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SNOW MAPS: January 28th-29th 2022

+16
Dunnzoo
weatherwatchermom
rb924119
aiannone
jmanley32
Carvin
uanswer2me
amugs
Mathgod55
heehaw453
skinsfan1177
Dis2cruise
frank 638
Frank_Wx
SENJsnowman
sroc4
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Post by Frank_Wx Sun Jan 30, 2022 8:55 am

The bad: 12-18 zone in NJ did not expand west enough, could have angled the 6-12 better to put Philly Metro and parts of CNJ in it

I'll give myself a B+ with this. Tough storm to forecast honestly. When I released this map the NAM and GFS were still showing the heaviest snows offshore, and I ended up going with my gut and listening to other pro's such as Ray.

SNOW MAPS: January 28th-29th 2022  - Page 2 01-29-22-Godzilla-Verification

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Post by mmillerc23 Sun Jan 30, 2022 9:02 am

Thanks Frank, rb, Heehaw and everyone else for their time and effort in forecasting this tricky storm!

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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Sun Jan 30, 2022 9:02 am

Frank_Wx wrote:The bad: 12-18 zone in NJ did not expand west enough, could have angled the 6-12 better to put Philly Metro and parts of CNJ in it

I'll give myself a B+ with this. Tough storm to forecast honestly. When I released this map the NAM and GFS were still showing the heaviest snows offshore, and I ended up going with my gut and listening to other pro's such as Ray.

SNOW MAPS: January 28th-29th 2022  - Page 2 01-29-22-Godzilla-Verification

A Hell of a job.

Yourself, RB, Heehaw, Sroc, Mugs should all be commended. It was great having Ace chipping in on this one too. Several others too obviously, MAttyice come to mind
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Post by skinsfan1177 Sun Jan 30, 2022 11:55 am

Great job I will say we got nuked 2ft
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Post by WeatherBob Sun Jan 30, 2022 12:47 pm

I got ya CP!

MOM - snow was in the 5 ish range to 6. That’s all she wrote up here!

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Post by weatherwatchermom Sun Jan 30, 2022 1:30 pm

WeatherBob wrote:I got ya CP!

MOM - snow was in the 5 ish range to 6.  That’s all she wrote up here!


Thanks going to call him today..he had church this morning...
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Post by rb924119 Sun Jan 30, 2022 7:07 pm

weatherwatchermom wrote:
rb924119 wrote:Just doing some quick and dirty verification of our forecast maps for our board area, and if I might offer some constructive criticism, both Scott’s (sroc) and Frank’s final forecast maps were nearly perfect from what I can tell. However, it looks to me like Scott was a little too bullish on the westward expanse of the banding, and Frank was a little two generous into NEPA and the Catskills region. But your second call map was dead nuts man. The gradient in this storm were really tough, especially for NYC proper, and I think you both did incredibly well there.

In retrospect, had I made a map, it would have been too generous to the west, as I was thinking that the main band that setup along coastal NJ would be another 30 miles west (hence my liking of the I-95 corridor). So, I would have busted there, for sure. That said, I think the overall idea of a further west solution versus what guidance was indicating (even while the event was unfolding) proved to have merit, so I’m ok with that.

All in all, I think we did a really fantastic job as a group with this event, and as the first system that I could spend ANY time analyzing for this season, I couldn’t have asked for a better one. Great job, everybody, and for those of you who are newcomers, welcome aboard!! Onto the next one!!
great job done by all!! What a great group!!
So RB when do you think our next one is going to be. 🙂🙂

Check the Long Range Thread for the latest updates Smile

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Post by rb924119 Sun Jan 30, 2022 7:10 pm

I will say this: After taking part toward the end of the tracking of our last storm, I’ve been bitten by the forecasting bug badly. The itch cannot be scratched 😂 sitting here at work and I’m catching myself looking at maps more than working haha

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