Re: Updated Final Call Snow Map, Observations Thread 2/21-2/22

by **docstox12** Sat Feb 21, 2015 1:11 pm

rb924119 wrote:Just a very fine snow here. We aren't gonna get much from this at all. Too cold, as evidenced by the rapid decrease in the precipitation field even with the best isentropic lift we will have this storm occurring as we speak (type lol). I'm starting to think this may under-perform for a lot of areas.

Steady snow turned to just a few flurries.You're right about that PA radar, looks horrible and ragged there.Hmmmmmmmmm......!!!!!

by **NjWeatherGuy** Sat Feb 21, 2015 1:14 pm

TWC keeps saying everyone goes to all rain but NAM and others seems to show all snow 95 northwest with 850s well below freezing and sfc temps 32-33 degrees which is fine for wet snow, disagree with NWS calling for 2-6" instead of 4-8", theyre horrible

by jldio Sat Feb 21, 2015 1:15 pm

light snow

by Fededle22 Sat Feb 21, 2015 1:16 pm

You nailed the start time Frank. Flurries started here just before 1pm and has been increasing in steadiness since then to a light steady snow now. Looks like I may be in the jackpot zone for this storm.

by snowday111 Sat Feb 21, 2015 1:18 pm

Lightly snowing now

by **Artechmetals** Sat Feb 21, 2015 1:20 pm

rb924119 wrote:Just a very fine snow here. We aren't gonna get much from this at all. Too cold, as evidenced by the rapid decrease in the precipitation field even with the best isentropic lift we will have this storm occurring as we speak (type lol). I'm starting to think this may under-perform for a lot of areas.

Frank what do you think about what RB said ?

by **amugs** Sat Feb 21, 2015 1:20 pm

Nothing here yet

by **Frank_Wx** Sat Feb 21, 2015 1:21 pm

Wow, huge dry slot over PA. Not sure that was modeled anywhere. Like my update says though...round 2 should be impressive once the LLJ gets going. However, this maybknock down snow totals N&W of NYC. Still early though. We'll see how we look in a couple hours.

by **jmanley32** Sat Feb 21, 2015 1:22 pm

Guys read Frank's blog update its very promising especially for a strip through nj westchester and eastern ct.

by **Grselig** Sat Feb 21, 2015 1:29 pm

Light snow in Wayne. 23.5 degrees.

by **docstox12** Sat Feb 21, 2015 1:32 pm

Unless that radar fills in quick over Eastern Pa, snow will shut down up here until round 2 starts.That would cut down accumulations up here at least 2 inches.

by **Frank_Wx** Sat Feb 21, 2015 1:35 pm

Updated Final Call Snow Map, Observations Thread 2/21-2/22 - Page 6 Post-1619-0-65378700-1424543504

GEM-LAM still showing impressive amounts

by **rb924119** Sat Feb 21, 2015 1:36 pm

You want a bad omen for a snow storm?? The sun is currently shining through the clouds here right now as it's lightly snowing. If that doesn't show the decrease in ascent then I don't know what would. Really not liking this at the moment, but I'm hoping it starts going the other way.

by **Frank_Wx** Sat Feb 21, 2015 1:36 pm

It even now shows the PA dryslot

by **RJB8525** Sat Feb 21, 2015 1:37 pm

its snowing good here, started light its coming down good now

by **Frank_Wx** Sat Feb 21, 2015 1:38 pm

Shows*

by **Dunnzoo** Sat Feb 21, 2015 1:40 pm

A little late but heavy flurries

by **RJB8525** Sat Feb 21, 2015 1:42 pm

they popped out a little weather statement and i can see why, it went from light to moderate real quick and it dumped a coating already.

BRONX-EASTERN BERGEN-EASTERN ESSEX-EASTERN PASSAIC-EASTERN
UNION-HUDSON-KINGS (BROOKLYN)-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-NORTHERN
QUEENS-ORANGE-RICHMOND (STATEN IS.)-ROCKLAND-SOUTHERN QUEENS-WESTERN
BERGEN-WESTERN ESSEX-WESTERN PASSAIC-WESTERN UNION-
107 PM EST SAT FEB 21 2015

...MODERATE SNOW WILL IMPACT BERGEN...BRONX...ESSEX...HUDSON...KINGS
(BROOKLYN)...NEW YORK
(MANHATTAN)...ORANGE...PASSAIC...QUEENS...RICHMOND (STATEN
ISLAND)...ROCKLAND AND UNION COUNTIES...

AT 1259 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
MODERATE SNOW ACROSS CENTRAL NEW JERSEY...RAPIDLY MOVING INTO THE
AREA THROUGH 2 PM.

SNOWFALL RATES OF UP TO INCH PER HOUR AND VISIBILITIES OF 1/2 MILE
OR LESS ARE EXPECTED.

by **Math23x7** Sat Feb 21, 2015 1:44 pm

Just started snowing here.

by **algae888** Sat Feb 21, 2015 1:46 pm

light snow in the North Bronx very fine flakes.

by **snow247** Sat Feb 21, 2015 1:48 pm

Moderate snow here with a dusting, sad that the dry slot may cut down totals for NW areas, but I'm not surprised.

by **NjWeatherGuy** Sat Feb 21, 2015 1:49 pm

HRRR has about 1" of QPF here, wow

by **algae888** Sat Feb 21, 2015 1:51 pm

moderate snow now really picked up nice coating on the ground

by **docstox12** Sat Feb 21, 2015 1:54 pm

snow247 wrote:Moderate snow here with a dusting, sad that the dry slot may cut down totals for NW areas, but I'm not surprised.

Just goes to show in spite of model analysis that may look good, you are never sure until the storm starts and look at the radar.We still may luck out if it fills in or stops in Eastern Pa.

Light snow, wind blown, visibility dropping.

That NWS update seems to think Orange County will get moderate snow after 2 PM.Let's see how that works out.

by Sparky Sparticles Sat Feb 21, 2015 1:55 pm

Started coming down @ 1:20 pm, and within 10 minutes became so heavy that it almost looks like fog, not snow.

Temp was 9 degree at 7 am, is 29 now.

by **Vinnydula** Sat Feb 21, 2015 1:56 pm

Coming down like crazy in the Bronx

by **Frank_Wx** Sat Feb 21, 2015 1:57 pm

Precip streaming in from the SW now. This looks good. Getting moderate snow here now. While N&W areas may miss out now, the lower end of their ranges should still be reached.

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