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June 2015 Obs and Discussion

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aiannone
sabamfa
oldtimer
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algae888
GreyBeard
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Math23x7
ak926
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Dtone
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June 2015 Obs and Discussion - Page 2 Empty Re: June 2015 Obs and Discussion

Post by Math23x7 Wed Jun 03, 2015 11:03 pm

@Frank_Wx wrote:Not looking at a whole lot of rain over the next 10 days. Monday into Tuesday of next week has a good shot at some. This Friday may see some showers.
Next 10 days as in June 4th-13th?  Well the most important date is Day 11 which is Sunday June 14th, when the forum meetup takes place on the Jersey Shore.

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June 2015 Obs and Discussion - Page 2 Empty Re: June 2015 Obs and Discussion

Post by Frank_Wx Thu Jun 04, 2015 3:40 pm

@Math23x7 wrote:
@Frank_Wx wrote:Not looking at a whole lot of rain over the next 10 days. Monday into Tuesday of next week has a good shot at some. This Friday may see some showers.
Next 10 days as in June 4th-13th?  Well the most important date is Day 11 which is Sunday June 14th, when the forum meetup takes place on the Jersey Shore.

That day looks sunny, for now Very Happy

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June 2015 Obs and Discussion - Page 2 Empty Re: June 2015 Obs and Discussion

Post by Dunnzoo Thu Jun 04, 2015 6:25 pm

It wouldn't dare rain on our gtg!

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Snowfall winter of 2019-2020         8.5"
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Snowfall winter of 2016-2017     45.6"
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June 2015 Obs and Discussion - Page 2 Empty Re: June 2015 Obs and Discussion

Post by skinsfan1177 Thu Jun 04, 2015 6:27 pm

So who's in for gtg
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June 2015 Obs and Discussion - Page 2 Empty Re: June 2015 Obs and Discussion

Post by GreyBeard Fri Jun 05, 2015 12:38 am

Keep an eye on the gang skins, after all it is your main stopming grounds Thumbs up

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June 2015 Obs and Discussion - Page 2 Empty Re: June 2015 Obs and Discussion

Post by skinsfan1177 Fri Jun 05, 2015 7:24 am

[quote="GreyBeard"]Keep an eye on the gang skins, after all it is your main stopming grounds Thumbs up [/quote

Will do greybeard looking forward to finally meeting some of the crew
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Post by jmanley32 Fri Jun 05, 2015 9:45 am

Sounds good to me, I am involved in the global family reunion in Queens if any of you know about it. Then my relatives are getting together on Sunday. So no rain will b gr8.
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June 2015 Obs and Discussion - Page 2 Empty Re: June 2015 Obs and Discussion

Post by docstox12 Fri Jun 05, 2015 12:32 pm

@skinsfan1177 wrote:So who's in for gtg

I'm in but have we selected a place yet?
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June 2015 Obs and Discussion - Page 2 Empty Re: June 2015 Obs and Discussion

Post by amugs Fri Jun 05, 2015 10:28 pm

68* for my high today and 48* for my low on 6-2. My wife actually put the heat on 68 just to get the chill out of the house on Tuesday. June 2nd and the heat was on, makes me sick!!

Hrrr calling for showers to morning between 911 then clearing and sunshine as the front moves through
June 2015 Obs and Discussion - Page 2 Hrrr_2015060600_ref_pennsylvania

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Post by Dtone Sat Jun 06, 2015 12:43 am

Ugh heat in June.
I did briefly turn on the heat in the car during those first 2 June days in the 50s with rain and wind. A very warm May has acclimated us to summer heat, making the chilly early June feel espically cold... relatively speaking.

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Post by docstox12 Sat Jun 06, 2015 5:49 am

Yep, bizarre this early June cold snap.Mom (94) put the heat up a couple of times Tues-Weds when I stay with her in Fort Lee.Lee mentioned it was like a late March day when it hit only the low 50's for the high.
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June 2015 Obs and Discussion - Page 2 Empty Re: June 2015 Obs and Discussion

Post by amugs Sat Jun 06, 2015 9:14 am

Shower this morning - ugghhhh - I set up for my son's double bday party and graduation - youngest from 8th grade- now I have to get out the rags and wipe everything down. dam you HRRRR!!!!!!!!!!!!! More showers/rain incoming!!

