NJ Strong Weather Forum


Join the forum, it's quick and easy

NJ Strong Weather Forum
NJ Strong Weather Forum
Would you like to react to this message? Create an account in a few clicks or log in to continue.

Front-End Thump of Snow WED 1/25

+20
GreyBeard
MikeA
amugs
crippo84
Grselig
kalleg
1190ftalt
aiannone
dkodgis
weatherwatchermom
frank 638
mikeypizano
phil155
jmanley32
brownie
CPcantmeasuresnow
heehaw453
sroc4
docstox12
Frank_Wx
24 posters

Page 2 of 4 Previous  1, 2, 3, 4  Next

Go down

Front-End Thump of Snow WED 1/25 - Page 2 Empty Re: Front-End Thump of Snow WED 1/25

Post by weatherwatchermom Tue Jan 24, 2023 2:35 pm

Do you think we will beat the 5 flakes that we had here in Hazlet tomorrow? drunken

weatherwatchermom
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 3327
Join date : 2014-11-25

dkodgis likes this post

Back to top Go down

Front-End Thump of Snow WED 1/25 - Page 2 Empty Re: Front-End Thump of Snow WED 1/25

Post by heehaw453 Tue Jan 24, 2023 2:43 pm

weatherwatchermom wrote:Do you think we will beat the 5 flakes that we had here in Hazlet tomorrow?  drunken
Lol you will get your 5 flakes but they may come in a short window  

white flag white flag white flag

heehaw453
Advanced Forecaster
Advanced Forecaster

Posts : 2867
Join date : 2014-01-20

weatherwatchermom likes this post

Back to top Go down

Front-End Thump of Snow WED 1/25 - Page 2 Empty Re: Front-End Thump of Snow WED 1/25

Post by docstox12 Tue Jan 24, 2023 2:48 pm

phil155 wrote:
docstox12 wrote:
phil155 wrote:
mikeypizano wrote:
phil155 wrote: am hoping our luck will change and we can get at least 1 good solid storm, all it takes is one big storm to turn this winter from a let down to a winner in terms of snowfall

Nope, won't make any difference to me at this point. One storm does not make a winter.


I was thinking in terms of total snowfall and not the overall winter

Winter '94-'95 ran like this one but we had a 12 inch snowstorm that February.That was pretty much it that year.

And of course the year after that was a historic winter, maybe this is a precursor to a repeat of that historic winter of 95-96 next year. We are over due for it imho and one can dream

Well one thing for sure, this is the anti '95-96 winter.Everything that can go wrong has.
docstox12
docstox12
Wx Statistician Guru
Wx Statistician Guru

Posts : 7818
Reputation : 221
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 72
Location : Monroe NY

CPcantmeasuresnow, heehaw453 and phil155 like this post

Back to top Go down

Front-End Thump of Snow WED 1/25 - Page 2 Empty Re: Front-End Thump of Snow WED 1/25

Post by heehaw453 Tue Jan 24, 2023 3:26 pm

NAM for tomorrow.  Pretty modest for much of the area.

Front-End Thump of Snow WED 1/25 - Page 2 Nam55

heehaw453
Advanced Forecaster
Advanced Forecaster

Posts : 2867
Reputation : 83
Join date : 2014-01-20
Location : Bedminster Township, PA

CPcantmeasuresnow likes this post

Back to top Go down

Front-End Thump of Snow WED 1/25 - Page 2 Empty Re: Front-End Thump of Snow WED 1/25

Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Tue Jan 24, 2023 3:29 pm

heehaw453 wrote:NAM for tomorrow.  Pretty modest for much of the area.

Front-End Thump of Snow WED 1/25 - Page 2 Nam55

Taking into consideration that’s a 10:1 map and ratios for most will be below or far below that even those totals are probably high.

NEXT.
CPcantmeasuresnow
CPcantmeasuresnow
Wx Statistician Guru
Wx Statistician Guru

Posts : 6907
Reputation : 230
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 102
Location : Eastern Orange County, NY

heehaw453 likes this post

Back to top Go down

Front-End Thump of Snow WED 1/25 - Page 2 Empty Re: Front-End Thump of Snow WED 1/25

Post by heehaw453 Tue Jan 24, 2023 5:00 pm

GFS putting the mid-level energy right where the I95 would get a good burst of snow.  < 24 hrs out now. I guess at some point it corrects.

