Re: BLIZZARD JAN 26TH-27TH: OFFICIAL OBSERVATION THREAD

by **Frank_Wx** Mon Jan 26, 2015 8:54 pm

Slowly but surely

BLIZZARD JAN 26TH-27TH: OFFICIAL OBSERVATION THREAD - Page 27 Inxr1Kphla_h

by **nutleyblizzard** Mon Jan 26, 2015 8:54 pm

sroc4 wrote:
Frank_Wx wrote:H5 has not closed off yet.

It isn't modeled to until after midnight Frank..Nam and Euro

I thought Frank said he wanted H5 to close by 9:30pm the latest?

by **HectorO** Mon Jan 26, 2015 8:54 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:@Hector, I do not care right or wrong. I just want posts coming across in a respectable manner.

If you read between the lines... Sometimes banters can contain information hidden, between the emotions. I'm wishcasting for everyone that around Feb 12-24 will be a decent storm.

by **bloc1357** Mon Jan 26, 2015 8:58 pm

Here come the goods!! Appear to be getting more intense too!

http://www.wunderground.com/weather-radar/united-states/ny/west-babylon/okx/?lat=40.70922089&lon=-73.37142181&label=West%20Babylon%2c%20NY

by **bloc1357** Mon Jan 26, 2015 8:59 pm

How do you guys actually post the pictures of the radars not just the links

by **SoulSingMG** Mon Jan 26, 2015 8:59 pm

Oh lord. Here come the NAM hysterics.

by suds123 Mon Jan 26, 2015 9:00 pm

NAM OTS!! see ya!! doesn't it realize it just came on the jersey shore

by **sroc4** Mon Jan 26, 2015 9:01 pm

SoulSingMG wrote:Oh lord. Here come the NAM hysterics.

lol probably

by **skinsfan1177** Mon Jan 26, 2015 9:01 pm

Yes I thought the same H5 we wanted closed by 930

by **Math23x7** Mon Jan 26, 2015 9:02 pm

BLIZZARD JAN 26TH-27TH: OFFICIAL OBSERVATION THREAD - Page 27 Wxbell12

8:40 PM radar: For much of the evening there has been a sharp cutoff right through Flushing, NY. West of there has been under a lull the last few hours but east of Flushing has experienced no lull whatsoever. I am in Bellerose, NY (where the pink pushpin is), EAST of that location by just a few miles. So I am on the long end of the cutoff. And I notice the dark blue band through Brookhaven, which over the last hour or so has come west from Montauk. I could get some very high snow totals from this.

by **Frank_Wx** Mon Jan 26, 2015 9:03 pm

The 00z NAM now does not close off H5 until 10z, or 5am, which is WAYYY too late for our area. If this is the case, this storm will be a bust west of NYC. Of course, it's the NAM and for it to be so drastic from 18z to now makes me question it, but the GFS' consistency is still implanted in the back of my mind. Bust potential has increased for those west of NYC, in my opinion.

by **2004blackwrx** Mon Jan 26, 2015 9:04 pm

Frank you radar shows no moisture in CT is that accurate or radar doesn't go that north

by elkiehound Mon Jan 26, 2015 9:04 pm

Are those bands going to make it over here to Western Jersey overnight ... Flemington area ?

by **SoulSingMG** Mon Jan 26, 2015 9:05 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:The 00z NAM now does not close off H5 until 10z, or 5am, which is WAYYY too late for our area. If this is the case, this storm will be a bust west of NYC. Of course, it's the NAM and for it to be so drastic from 18z to now makes me question it, but the GFS' consistency is still implanted in the back of my mind. Bust potential has increased for those west of NYC, in my opinion.

The Low initialized east of current Obs though. What is the problem with models that they can't even depict where a low pressure CURRENTLY is?!

by **Frank_Wx** Mon Jan 26, 2015 9:06 pm

elkiehound wrote:Are those bands going to make it over here to Western Jersey overnight ... Flemington area ?

Anybody's guess at this point. Seriously.

I'm deflated (not as much as the Patriots though)

by **skinsfan1177** Mon Jan 26, 2015 9:07 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:The 00z NAM now does not close off H5 until 10z, or 5am, which is WAYYY too late for our area. If this is the case, this storm will be a bust west of NYC. Of course, it's the NAM and for it to be so drastic from 18z to now makes me question it, but the GFS' consistency is still implanted in the back of my mind. Bust potential has increased for those west of NYC, in my opinion.
Ok Frank thanks for that explanation bc I thought it affected the coast

by **2004blackwrx** Mon Jan 26, 2015 9:07 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:
elkiehound wrote:Are those bands going to make it over here to Western Jersey overnight ... Flemington area ?

Anybody's guess at this point. Seriously.

I'm deflated (not as much as the Patriots though)

Only there balls

by **Frank_Wx** Mon Jan 26, 2015 9:07 pm

SoulSingMG wrote:
Frank_Wx wrote:The 00z NAM now does not close off H5 until 10z, or 5am, which is WAYYY too late for our area. If this is the case, this storm will be a bust west of NYC. Of course, it's the NAM and for it to be so drastic from 18z to now makes me question it, but the GFS' consistency is still implanted in the back of my mind. Bust potential has increased for those west of NYC, in my opinion.

The Low initialized east of current Obs though. What is the problem with models that they can't even depict where a low pressure CURRENTLY is?!

They can't figure out the convection aspect of this system. It's become frustrating.

by tigernumba1 Mon Jan 26, 2015 9:08 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:
elkiehound wrote:Are those bands going to make it over here to Western Jersey overnight ... Flemington area ?

Anybody's guess at this point. Seriously.

I'm deflated (not as much as the Patriots though)

so is the main question when does the h5 close? earlier the more snow and later the less snow?

by **2004blackwrx** Mon Jan 26, 2015 9:08 pm

Forget Models what do the pros on this site feel will happen based on there nowcast.

by **Frank_Wx** Mon Jan 26, 2015 9:09 pm

2004blackwrx wrote:Forget Models what do the pros on this site feel will happen based on there nowcast.

The radar is looking more and more impressive. At this point, disregard all models

BLIZZARD JAN 26TH-27TH: OFFICIAL OBSERVATION THREAD - Page 27 Inxr1Kphla_h

by **skinsfan1177** Mon Jan 26, 2015 9:11 pm

27° ratio good will drop more when storm gets up here

by **SoulSingMG** Mon Jan 26, 2015 9:11 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:
2004blackwrx wrote:Forget Models what do the pros on this site feel will happen based on there nowcast.

The radar is looking more and more impressive. At this point, disregard all models

I second this. Look at those bands feeding in from the Atlantic. Those are happening NOW, not modeled. #NOWCAST

by pkmak Mon Jan 26, 2015 9:12 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:
2004blackwrx wrote:Forget Models what do the pros on this site feel will happen based on there nowcast.

The radar is looking more and more impressive. At this point, disregard all models

That's some nice heavy bands!

by **2004blackwrx** Mon Jan 26, 2015 9:12 pm

Im impressed in radar till I see it all break up anywhere west of city. My humidity is only 65%

by wilsocks Mon Jan 26, 2015 9:13 pm

The WTC just put NYC at 3 to 8 inches....

by **Frank_Wx** Mon Jan 26, 2015 9:13 pm

HectorO wrote:Plenty of wine here... Anyone want to join? My wife is a lightweight.

Hector, these are the posts I want kept in banter.

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