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Tuesday 3/2 Ice Event

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Post by Frank_Wx Mon Mar 02, 2015 11:35 am

@snow247 wrote:When is the start time for this?

4-6pm Tuesday

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Post by jmanley32 Mon Mar 02, 2015 11:45 am

Oh wow what a lovely time to have a ice storm ugg, hoping it stays snow until I get home.
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Post by Frank_Wx Mon Mar 02, 2015 11:48 am

@jmanley32 wrote:Oh wow what a lovely time to have a ice storm ugg, hoping it stays snow until I get home.

Meh, take it slow. It's not a huge ice storm for our area. Moreso for PA. More ice came with the last storm for parts of the area.

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Post by sabamfa Mon Mar 02, 2015 12:18 pm

Do you think flights will be leaving Newark around 5pm tomorrow? Boyfriend's mom is traveling out of Newark around that time.

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Post by RJB8525 Mon Mar 02, 2015 12:57 pm

@sabamfa wrote:Do you think flights will be leaving Newark around 5pm tomorrow? Boyfriend's mom is traveling out of Newark around that time.

its supposed to start out as bad icing from the start always best bet is to check first you may be able to get a flight in by 5 the roads getting there could be bad at that time
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Post by Frank_Wx Mon Mar 02, 2015 12:58 pm

@sabamfa wrote:Do you think flights will be leaving Newark around 5pm tomorrow? Boyfriend's mom is traveling out of Newark around that time.

Ouch, might get delayed but since that is early on in the storm they may try to push it out before it gets too bad

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Post by jimv45 Mon Mar 02, 2015 3:02 pm

Albany just put out Winter weather advisory 2-6 inches snow sleet with a TENTH of an inch of ice for mid-Hudson valley looks bad hyde no word of rain.

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Post by amugs Mon Mar 02, 2015 3:02 pm

Ukie Snow Map for tomorrow night - I do not know if they include sleet in this. Anyone - I friggin take it!!

Tuesday 3/2 Ice Event - Page 2 Post-33-0-70441300-1425325722

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Post by amugs Mon Mar 02, 2015 3:05 pm

Here we go - colder trend as I have been HARPING ON!!

Tuesday 3/2 Ice Event - Page 2 PT_033_0000

Tuesday 3/2 Ice Event - Page 2 PT_036_0000

Tuesday 3/2 Ice Event - Page 2 PT_039_0000

Bring it baby go for another delayed opening F YEAH!!!!!!!

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Post by amugs Mon Mar 02, 2015 3:06 pm

GEM LAM - lets do this!!

Tuesday 3/2 Ice Event - Page 2 Jn32Kbd

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Post by gigs68 Mon Mar 02, 2015 3:14 pm

@amugs wrote:Here we go - colder trend as I have been HARPING ON!!

Tuesday 3/2 Ice Event - Page 2 PT_033_0000

Tuesday 3/2 Ice Event - Page 2 PT_036_0000

Tuesday 3/2 Ice Event - Page 2 PT_039_0000

Bring it baby go for another delayed opening F YEAH!!!!!!!

Is the yellow on this map ice?
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Post by amugs Mon Mar 02, 2015 3:46 pm

Gigs yes - mix - sleet and freezing rain

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Post by RJB8525 Mon Mar 02, 2015 4:12 pm

advisory just put out
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEW YORK HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND FREEZING RAIN...WHICH IS IN EFFECT
FROM 3 PM TUESDAY TO 2 AM EST WEDNESDAY.

* LOCATIONS...NEW YORK CITY...NASSAU AND WESTERN SUFFOLK
COUNTY...AS WELL AS UNION...ESSEX AND HUDSON COUNTIES...

* HAZARD TYPES...SNOW AND FREEZING RAIN.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 1 TO 3 INCHES...ALONG WITH
A TRACE TO A FEW HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH OF ICE.

