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Tropics

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Post by weatherwatchermom Tue Sep 27, 2022 12:37 pm

sroc4 wrote:
amugs wrote:Storm Surge

Ian - Tropics - Page 11 Fdq_33hXoAEqTD6?format=jpg&name=900x900


Cool interactive Storm surge map that can be used to know where you are based on the Cat hurricane incoming.  You can zoom in to individual streets etc.   Look at the top of the page. This is set at Cat 3 but you can change it

https://experience.arcgis.com/experience/203f772571cb48b1b8b50fdcc3272e2c/page/Category-3/

great minds...lol

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Post by weatherwatchermom Tue Sep 27, 2022 12:39 pm

Hey I am going to post this..we live on the water..right before Sandy..someone said( I think it was our insurance agent) to take pictures and video of your whole house inside and out to have with you incase something happens. It was not the first thing on our minds..and thank goodness we did not need it..but just putting it out there...

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Post by amugs Tue Sep 27, 2022 1:00 pm


_________________
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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by amugs Tue Sep 27, 2022 1:02 pm

He may attain CAT 4 status by the 2PM update at this rate, tehre are mesovortices in his inner core and lightening is ramping up there as well = rapid strengthening

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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by sroc4 Tue Sep 27, 2022 1:13 pm

INCREDIBLE!!!

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/satlooper.php?region=09L&product=vis

_________________
"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65"WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85" WINTER 2022/2023 TOTALS 4.9"      
WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2023/2024 TOTALS 13.1"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20"WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25"WINTER 2021/2022 TOTALS 31.65" 
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Post by amugs Tue Sep 27, 2022 1:34 pm



Ain't no stopping him now peeps - it's open season for intensification.

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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by aiannone Tue Sep 27, 2022 1:54 pm

HWRF Simulated Satellite.... imagine having that coming at you. This is why I'd NEVER live in Florida or anywhere near 90 degree bath water around me lol

Ian - Tropics - Page 11 30904810

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Post by amugs Tue Sep 27, 2022 2:06 pm


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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by Frank_Wx Tue Sep 27, 2022 2:08 pm

sroc4 wrote:INCREDIBLE!!!

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/satlooper.php?region=09L&product=vis

WOW!!!!!

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Post by Frank_Wx Tue Sep 27, 2022 2:10 pm

12z models and where they make landfall

Ian - Tropics - Page 11 FdrlA3nWQAA6mnj?format=jpg&name=4096x4096

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Post by amugs Tue Sep 27, 2022 2:16 pm

This a phenomenal map produced by Allan Hoffman Pro Met

Ian - Tropics - Page 11 FdrlA3nWQAA6mnj?format=jpg&name=4096x4096

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Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by sroc4 Tue Sep 27, 2022 3:14 pm

amugs wrote:This a phenomenal map produced by Allan Hoffman Pro Met

Ian - Tropics - Page 11 FdrlA3nWQAA6mnj?format=jpg&name=4096x4096

Looks like Frank Beat you by 6minutes Mugsy! LOL

_________________
"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65"WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85" WINTER 2022/2023 TOTALS 4.9"      
WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2023/2024 TOTALS 13.1"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20"WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25"WINTER 2021/2022 TOTALS 31.65" 
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Post by sroc4 Tue Sep 27, 2022 3:16 pm

Def on the NNE trajectory now

Ian - Tropics - Page 11 Recon_AF302-2109A-IAN

_________________
"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65"WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85" WINTER 2022/2023 TOTALS 4.9"      
WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2023/2024 TOTALS 13.1"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20"WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25"WINTER 2021/2022 TOTALS 31.65" 
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Post by sroc4 Tue Sep 27, 2022 3:21 pm

Just a little levity for a tense day of tracking.


_________________
"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65"WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85" WINTER 2022/2023 TOTALS 4.9"      
WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2023/2024 TOTALS 13.1"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20"WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25"WINTER 2021/2022 TOTALS 31.65" 
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Post by tomsriversnowstorm Tue Sep 27, 2022 5:53 pm

Is there any new information on the storm?

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Post by sroc4 Tue Sep 27, 2022 6:00 pm

I’d say we are looking at the beginnings of a a true EWRC( Eye Wall Replacement Cycle).  This typically weakens a system short term but ultimately when complete will strengthen it and expands the hurricane force wind field.

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/satlooper.php?region=09L&product=vis

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/satlooper.php?region=09L&product=wv_mid

Ian - Tropics - Page 11 50557a10
Ian - Tropics - Page 11 A088b010

_________________
"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65"WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85" WINTER 2022/2023 TOTALS 4.9"      
WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2023/2024 TOTALS 13.1"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20"WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25"WINTER 2021/2022 TOTALS 31.65" 
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Post by Joe Snow Tue Sep 27, 2022 6:39 pm

I be been getting the house hurricane ready the last two days. Looking at the current track. It puts Ian’s eye over my town on Thursday.

Great just great. I’ll try to do videos and put them on.
If it’s doesn’t get crazy out.
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Post by sroc4 Tue Sep 27, 2022 6:53 pm

Joe Snow wrote:I be been getting the house hurricane ready the last two days. Looking at the current track. It puts Ian’s eye over my town on Thursday.

Great just great. I’ll try to do videos and put them on.
If it’s doesn’t get crazy out.

Stay safe Joe

_________________
"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65"WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85" WINTER 2022/2023 TOTALS 4.9"      
WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2023/2024 TOTALS 13.1"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20"WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25"WINTER 2021/2022 TOTALS 31.65" 
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Post by amugs Tue Sep 27, 2022 6:57 pm

sroc4 wrote:
amugs wrote:This a phenomenal map produced by Allan Hoffman Pro Met

Ian - Tropics - Page 11 FdrlA3nWQAA6mnj?format=jpg&name=4096x4096

Looks like Frank Beat you by 6minutes Mugsy!  LOL
Teaching got in my way today LOL!!

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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by Joe Snow Tue Sep 27, 2022 7:05 pm

I be been getting the house hurricane ready the last two days. Looking at the current track. It puts Ian’s eye over my town on Thursday.

Great just great. I’ll try to do videos and put them on.
If it’s doesn’t get crazy out.
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Post by Cyanide02Z06 Tue Sep 27, 2022 7:34 pm

My parents are on the water in Punta Gorda (Charlotte Harbor) and they refuse to leave.....I'll post any pics/videos I get.
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Post by amugs Tue Sep 27, 2022 7:42 pm

Cyanide02Z06 wrote:My parents are on the water in Punta G
Code:
orda (Charlotte Harbor) and they refuse to leave.....I'll post any pics/videos I get.

I will pray for theIan - Tropics - Page 11 Fdsqlj10
ir safety since that has been zeroed in as ground zero for landfall. They have upped to a Category 4 at landfall.


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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by amugs Tue Sep 27, 2022 7:51 pm



Oye Vey!!

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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by jmanley32 Tue Sep 27, 2022 7:57 pm

Insane NHC predicting 15-20 inches of rain from diagonal across entire state, most of FL is going to be in ruins. This is so aweful.
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Post by amugs Tue Sep 27, 2022 9:09 pm

EURO

Ian - Tropics - Page 11 Fdtd5a10

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AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by amugs Tue Sep 27, 2022 9:27 pm

CAT 4 is sickIan - Tropics - Page 11 Image_16

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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by Joe Snow Tue Sep 27, 2022 9:35 pm

I am in Sanford Florida right now. This is insane.

Ian - Tropics - Page 11 D8374f10
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