Re: Updated Final Call Snow Map, Observations Thread 2/21-2/22

by **devsman** Sat Feb 21, 2015 7:39 pm

South shore of LI is still snowing heavy. Winds died down. Hopefully c/o holds til at least 10pm here.

by **Quietace** Sat Feb 21, 2015 7:39 pm

Still only 28.9 FRZ rain

by Guest Sat Feb 21, 2015 7:39 pm

Frank all the heavy radar returns over NJ hit LI and diminish in intensity. We've been moderate snow since the start at 2:15 and we're up to near 4" now. I think the heaviest returns sliding just south of LI are a sign the R/S line may not make it much past this point. What are your thoughts?

by **jmanley32** Sat Feb 21, 2015 7:40 pm

Temp was steady at 28 for hours, now it dropped to 27! Hoping for that no or little changeover.

by **Dtone** Sat Feb 21, 2015 7:40 pm

jmanley32 wrote:Sweet Frank just got in its rippin out there, posting a few pics shortly, 6+! We have 3 now and I would say even if it does not change over until very late we seee close to 6 with the rates, the heaviest is just south of me though, is that gonna push north?

Yeah over 3" here now.

by **docstox12** Sat Feb 21, 2015 7:40 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:
nutleyblizzard wrote:
Frank_Wx wrote:I'll tell you what - models really blew it for my friends in HV and NEPA. The dry slot, or area of subsidence, whatever you want to call it has really screwed you guys. I do not believe this was modeled at any point. Maybe you get another 1-3 inches still, we'll see. But that sucks
That subsidence anomaly has been an ongoing trend this year for most our storms this year. My area got shafted from the big blizzard earlier this winter from one of those.

Seriously, that is what happens when there is a surface low that cuts into NY. Good things never come with it. Same thing happened with another storm earlier this season. And models never pick it up...as a forecaster, you just have to realize it. Especially since we're not working with any secondary coastal low or anything like that.

No problem, Frank.I knew I was in trouble here when I saw that huge dry slot in PA.I never am a big model believer, I always check radar the day of the storm a few hours before it starts.That's my go to for my own forecast.

If I get 3 total, which is a pretty good bet, I'll be happy.

by **jmanley32** Sat Feb 21, 2015 7:42 pm

by **Frank_Wx** Sat Feb 21, 2015 7:42 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:Use this link to follow r/s line. It's pretty detectable

http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/index.php?type=DIX-N0C-1-12

YES, IT'S STALLING!!

by **jmanley32** Sat Feb 21, 2015 7:42 pm

by Fededle22 Sat Feb 21, 2015 7:43 pm

Lights have flashed a few times here in the past couple of minutes. Hopefully my power will not go out. Between 2-3 inches on the ground and looking like I should still get another 3-4.

by Mathgod55 Sat Feb 21, 2015 7:44 pm

About 3 inches on the ground in West Islip. Where's the rain?

by **Frank_Wx** Sat Feb 21, 2015 7:44 pm

Impressive bands entering west NJ

Updated Final Call Snow Map, Observations Thread 2/21-2/22 - Page 16 Inxr1Kphla_h

by **aiannone** Sat Feb 21, 2015 7:44 pm

29.9* here and still fine flakes.

by mancave25 Sat Feb 21, 2015 7:44 pm

Nwnj getting screwed again

by **jmanley32** Sat Feb 21, 2015 7:46 pm

Looks like some sick rates going to cut across here not too long from now. This has been quite a storm of surprises.

by **devsman** Sat Feb 21, 2015 7:48 pm

Rain/snow line looks stalled over C/SE jersey for last 45 minutes. Yes?

by tigernumba1 Sat Feb 21, 2015 7:49 pm

blitzing! hopefully the rain holds off for a few more hours

by **billg315** Sat Feb 21, 2015 7:51 pm

I just drove 3 hours and 45 minutes home from a hockey game in Philly (usually a 1 hour 30 minute trip). I can report heavy snow almost the whole way, and not a single plow ahead of me for nearly 65 miles from Cherry Hill to Hillsborough. Finally saw a plow train when I got to Hillsborough - about ten minutes from home. Worst. Drive. Ever.

by **snow247** Sat Feb 21, 2015 7:52 pm

Moderate snow here, eyeballing 2 or close to 3 inches.

by **Frank_Wx** Sat Feb 21, 2015 7:54 pm

R/s line just south of LI

Updated Final Call Snow Map, Observations Thread 2/21-2/22 - Page 16 Index

Back in NJ it looks stalled

by **Frank_Wx** Sat Feb 21, 2015 7:54 pm

http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/index.php?type=OKX-N0C-1-12

by **Frank_Wx** Sat Feb 21, 2015 7:54 pm

billg315 wrote:I just drove 3 hours and 45 minutes home from a hockey game in Philly (usually a 1 hour 30 minute trip). I can report heavy snow almost the whole way, and not a single plow ahead of me go nearly 65 miles from Cherry Hill to Hillsborough. Finally saw a plow train when I got to Hillsborough - about ten minutes from gone. Worst. Drive. Ever.

At least you're safe. That sounded awful.

by **Frank_Wx** Sat Feb 21, 2015 7:55 pm

Here is the R/s line in NJ

Updated Final Call Snow Map, Observations Thread 2/21-2/22 - Page 16 Post-1871-0-41425000-1424566677

by **billg315** Sat Feb 21, 2015 7:57 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:
billg315 wrote:I just drove 3 hours and 45 minutes home from a hockey game in Philly (usually a 1 hour 30 minute trip). I can report heavy snow almost the whole way, and not a single plow ahead of me go nearly 65 miles from Cherry Hill to Hillsborough. Finally saw a plow train when I got to Hillsborough - about ten minutes from gone. Worst. Drive. Ever.

At least you're safe. That sounded awful.

Yep, home safe at last. I've driven in a lot of snow, particularly having gone to school in central PA. This was one of my worst drives ever.

by **Frank_Wx** Sat Feb 21, 2015 7:59 pm

Madonne

Updated Final Call Snow Map, Observations Thread 2/21-2/22 - Page 16 Untitled

by **aiannone** Sat Feb 21, 2015 8:00 pm

Frank, People south of the r/s line reported a mix and then it went back to heavy snow. DC is back in heavy snow after a couple hours of sleet

by mancave25 Sat Feb 21, 2015 8:01 pm

Hey frank do u see nwnj getting in on some heavy bands

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