* TEMPERATURES...STARTING IN THE MID TO UPPER 20S TUESDAY
AFTERNOON...THEN SLOWLY RISING INTO THE LOWER 30S TO MID 30S
LATE TUESDAY NIGHT.

* TIMING...SNOW DEVELOPS LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON...THEN MIXES WITH
SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN TUESDAY EVENING BEFORE CHANGING TO
FREEZING RAIN BY MIDNIGHT...THEN TO PLAIN RAIN LATE AT NIGHT.

* IMPACTS...SNOW COVERED SURFACES...COATED WITH ICE...WILL MAKE
TRAVELING DIFFICULT AT TIMES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
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Post by algae888 Mon Mar 02, 2015 4:19 pm

nws snow map
Tuesday 3/2 Ice Event - Page 2 StormTotalSnowFcst
Tuesday 3/2 Ice Event - Page 2 StormTotalIceFcst
ice
Tuesday 3/2 Ice Event - Page 2 StormTotalQPFFcst
qpf
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Post by snow247 Mon Mar 02, 2015 4:19 pm

Advisory issued here for 2-4 inches of snow then sleet/ice.
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Post by snow247 Mon Mar 02, 2015 4:37 pm

lol, RGEM jackpots me with the sleet.
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Post by algae888 Mon Mar 02, 2015 4:49 pm

nws disco
FOR TEMPERATURES THROUGH THIS EVENT...DIDN`T STRAY TOO FAR FROM WHAT
WAS ALREADY IN THE GRIDS. THINKING IS THAT SIMILAR TO THE PAST
COUPLE EVENTS...SURFACE TEMPS WILL LIKELY BE LOWER THAN SHOWN BY
MAV/NAM MOS...WITH SUNY SB HI-RES WRF CLOSER TO WHAT WILL PROBABLY
HAPPEN. ALOFT...WOULDN`T BE SURPRISED TO SEE A COLDER TREND BY
MODELS AS WE GET CLOSER TO THE EVENT.
BUT EVEN SO...THINKING IS THAT
THE MAX TEMP IN THE ELEVATED WARM LAYER WILL BE PLENTY WARM ENOUGH
FOR AN EVENTUAL TRANSITION TO BRIEF SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN AFTER
STARTING AS ALL SNOW...THEN CHANGING PLAIN RAIN. BY THE TIME SOME OF
THE NW SUBURBS SURFACE TEMPS RISE ABOVE FREEZING...POPS SHOULD BE ON
THE DOWNWARD TREND. ICING CONCERNS WILL THEREFORE BE THE GREATEST
THERE.

EXPECTING GENERALLY 1 TO 3 / 2 TO 4 INCHES OF SNOW ACROSS THE AREA
ALONG WITH A TRACE UP TO A TENTH OF AN INCH OF ICE. ONLY SPOT WHERE
ICING IS NOT FORECAST IS EASTERN SUFFOLK COUNTY...WHICH IS THE ONLY
AREA THAT WILL NOT HAVE A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY WITH THIS UPDATE.
THE ADVISORY STARTS LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUES INTO LATE
TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDS MORNING. PLAIN RAIN IS EXPECTED WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON ANYWHERE PCPN IS FALLING. HIGHS ON WEDNESDAY IN THE UPPER
30S TO AROUND 40.

what mugs has been saying for weeks now. great call last few weeks mugs.
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Post by snow247 Mon Mar 02, 2015 5:17 pm

Upton updated their snow map, 2-3 inches for the entire metro.
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Post by hyde345 Mon Mar 02, 2015 6:01 pm

@jimv45 wrote:Albany just put out Winter weather advisory 2-6 inches snow sleet with a TENTH of an inch of ice for mid-Hudson valley looks bad hyde no word of rain.

They did mention scattered snow and rain showers after daybreak Wednesday but by that time the heavier precip is over. I expect 2-4 inches of snow, transitioning to sleet after 9 or 10pm and then to freezing rain after midnight. Should be a real mess for Wednesday morning commute in the mid-Hudson valley.
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