pulled back a bit come game time.

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"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65" WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20" WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25" WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85"
WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
Dec 16th/17th 7.25"    
Jan 31st-Feb 3rd 15.5"    
Feb 7th 6"
Feb 10th-11th 2.75"
Feb 18th-19th 6.25"
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February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part V: Continued Onslaught - Page 13 Empty Re: February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part V: Continued Onslaught

Post by Frank_Wx Tue Feb 02, 2021 9:37 am

@Frank_Wx wrote:

February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part V: Continued Onslaught - Page 13 FEB-1-2021-Final-Call

The forecast did not do well, unfortunately. The south and coast finished way under (Philly-SNJ), and the jackpot zone needed to be extended more SW-W-NW. Main issues were:

1. Areas away from the coast, mostly near Philly and SW NJ, dealt with a long period of mixing as a result of a sneaky warm layer near 800mb

2. Shore and Long Island also had periods of mixing but eventual dry slotting due to the track of the 700mb low. This also caused reduced accumulations for some boroughs of NYC. Sounds like Central Park finished around 18-19 inches.

That said, there were some good calls across NJ and southern portions of NY. Definitely deserved Roidzilla criteria given the scattered 24"+ readings we are seeing. This one was lots of fun - AND - its not even done for some people. Wouldn't shock me to see another 1-3" for WNJ/EPA.

February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part V: Continued Onslaught - Page 13 Capture

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Post by aiannone Tue Feb 02, 2021 9:41 am

@Frank_Wx wrote:
@Frank_Wx wrote:

February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part V: Continued Onslaught - Page 13 FEB-1-2021-Final-Call

The forecast did not do well, unfortunately. The south and coast finished way under (Philly-SNJ), and the jackpot zone needed to be extended more SW-W-NW. Main issues were:

1. Areas away from the coast, mostly near Philly and SW NJ, dealt with a long period of mixing as a result of a sneaky warm layer near 800mb

2. Shore and Long Island also had periods of mixing but eventual dry slotting due to the track of the 700mb low. This also caused reduced accumulations for some boroughs of NYC. Sounds like Central Park finished around 18-19 inches.

That said, there were some good calls across NJ and southern portions of NY. Definitely deserved Roidzilla criteria given the scattered 24"+ readings we are seeing. This one was lots of fun - AND - its not even done for some people. Wouldn't shock me to see another 1-3" for WNJ/EPA.

February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part V: Continued Onslaught - Page 13 Capture

Frank, for your call on LI, I think you did quite well. Most of the island has totals over 14" mostly 15-17" except for immediate shore points, but still 12"+ there. 16.1" in St. James
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Post by amugs Tue Feb 02, 2021 9:42 am

WESTERN NJ EPA JACKPOTTTTTTT!!

February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part V: Continued Onslaught - Page 13 Inxr1Kphla_h

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Post by billg315 Tue Feb 02, 2021 9:45 am

@billg315 wrote:I actually feel pretty good about my Final Call map from yesterday morning as well. My jackpot zone (dark orange was 20-30”) should have been further south like Frank’s. Had it about 20 miles too far North. Oh well. Frank’s map wins again! As always (of course, lol)!
February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part V: Continued Onslaught - Page 13 D541e210

Green was 2-4
Yellow was 4-8
Blue was 8-14
Light Orange was 14-20
Dark Orange was 20-30

I don’t know. I might have made a late comeback in this game Frank. Wink Lol. Although my map has some flaws as well obviously.
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Post by brownie Tue Feb 02, 2021 9:45 am

I have not seen any additional snow here this morning, and I have been up since before dawn.

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Post by heehaw453 Tue Feb 02, 2021 9:47 am

@Frank_Wx wrote:
@Frank_Wx wrote:

February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part V: Continued Onslaught - Page 13 FEB-1-2021-Final-Call

The forecast did not do well, unfortunately. The south and coast finished way under (Philly-SNJ), and the jackpot zone needed to be extended more SW-W-NW. Main issues were:

1. Areas away from the coast, mostly near Philly and SW NJ, dealt with a long period of mixing as a result of a sneaky warm layer near 800mb

2. Shore and Long Island also had periods of mixing but eventual dry slotting due to the track of the 700mb low. This also caused reduced accumulations for some boroughs of NYC. Sounds like Central Park finished around 18-19 inches.

That said, there were some good calls across NJ and southern portions of NY. Definitely deserved Roidzilla criteria given the scattered 24"+ readings we are seeing. This one was lots of fun - AND - its not even done for some people. Wouldn't shock me to see another 1-3" for WNJ/EPA.

February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part V: Continued Onslaught - Page 13 Capture

I just hit 18" and it's snowing moderate to heavy. I'd say your forecast was one of the best I've seen.

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Post by amugs Tue Feb 02, 2021 9:50 am

@Frank_Wx wrote:
@Frank_Wx wrote:

February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part V: Continued Onslaught - Page 13 FEB-1-2021-Final-Call

The forecast did not do well, unfortunately. The south and coast finished way under (Philly-SNJ), and the jackpot zone needed to be extended more SW-W-NW. Main issues were:

1. Areas away from the coast, mostly near Philly and SW NJ, dealt with a long period of mixing as a result of a sneaky warm layer near 800mb

2. Shore and Long Island also had periods of mixing but eventual dry slotting due to the track of the 700mb low. This also caused reduced accumulations for some boroughs of NYC. Sounds like Central Park finished around 18-19 inches.

That said, there were some good calls across NJ and southern portions of NY. Definitely deserved Roidzilla criteria given the scattered 24"+ readings we are seeing. This one was lots of fun - AND - its not even done for some people. Wouldn't shock me to see another 1-3" for WNJ/EPA.

February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part V: Continued Onslaught - Page 13 Capture

Frank a most excellent job and leading up to the storm WE had our troops prepared, hands down!! That al we can ask for. Heck it was 10000x better than ALL TV outlets who up until Sunday afternoon still had 6-12 and 8-12 range for snow - how the hell did that work out. It was very irresponsible for them to do that and I had MANY friends texted and asking why are yuo saying almost two feet and tehir saying maybe a foot at 3,4,5PM on Sunday!!! Some win and some win less in these storms but Big Momma always finds a way to balance things out some how someway.
Get some rest troops cause we are going to be buckling up and strapping in for Friday and then Sunday and next Wednesday possibly!! BUT lets get through today first LOL!cheers cheers cheers
These storms are tough to call and the set up was a bit wonky but the good ol' 700mb Low track was what caused some issues yuo pointed out.

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Post by heehaw453 Tue Feb 02, 2021 9:55 am

@billg315 wrote:
@billg315 wrote:I actually feel pretty good about my Final Call map from yesterday morning as well. My jackpot zone (dark orange was 20-30”) should have been further south like Frank’s. Had it about 20 miles too far North. Oh well. Frank’s map wins again! As always (of course, lol)!
February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part V: Continued Onslaught - Page 13 D541e210

Green was 2-4
Yellow was 4-8
Blue was 8-14
Light Orange was 14-20
Dark Orange was 20-30

I don’t know. I might have made a late comeback in this game Frank.  Wink  Lol. Although my map has some flaws as well obviously.

Another impressive forecast! Both you and Frank nailed this well.

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Post by Zhukov1945 Tue Feb 02, 2021 9:59 am

@billg315 wrote:Radar starting to show some signs of filling in a bit over my location, and right on cue snow intensity has picked up a notch here. I’d say Light-to-Moderate here.

Yes - actually been snowing at a decent clip for a while. Not going to make up for the sleetshow yesterday but feels good.
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