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February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part V: Continued Onslaught

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Post by Frank_Wx Mon Feb 01, 2021 1:59 pm

Previous thread is close to reaching its page limit. Continue your observations here.

For those wondering about the sleet, we need to wait for this storm to relax. The LLJ is currently roaring and is responsible for all of these 30+ dbz bands across the Tri-State. Once it relaxes, the precip should go back to all snow. You will be in a battle zone all day so it's not like you aren't accumulating, just not at the rate we initially thought.

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Post by aiannone Mon Feb 01, 2021 2:01 pm

Bands are maturing
February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part V: Continued Onslaught 44a46e10
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Post by Frank_Wx Mon Feb 01, 2021 2:02 pm

This is going to be super close. At this point, we're too deep into the game to make changes so I am sticking by my forecast.

February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part V: Continued Onslaught FEB-1-2021-Final-Call

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Post by Zhukov1945 Mon Feb 01, 2021 2:06 pm

@Frank_Wx wrote:This is going to be super close. At this point, we're too deep into the game to make changes so I am sticking by my forecast.

February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part V: Continued Onslaught FEB-1-2021-Final-Call

Now that sleet seems to have ended in my part of Hunterdon feels like you will be right on the money (or maybe even a little low) for our area
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Post by brownie Mon Feb 01, 2021 2:06 pm

20” drift on my deck at 2:00 pm.
February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part V: Continued Onslaught 6e175210

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Post by billg315 Mon Feb 01, 2021 2:08 pm

Have been getting pounded by sleet the last hour. If you told me I'd have at least an hour of sleet in the middle of this storm and still have over 15" I would have been skeptical, but the snow has been so heavy that these brief changeovers to sleet are inconsequential.
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Post by phil155 Mon Feb 01, 2021 2:09 pm

still sleet here in edison, I guess it will be a few hours before we go back over to all snow

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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Mon Feb 01, 2021 2:09 pm

Todays storm, with 13.3 inches in Central Park as of 1:00 PM, has already cracked the top 30 all time in NYC. It will be interesting how high it climbs up the list today. If they don't get mixing issues early this could reach the top 10, maybe even the top 4.

Top 30 Snowstorms All Time
Central Park in NYC
(through January 31, 2021)
Rank.Amount..Date
1……..27.5…..January 23, 2016
2……..26.9…..February 11-12, 2006
3……..25.8…..December 26-27, 1947
4……..21.0…..March 12-14, 1888
5……..20.9…..February 25-26, 2010
6……..20.2…..January 7-8, 1996
7……..20.0…..December 26-27, 2010
8……..19.8…..February 16-17, 2003
9……..19.0…..January 26-27, 2011
10…..18.1…..March 7-8, 1941
11…..18.1…..January 22-24, 1935
12…..18.0…..December 26, 1872
13…..17.7…..February 5-7, 1978
14…..17.6…..February 11-12, 1983
15…..17.5…..February 4-7, 1920
16…..17.4…..February 3-4, 1961
17…..16.0…..December 19-20, 1948
18…..16.0…..February 12-13, 1899
19…..15.3…..February 9-10, 1969
20…..15.2…..December 11-12, 1960
21…..14.5…..March 3-4, 1960
22…..14.5…..March 1-2, 1914
23…..14.0…..December 5-7, 2003
24…..13.8…..January 22-23, 2005
25…..13.7…..December 21-22, 1959
26…..13.6…..January 19-20, 1978
27....13.3.....Jan 31-February 1,  2021
28…..13.0…..January 15-16, 1879
29…..13.0…..January 1-2, 1877
30…..12.8…..February 11, 1994


Last edited by CPcantmeasuresnow on Mon Feb 01, 2021 2:11 pm; edited 2 times in total
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Post by Rooster89 Mon Feb 01, 2021 2:09 pm

Back to snow in Middletown.

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Post by Frank_Wx Mon Feb 01, 2021 2:12 pm

@phil155 wrote:still sleet here in edison, I guess it will be a few hours before we go back over to all snow

No, give it another hour. Maybe less.

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Post by dsix85 Mon Feb 01, 2021 2:14 pm

Frank-are we in the worst of it?

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Post by Dis2cruise Mon Feb 01, 2021 2:15 pm

Snowing again

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Post by Frank_Wx Mon Feb 01, 2021 2:17 pm

@CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:Todays storm, with 13.3 inches in Central Park as of 1:00 PM, has already cracked the top 30 all time in NYC. It will be interesting how high it climbs up the list today. If they don't get mixing issues early this could reach the top 10, maybe even the top 4.

Top 30 Snowstorms All Time
Central Park in NYC
(through January 31, 2021)
Rank.Amount..Date
1……..27.5…..January 23, 2016
2……..26.9…..February 11-12, 2006
3……..25.8…..December 26-27, 1947
4……..21.0…..March 12-14, 1888
5……..20.9…..February 25-26, 2010
6……..20.2…..January 7-8, 1996
7……..20.0…..December 26-27, 2010
8……..19.8…..February 16-17, 2003
9……..19.0…..January 26-27, 2011
10…..18.1…..March 7-8, 1941
11…..18.1…..January 22-24, 1935
12…..18.0…..December 26, 1872
13…..17.7…..February 5-7, 1978
14…..17.6…..February 11-12, 1983
15…..17.5…..February 4-7, 1920
16…..17.4…..February 3-4, 1961
17…..16.0…..December 19-20, 1948
18…..16.0…..February 12-13, 1899
19…..15.3…..February 9-10, 1969
20…..15.2…..December 11-12, 1960
21…..14.5…..March 3-4, 1960
22…..14.5…..March 1-2, 1914
23…..14.0…..December 5-7, 2003
24…..13.8…..January 22-23, 2005
25…..13.7…..December 21-22, 1959
26…..13.6…..January 19-20, 1978
27....13.3.....Jan 31-February 1,  2021
28…..13.0…..January 15-16, 1879
29…..13.0…..January 1-2, 1877
30…..12.8…..February 11, 1994

Excellent. I expect it to land at number 9

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Post by Frank_Wx Mon Feb 01, 2021 2:17 pm

@dsix85 wrote:Frank-are we in the worst of it?

