Front-End Thump of Snow WED 1/25

Do you think we will beat the 5 flakes that we had here in Hazlet tomorrow?

weatherwatchermom wrote:Do you think we will beat the 5 flakes that we had here in Hazlet tomorrow?  

Lol you will get your 5 flakes but they may come in a short window  

phil155 wrote:

docstox12 wrote:

phil155 wrote:

mikeypizano wrote:

phil155 wrote: am hoping our luck will change and we can get at least 1 good solid storm, all it takes is one big storm to turn this winter from a let down to a winner in terms of snowfall

Nope, won't make any difference to me at this point. One storm does not make a winter.

I was thinking in terms of total snowfall and not the overall winter

Winter '94-'95 ran like this one but we had a 12 inch snowstorm that February.That was pretty much it that year.

And of course the year after that was a historic winter, maybe this is a precursor to a repeat of that historic winter of 95-96 next year. We are over due for it imho and one can dream

Well one thing for sure, this is the anti '95-96 winter.Everything that can go wrong has.

NAM for tomorrow.  Pretty modest for much of the area.

heehaw453 wrote:NAM for tomorrow.  Pretty modest for much of the area.

Taking into consideration that’s a 10:1 map and ratios for most will be below or far below that even those totals are probably high.

NEXT.

GFS putting the mid-level energy right where the I95 would get a good burst of snow.  < 24 hrs out now. I guess at some point it corrects.

My school district issued a closing for tomorrow

NAM looks colder than some other short range models (RGEM, HRRR), but the best lift will be well N&W of our area by the time real precipitation moves in. I can see how N&W still ends up with 2-4” before the changeover to rain.

Frank_Wx wrote:NAM looks colder than some other short range models (RGEM, HRRR), but the best lift will be well N&W of our area by the time real precipitation moves in. I can see how N&W still ends up with 2-4” before the changeover to rain.

*MAYBE* in the higher elevations but for me, I will probably have a sloppy coating on the grass again when all is said and done. I bet this must be the least snowiest winter here, and if not, definitely in the top 5.

Up here it looks like later, longer.

https://backyardsnowstorm.com/

Raffle this on the board

Wet bulb temps dotted purple line.  That means when the air is fully saturated the surface temp would be  <= 32 above that line.  Not expecting but a 1/2" IMBY.  That seems to be the limit this winter IMBY.

Based on radar GFS may have gotten this right. WAA precip rapidly coming from the SW.

heehaw453 wrote:Based on radar GFS may have gotten this right. WAA precip rapidly coming from the SW.

Not going to make it to NYC and LI before the warm up. Snowless streak continues lol

aiannone wrote:

heehaw453 wrote:Based on radar GFS may have gotten this right. WAA precip rapidly coming from the SW.

Not going to make it to NYC and LI before the warm up. Snowless streak continues lol

On to the next one for those of us in the I95 I guess. I am keeping hope that February is at least a little better, can't be much worse right

phil155 wrote:

aiannone wrote:

heehaw453 wrote:Based on radar GFS may have gotten this right. WAA precip rapidly coming from the SW.

Not going to make it to NYC and LI before the warm up. Snowless streak continues lol

On to the next one for those of us in the I95 I guess. I am keeping hope that February is at least a little better, can't be much worse right

Would agree with that.  +9 temps and no snow on the I95.  Would almost guarantee it doesn't get worse than that in February.  Probably worst January on record actually.

Speaking of snow droughts around these parts, there is an adbundance of cold and snow (and in summer months, absurb heat) in parts of Japan and Korea. My friends who live there tell me they are seeing terrible cold and unbelievable snow. When do "anomolies" become the new norm?

It is hard to imagine worse but a January with an average temperature above 41in NYC combined with no measurable snowfall is a new low in recorded history. Unfortunately the winter warmups continue. Not sure where this all ends.

February and March could be great snow months but overall it’s meaningless in the long term trend of the last several decades which is warmer winters.

dkodgis wrote:Up here it looks like later, longer.

https://backyardsnowstorm.com/

Raffle this on the board

Problem with that is you need freezing temps...

Haha you got me

dkodgis wrote:Haha you got me

Good try though! Plain and simple this winter is the pits
And I am surviving with my snow flake projector down stairs and upstairs..lol husband just rolls his eyes and says better than shoveling

40* with bright sunny skies.....

sroc4 wrote:40* with bright sunny skies.....

now mother nature is just being cruel!! and giving you the middle finger.. At least here it is dark and gloomy..

Snowing and 32 degrees, feels like wet snow, started at 12:15

31.8/31.6. Moderate to heavy snow.  About 1/4" OTG.  Sub freezing temps last night helped sticking a bit.

I'll get my 1/2" and not a mm more.

Light snow in New Hope...

This is where your heavier snows are right now.

Omg. Its snowing!!!   At least sets the mood.