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Feb 9th-10th Storm Final Discussion/Observations

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Post by Artechmetals Wed Feb 05, 2014 11:33 pm

I understand that it must be difficult but we don't always get winters like this ! So let it snow

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Post by jmanley32 Wed Feb 05, 2014 11:36 pm

Yes, I love it when its comin down and all the excitement leading up to it but its the aftermath that isnt too fiun.

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Post by jmanley32 Wed Feb 05, 2014 11:38 pm

I am glad I made it to work today becasue if the storm this weekend does happen tothe extent it was showing the other day then monday morning will be shutdown (except our job) they will tell us oh get here bu 10am, you can make it, yeah ok lemme walk in 2-3 feet of snow and sure yeah driving in thats possible too.  Oh the highways are shutdown, too bad walk or swim down the hudson, no joke.
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Post by jmanley32 Wed Feb 05, 2014 11:40 pm

Our CEO was mad (and I know I have mentioned this before but it still gets me all twisted up) that people from staten island didnt come to work during or right after Sandy, uh hello, what were they going to do swim?  The bridges and ferrys were shutdown for days.
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Post by Artechmetals Wed Feb 05, 2014 11:41 pm

I agree I live in nj suburbs and snow mounds are very high my dilemma is I go out with my blower clean my driveway and walkway and today I get 4 neighbors who have the nerve to ask me to clean the entrance to their driveways
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Post by jmanley32 Wed Feb 05, 2014 11:45 pm

Metals they are in your hand charge em!  People get stuck in my road all the time, I carry around a shovel, oh your stuck, ok $20. LOL
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Post by jmanley32 Wed Feb 05, 2014 11:46 pm

My goal is to break 1000 posts this winter lol.
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Post by Artechmetals Wed Feb 05, 2014 11:49 pm

Yes I know I should but you figure they would at least ask how much so I'm hoping for that mega storm because I will not bail them out I will wait until they shovel out before I start mine
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Post by Artechmetals Wed Feb 05, 2014 11:53 pm

Up at 5 tomorrow going to bed hoping tomorrow these knucklehead mets eat their words about this storm not merging
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Post by Vinnydula Wed Feb 05, 2014 11:58 pm

Such a great goal  Razz 
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Post by pdubz Thu Feb 06, 2014 2:50 am

CNN just sent this article out saying weekend storm isn't happening anymore and lost all energy.. why write something that can be wrong in just a couple days No 

http://www.cnn.com/2014/02/06/us/weather/index.html
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Post by SoulSingMG Thu Feb 06, 2014 2:54 am

I emailed that link to myself so I can find it quickly if/when the storm DOES happen and I'll tweet their own story back them with a headline saying, "MODELS ARE FOR GUIDANCE ONLYYY"
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Post by SoulSingMG Thu Feb 06, 2014 4:51 am

Bill Evans is completely discounting the idea of ANY storm for this weekend. Says there is a northern piece of energy sheering off to the north, another piece will go far to our south, and we are right in the middle with literally, tranquil weather. I guess models have really gotten rid of this storm...??
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Post by skinsfan1177 Thu Feb 06, 2014 5:22 am

this why storms shouldn't be hyped up by media two weeks out now the general public is going to hear that their is no storm and not be prepared. even at my job DPW they were saying doesn't look like much and I keep saying not true
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Post by SoulSingMG Thu Feb 06, 2014 5:54 am

My tweet to Bill Evans:

@Evansweather To discount a storm/assure me whatever travel plans I have Sun, I'm 'fine' is negligent. Hype=bad, as is guarantee of no storm
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Post by pdubz Thu Feb 06, 2014 6:13 am

i don't like how every met is discounting this storm and saying its not happening at all because if like frank said and all the pieces align they would have to back track a lot
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Post by SNOW MAN Thu Feb 06, 2014 6:27 am

[quote="Artechmetals"]I understand that it must be difficult but we don't always get winters like this ! So let it snow[

I agree with you Artech. It took me and my wife 6 hrs. to clean up the snow yesterday and that's with a snow blower. But you know what I'm looking forward to some more and hopefully a few bigger storms. Today it's up on the roof to clean that off, just in case we get some decent size snows next week. I'll be keeping my fingers crossed. This is what Winter should be COLD and SNOW. NICE ! Very Happy 
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Post by SNOW MAN Thu Feb 06, 2014 6:35 am

All the local Mets in my area saying the same thing, no storm for the weekend. These are the same people who said I'd get 1-3 inches yesterday. Hmm then why did I get 11.5 inches. Believe or not HM on Accuweather agrees with Frank's ideas for this event.
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Post by HectorO Thu Feb 06, 2014 6:52 am

Too early to discount then storm. But it doesn't look good. Storm went from looking like a Roidzilla in out area to a dusting.
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Post by deadrabbit79 Thu Feb 06, 2014 7:02 am

So i had a little back and forth with Bill Evans on twitter about 30 minutes ago...........

He originally tweeted: "So Sundays snow won't be so bad after all"

I responded: "How can you be so sure? Each storm this season has developed, fallen apart days before only to reorganize" (I was trying to say that there was potential then models had it out to sea or to the north etc)

He responded: "That's not true. Model conditions came together & they developed or they didn't. Not this time"

I responded:" "The models have been inconsistent at best this year" (I have heard that mentioned many times on this board this season)

And the discussion ended with that last tweet by me

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Post by docstox12 Thu Feb 06, 2014 7:13 am

HectorO wrote:Too early to discount then storm. But it doesn't look good. Storm went from looking like a Roidzilla in out area to a dusting.

The big one seems to be fading at this juncture but there is still a solid mention of light snow.Maybe 2 to 4.Crazy year with these models.Frank pointed out that pieces are there so I'll see what tomorrow brings on the model runs.
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Post by SNOW MAN Thu Feb 06, 2014 7:20 am

Well Doc if we miss out on this one I hear there's like a conga line of storms in the Pacific right now. So sooner or later something has to come together.
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Post by HectorO Thu Feb 06, 2014 7:35 am

Yea, getting 3-4 inches wouldn't be bad. Especially since there looks to be something developing next week. Possibly Wednesday or Thursday, but that will be talked about once Sunday is over.
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Post by Dunnzoo Thu Feb 06, 2014 7:57 am

6z NAM has the first wave a near miss just south of Jersey on Saturday, and a few inches for us for Sunday....the second wave is about 18 hours behind the first....still a lot of time to watch...

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Snowfall winter of 2023-2024  17.5"    

Snowfall winter of 2022-2023       6.0"
Snowfall winter of 2021-2022     17.6"    1" sleet 2/25/22
Snowfall winter of 2020-2021     51.1"
Snowfall winter of 2019-2020       8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019     25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018     51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017     45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016     29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015     50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014     66.5"
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Post by Frank_Wx Thu Feb 06, 2014 8:04 am

With the way this season has gone, I wouldn't discount anything until after 12z runs tomorrow. All it takes is 1 piece to adjust that would bring us a significant storm. The disturbing thing is, like I said in the blog, the models have lost the +PNA (western ridge) and that ultimately could mess this up. But we'll see.

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Post by skinsfan1177 Thu Feb 06, 2014 8:20 am

Frank even if thid doesnt turn out to br one big dtorm dont we still jave a shot at moderate snow
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Post by cooladi Thu Feb 06, 2014 8:25 am

My compliments to Frank for the outstanding blog, explaining in detail, with graphics, the players for this weekend's weather. I will be following here very closely, as always, to get the reliable word on how this will actually play out.

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