Yes

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Post by Rooster89 Mon Feb 01, 2021 2:18 pm

I’m a little confused, based off the radar it looks like we’re about done. Can someone explain what’s happening next cause I feel like it’s supposed to be heavy snow until later from what I’ve read.

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Post by TheAresian Mon Feb 01, 2021 2:19 pm

At this time yesterday, I was crazy jealous of what you're getting. Now I'm content with what I'm getting and thrilled for all of you. Here's hoping it keeps snowing until your snow loving cups runneth over.

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Post by mmanisca Mon Feb 01, 2021 2:21 pm

I know this is isnt the place to bring stuff like this up, but wow the Extended looks cold and stormy!
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Post by jmanley32 Mon Feb 01, 2021 2:23 pm

Just was out round 2 of clearing cars, about 13 inches, slowed down a bit now. Is that really another 12-18 inches after 1:30pm per NWS post alex? That would put me at 25-31, i dunno if that happens. Still great storm.
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Post by aiannone Mon Feb 01, 2021 2:24 pm

@jmanley32 wrote:Just was out round 2 of clearing cars, about 13 inches, slowed down a bit now. Is that really another 12-18 inches after 1:30pm per NWS post alex? That would put me at 25-31, i dunno if that happens.  Still great storm.

Where did anyone see an additional 12–18” per NWS?
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Post by Frank_Wx Mon Feb 01, 2021 2:24 pm

@Rooster89 wrote:I’m a little confused, based off the radar it looks like we’re about done. Can someone explain what’s happening next cause I feel like it’s supposed to be heavy snow until later from what I’ve read.

Important to look at this from a wide view. Bands keep forming off the coast and pivoting inland. Our CCB seems to be here now, and its poised to do damage across WNJ-NWNJ-EPA

February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part V: Continued Onslaught WUNIDS_map?station=DIX&brand=wui&num=6&delay=15&type=N0R&frame=0&scale=1.000&noclutter=0&lat=0&lon=0&label=you&showstorms=0&map.x=400&map

https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/index.php?type=OKX-N0Q-1-24#

http://sirocco.accuweather.com/nxssa_r1_h_500x620d/r1h/inxr1Kphla_h.gif

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Post by Joe Snow Mon Feb 01, 2021 2:24 pm

HRRR is struggling........ has the low hooking toward the city.

Wonder what the Pro mets are thinking.

Rain/Snow line was close to Montauk as since backed off, interesting
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Post by jmanley32 Mon Feb 01, 2021 2:25 pm

@aiannone wrote:
@jmanley32 wrote:Just was out round 2 of clearing cars, about 13 inches, slowed down a bit now. Is that really another 12-18 inches after 1:30pm per NWS post alex? That would put me at 25-31, i dunno if that happens.  Still great storm.

Where did anyone see an additional 12–18” per NWS?
wasnt it you that posted the NWS update at 1:30pm?
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Post by aiannone Mon Feb 01, 2021 2:25 pm

@jmanley32 wrote:
@aiannone wrote:
@jmanley32 wrote:Just was out round 2 of clearing cars, about 13 inches, slowed down a bit now. Is that really another 12-18 inches after 1:30pm per NWS post alex? That would put me at 25-31, i dunno if that happens.  Still great storm.

Where did anyone see an additional 12–18” per NWS?
wasnt it you that posted the NWS update at 1:30pm?

Latest warning mentioning those totals was issued at 3:55am
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Post by amugs Mon Feb 01, 2021 2:25 pm

Absolutely ripping with blizzard conditions.
Zoo can attest!

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Post by jmanley32 Mon Feb 01, 2021 2:26 pm

@Frank_Wx wrote:
@Rooster89 wrote:I’m a little confused, based off the radar it looks like we’re about done. Can someone explain what’s happening next cause I feel like it’s supposed to be heavy snow until later from what I’ve read.

Important to look at this from a wide view. Bands keep forming off the coast and pivoting inland. Our CCB seems to be here now, and its poised to do damage across WNJ-NWNJ-EPA

February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part V: Continued Onslaught WUNIDS_map?station=DIX&brand=wui&num=6&delay=15&type=N0R&frame=0&scale=1.000&noclutter=0&lat=0&lon=0&label=you&showstorms=0&map.x=400&map

https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/index.php?type=OKX-N0Q-1-24#

http://sirocco.accuweather.com/nxssa_r1_h_500x620d/r1h/inxr1Kphla_h.gif
so are we done with the bulk of it in NYC area frank? Or will se still see close to what you though, you had me barely in the 20-25+, im hoping for 20 but ill even settle for what we have now.
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