Update#2: BLOG + 1st Call Snow Map

Frank_Wx wrote:

jmanley32 wrote:did we all forget about the 00z euro?  Isnt that rather important run too.

Why else would I still be awake

lol, good pt.

What do you look for in the Euro that we really need ??

this is kinda funny, not even a HWO for my area or southern CT, either theres a glitch or they are about to change something.

oldtimer wrote:What do you look for in the Euro that we really need ??

At 12z it transferred energy across eastern PA over NYC. Secondary formed on top of NYC into LI. I would like to see the secondary develop south of CNJ. Would also like to see it deepen sooner.

This was 12z

jmanley32 wrote:nws maps do take into consideration ratios, look at snow versus qpf.

The NWS maps do take ratios into consideration.

Cp I can see an 6 to 8 up here

GFS winds are high.

With winds this high and 6" + for Long Island you think we might see the B word used?

Thanks Frank Its all about SOUTH

Frank_Wx wrote:GFS winds are high.

posted the closeup a page or so back but the wide view is nice, look at those isobars, intensity seems to went up a bit those winds will certainly wreak some havok. Of course it will be too damn cold for me to go out and play lol

Joe Snow wrote:With winds this high and 6" + for Long Island you think we might see the B word used?

personally at this pt. LI yeah but other areas cannot be crossed off yet like southern CT NYC etc. B word is wind and duration i believe, and obviously snow.

Joe Snow wrote:With winds this high and 6" + for Long Island you think we might see the B word used?

Yes.

jimv45 wrote:Cp I can see an 6 to 8 up here

Tough call Jim. Couldn't say right now. If we don't get under the trough I don't see it. Safe bet is probably 3-6 like Lee put up. More possible but a lot has to happen.

Frank u think pts west still have a shot at 6+ and b word or is that sliding off now, seems to me we are kinda near same place as 12z, at qwhich pt you said b word was possible along coastal areas, looks like inland too if gfs gusts are right.

I know this belongs in the cold and windchill thread but no one is there, the wind is howling and in a few hours I have dropped nearly 10 degrees. brrr 12.2 right now.

jmanley32 wrote:Frank u think pts west still have a shot at 6+ and b word or is that sliding off now, seems to me we are kinda near same place as 12z, at qwhich pt you said b word was possible along coastal areas, looks like inland too if gfs gusts are right.

They have a much better shot

Yea cp I think it hangs on longer up here  it will be very interesting to see once this storm gets cranking to out east and how much it throws our way.

You see what GFS did to our Wednesday storm. Glancing blow to far off shore. Meaningless now it's gone from cutter to this in 2 days. Wouldn't it be a kick in the ass to finally get a true Miller A and have it go OTS. That would hurt.

Not to worried about that these models all winter can't make up there minds feel really good about that storm will see.

00z EC is rolling.....

Through 30 heights look slightly higher along EC. Not sure that's a good thing in this case, to be honest.

Heights may be slightly higher over New England, but the ridge out west looks equally less amplified through 30

At 36 energy looks more spread out to backside of the trough

You know, Frank; we REALLY need to stop this ahahaha

Surface low looks to be a tick north, actually.

great....

Trough looks sharper