Front-End Thump of Snow WED 1/25 - Page 2 Gfs149

heehaw453
Advanced Forecaster
Advanced Forecaster

Posts : 2867
Reputation : 83
Join date : 2014-01-20
Location : Bedminster Township, PA

CPcantmeasuresnow likes this post

Back to top Go down

Front-End Thump of Snow WED 1/25 - Page 2 Empty Re: Front-End Thump of Snow WED 1/25

Post by dkodgis Tue Jan 24, 2023 8:32 pm

My school district issued a closing for tomorrow
dkodgis
dkodgis
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 1979
Reputation : 98
Join date : 2013-12-29

Back to top Go down

Front-End Thump of Snow WED 1/25 - Page 2 Empty Re: Front-End Thump of Snow WED 1/25

Post by Frank_Wx Wed Jan 25, 2023 7:18 am

NAM looks colder than some other short range models (RGEM, HRRR), but the best lift will be well N&W of our area by the time real precipitation moves in. I can see how N&W still ends up with 2-4” before the changeover to rain.


_________________
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________

CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
Frank_Wx
Frank_Wx
Godzilla Seeker
Godzilla Seeker

Posts : 20838
Reputation : 327
Join date : 2013-01-05
Age : 30
Location : Jersey City, NJ

http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/

docstox12 and MattyICE like this post

Back to top Go down

Front-End Thump of Snow WED 1/25 - Page 2 Empty Re: Front-End Thump of Snow WED 1/25

Post by mikeypizano Wed Jan 25, 2023 7:39 am

Frank_Wx wrote:NAM looks colder than some other short range models (RGEM, HRRR), but the best lift will be well N&W of our area by the time real precipitation moves in. I can see how N&W still ends up with 2-4” before the changeover to rain.


*MAYBE* in the higher elevations but for me, I will probably have a sloppy coating on the grass again when all is said and done. I bet this must be the least snowiest winter here, and if not, definitely in the top 5.
mikeypizano
mikeypizano
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 1110
Reputation : 66
Join date : 2017-01-05
Age : 33
Location : Wilkes-Barre/Scranton, PA

Back to top Go down

Front-End Thump of Snow WED 1/25 - Page 2 Empty Re: Front-End Thump of Snow WED 1/25

Post by dkodgis Wed Jan 25, 2023 8:32 am

Up here it looks like later, longer.

https://backyardsnowstorm.com/

Raffle this on the board
dkodgis
dkodgis
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 1979
Reputation : 98
Join date : 2013-12-29

Back to top Go down

Front-End Thump of Snow WED 1/25 - Page 2 Empty Re: Front-End Thump of Snow WED 1/25

Post by heehaw453 Wed Jan 25, 2023 8:36 am

Wet bulb temps dotted purple line.  That means when the air is fully saturated the surface temp would be  <= 32 above that line.  Not expecting but a 1/2" IMBY.  That seems to be the limit this winter IMBY.

Front-End Thump of Snow WED 1/25 - Page 2 Surfac29

heehaw453
Advanced Forecaster
Advanced Forecaster

Posts : 2867
Reputation : 83
Join date : 2014-01-20
Location : Bedminster Township, PA

Back to top Go down

Front-End Thump of Snow WED 1/25 - Page 2 Empty Re: Front-End Thump of Snow WED 1/25

Post by heehaw453 Wed Jan 25, 2023 9:53 am

Based on radar GFS may have gotten this right. WAA precip rapidly coming from the SW.

Front-End Thump of Snow WED 1/25 - Page 2 Inxr1Kphla_h

heehaw453
Advanced Forecaster
Advanced Forecaster

Posts : 2867
Reputation : 83
Join date : 2014-01-20
Location : Bedminster Township, PA

Back to top Go down

Front-End Thump of Snow WED 1/25 - Page 2 Empty Re: Front-End Thump of Snow WED 1/25

Post by aiannone Wed Jan 25, 2023 9:56 am

heehaw453 wrote:Based on radar GFS may have gotten this right. WAA precip rapidly coming from the SW.

Front-End Thump of Snow WED 1/25 - Page 2 Inxr1Kphla_h

Not going to make it to NYC and LI before the warm up. Snowless streak continues lol
aiannone
aiannone
Advanced Forecaster
Advanced Forecaster

Posts : 4536
Reputation : 92
Join date : 2013-01-07
Location : Saint James, LI (Northwest Suffolk Co.)

phil155 likes this post

Back to top Go down

Front-End Thump of Snow WED 1/25 - Page 2 Empty Re: Front-End Thump of Snow WED 1/25

Post by phil155 Wed Jan 25, 2023 10:00 am

aiannone wrote:
heehaw453 wrote:Based on radar GFS may have gotten this right. WAA precip rapidly coming from the SW.

Front-End Thump of Snow WED 1/25 - Page 2 Inxr1Kphla_h

Not going to make it to NYC and LI before the warm up. Snowless streak continues lol

On to the next one for those of us in the I95 I guess. I am keeping hope that February is at least a little better, can't be much worse right

phil155
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 281
Reputation : 4
Join date : 2019-12-16

Back to top Go down

Front-End Thump of Snow WED 1/25 - Page 2 Empty Re: Front-End Thump of Snow WED 1/25

Post by heehaw453 Wed Jan 25, 2023 10:08 am

phil155 wrote:
aiannone wrote:
heehaw453 wrote:Based on radar GFS may have gotten this right. WAA precip rapidly coming from the SW.

Front-End Thump of Snow WED 1/25 - Page 2 Inxr1Kphla_h

Not going to make it to NYC and LI before the warm up. Snowless streak continues lol

On to the next one for those of us in the I95 I guess. I am keeping hope that February is at least a little better, can't be much worse right
Would agree with that.  +9 temps and no snow on the I95.  Would almost guarantee it doesn't get worse than that in February.  Probably worst January on record actually.

heehaw453
Advanced Forecaster
Advanced Forecaster

Posts : 2867
Reputation : 83
Join date : 2014-01-20
Location : Bedminster Township, PA

Back to top Go down

Front-End Thump of Snow WED 1/25 - Page 2 Empty Re: Front-End Thump of Snow WED 1/25

Post by dkodgis Wed Jan 25, 2023 10:10 am

Speaking of snow droughts around these parts, there is an adbundance of cold and snow (and in summer months, absurb heat) in parts of Japan and Korea. My friends who live there tell me they are seeing terrible cold and unbelievable snow. When do "anomolies" become the new norm?
dkodgis
dkodgis
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 1979
Reputation : 98
Join date : 2013-12-29

Back to top Go down

Front-End Thump of Snow WED 1/25 - Page 2 Empty Re: Front-End Thump of Snow WED 1/25

Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Wed Jan 25, 2023 10:11 am

It is hard to imagine worse but a January with an average temperature above 41in NYC combined with no measurable snowfall is a new low in recorded history. Unfortunately the winter warmups continue. Not sure where this all ends.

February and March could be great snow months but overall it’s meaningless in the long term trend of the last several decades which is warmer winters.
CPcantmeasuresnow
CPcantmeasuresnow
Wx Statistician Guru
Wx Statistician Guru

Posts : 6907
Reputation : 230
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 102
Location : Eastern Orange County, NY

dkodgis likes this post

Back to top Go down

Front-End Thump of Snow WED 1/25 - Page 2 Empty Re: Front-End Thump of Snow WED 1/25

Post by weatherwatchermom Wed Jan 25, 2023 11:29 am

dkodgis wrote:Up here it looks like later, longer.

https://backyardsnowstorm.com/

Raffle this on the board

Problem with that is you need freezing temps...😢
weatherwatchermom
weatherwatchermom
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 3327
Reputation : 77
Join date : 2014-11-25
Age : 58
Location : Hazlet Township

dkodgis likes this post

Back to top Go down

Front-End Thump of Snow WED 1/25 - Page 2 Empty Re: Front-End Thump of Snow WED 1/25

Post by dkodgis Wed Jan 25, 2023 11:30 am

Haha you got me
dkodgis
dkodgis
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 1979
Reputation : 98
Join date : 2013-12-29

weatherwatchermom likes this post

Back to top Go down

Front-End Thump of Snow WED 1/25 - Page 2 Empty Re: Front-End Thump of Snow WED 1/25

Post by weatherwatchermom Wed Jan 25, 2023 11:35 am

dkodgis wrote:Haha you got me
Good try though! Plain and simple this winter is the pits
And I am surviving with my snow flake projector down stairs and upstairs..lol husband just rolls his eyes and says better than shoveling
weatherwatchermom
weatherwatchermom
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 3327
Reputation : 77
Join date : 2014-11-25
Age : 58
Location : Hazlet Township

dkodgis likes this post

Back to top Go down

Front-End Thump of Snow WED 1/25 - Page 2 Empty Re: Front-End Thump of Snow WED 1/25

Post by sroc4 Wed Jan 25, 2023 11:49 am

40* with bright sunny skies.....

Front-End Thump of Snow WED 1/25 - Page 2 ?u=https%3A%2F%2Fmedia1.tenor.com%2Fimages%2F7555819767df6878c8ca39ae6623e2e5%2Ftenor

Front-End Thump of Snow WED 1/25 - Page 2 ?u=https%3A%2F%2Fmedia.giphy.com%2Fmedia%2FsZDPNsiMeGgrC%2Fgiphy

_________________
"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65"WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85" WINTER 2022/2023 TOTALS 0.25"      
WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20"WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25"WINTER 2021/2022 TOTALS 31.65" 
sroc4
sroc4
Admin
Admin

Posts : 7650
Reputation : 301
Join date : 2013-01-07
Location : Wading River, LI

Back to top Go down

Front-End Thump of Snow WED 1/25 - Page 2 Empty Re: Front-End Thump of Snow WED 1/25

Post by weatherwatchermom Wed Jan 25, 2023 12:31 pm

sroc4 wrote:40* with bright sunny skies.....

Front-End Thump of Snow WED 1/25 - Page 2 ?u=https%3A%2F%2Fmedia1.tenor.com%2Fimages%2F7555819767df6878c8ca39ae6623e2e5%2Ftenor

Front-End Thump of Snow WED 1/25 - Page 2 ?u=https%3A%2F%2Fmedia.giphy.com%2Fmedia%2FsZDPNsiMeGgrC%2Fgiphy

now mother nature is just being cruel!! and giving you the middle finger.. Smile At least here it is dark and gloomy..
weatherwatchermom
weatherwatchermom
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 3327
Reputation : 77
Join date : 2014-11-25
Age : 58
Location : Hazlet Township

Back to top Go down

Front-End Thump of Snow WED 1/25 - Page 2 Empty Re: Front-End Thump of Snow WED 1/25

Post by 1190ftalt Wed Jan 25, 2023 12:35 pm

Snowing and 32 degrees, feels like wet snow, started at 12:15
1190ftalt
1190ftalt
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 278
Reputation : 10
Join date : 2013-12-13
Location : Stillwater, NJ

Back to top Go down

Front-End Thump of Snow WED 1/25 - Page 2 Empty Re: Front-End Thump of Snow WED 1/25

Post by heehaw453 Wed Jan 25, 2023 12:41 pm

31.8/31.6. Moderate to heavy snow.  About 1/4" OTG.  Sub freezing temps last night helped sticking a bit.

I'll get my 1/2" and not a mm more.

heehaw453
Advanced Forecaster
Advanced Forecaster

Posts : 2867
Reputation : 83
Join date : 2014-01-20
Location : Bedminster Township, PA

Back to top Go down

Front-End Thump of Snow WED 1/25 - Page 2 Empty Re: Front-End Thump of Snow WED 1/25

Post by kalleg Wed Jan 25, 2023 12:46 pm

Light snow in New Hope...

kalleg

Posts : 64
Reputation : 2
Join date : 2013-01-15
Location : New Hope, PA

Back to top Go down

Front-End Thump of Snow WED 1/25 - Page 2 Empty Re: Front-End Thump of Snow WED 1/25

Post by heehaw453 Wed Jan 25, 2023 12:46 pm

This is where your heavier snows are right now.

Front-End Thump of Snow WED 1/25 - Page 2 Snow12

heehaw453
Advanced Forecaster
Advanced Forecaster

Posts : 2867
Reputation : 83
Join date : 2014-01-20
Location : Bedminster Township, PA

Back to top Go down

Front-End Thump of Snow WED 1/25 - Page 2 Empty Re: Front-End Thump of Snow WED 1/25

Post by Grselig Wed Jan 25, 2023 12:56 pm

Omg. Its snowing!!!   At least sets the mood.
Grselig
Grselig
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 1376
Reputation : 139
Join date : 2013-03-04
Age : 52
Location : Wayne NJ

essexcountypete and heehaw453 like this post

Back to top Go down

Front-End Thump of Snow WED 1/25 - Page 2 Empty Re: Front-End Thump of Snow WED 1/25

Post by Sponsored content


Sponsored content


Back to top Go down

Page 2 of 4 Previous  1, 2, 3, 4  Next

Back to top


 
Permissions in this forum:
You cannot reply to topics in this forum