This afternoon should be beautiful - sun and warmth once this front passes by about 11ish.

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June 2015 Obs and Discussion - Page 2 Empty Re: June 2015 Obs and Discussion

Post by ak926 Sat Jun 06, 2015 9:35 am

.70 from this morning rain

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June 2015 Obs and Discussion - Page 2 Empty Re: June 2015 Obs and Discussion

Post by Frank_Wx Sat Jun 06, 2015 11:37 am

It's looking awfully warm the end of next week, specifically Thursday-Saturday

Thurs temps

June 2015 Obs and Discussion - Page 2 Gem_T2m_neus_24

Friday temps

June 2015 Obs and Discussion - Page 2 Gem_T2m_neus_28

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June 2015 Obs and Discussion - Page 2 Empty Re: June 2015 Obs and Discussion

Post by docstox12 Sat Jun 06, 2015 12:59 pm

Frank, it's doing what it's supposed to do, not 47 or 48 for a high up here a few days ago.
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June 2015 Obs and Discussion - Page 2 Empty Re: June 2015 Obs and Discussion

Post by skinsfan1177 Sat Jun 06, 2015 1:26 pm

Unbelievable rain here in wildwood
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Post by Dtone Sat Jun 06, 2015 8:03 pm

Boston set a record for the lowest June high temp ever recorded with a high of 49* to start the month. That crazy snow pile lives on.

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June 2015 Obs and Discussion - Page 2 Empty Re: June 2015 Obs and Discussion

Post by Frank_Wx Sat Jun 06, 2015 11:25 pm

@docstox12 wrote:Frank, it's doing what it's supposed to do, not 47 or 48 for a high up here a few days ago.

True that, my friend. As long as it's not a heat wave I'm ok with occasional 90s here and there.

Looks like Monday afternoon into Tuesday morning we could be dealing with rain. Not a lot, probably around quarter to half an incH. Then it could be awhile before we see rain again. Meaningful rain, at least.

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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Sun Jun 07, 2015 7:32 am

42° for this mornings low. Couple that with the first three days in June where we never got above the low 50s and this has been my dream June so far.

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Post by jmanley32 Mon Jun 08, 2015 1:59 pm

tornado watch just issued, I wonder if it will expand south and east, those in far north western NJ are on border so def watch out there.

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0274_radar_init.gif
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Post by jmanley32 Mon Jun 08, 2015 2:03 pm

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
342 AM EDT MON JUN 8 2015

CTZ005-009-NJZ004-006-103>108-NYZ068>074-176-177-091000-
NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-EASTERN PASSAIC-HUDSON-
WESTERN BERGEN-EASTERN BERGEN-WESTERN ESSEX-EASTERN ESSEX-
WESTERN UNION-EASTERN UNION-PUTNAM-ROCKLAND-NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-
SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-
RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-NORTHERN QUEENS-NORTHERN NASSAU-
342 AM EDT MON JUN 8 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN
CONNECTICUT...NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING COULD PRODUCE
ISOLATED STRONG WINDS OR LARGE HAIL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY AFTERNOON COULD PRODUCE ISOLATED STRONG
WINDS OR LARGE HAIL.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS
EVENING..AND AGAIN TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

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Post by Frank_Wx Mon Jun 08, 2015 2:15 pm

There is clearing taking place ahead of the front, hence all the sunshine we're seeing right now. This is helping to strengthen the instability (CAPE)

http://www.goes.noaa.gov/GSSLOOPS/ecwv.html

I do not think there will be much to worry about in terms of tornado's in our area. Shear is not too impressive. We'll see. Look for these storms to arrive late afternoon into evening.

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Post by jmanley32 Mon Jun 08, 2015 3:00 pm

I wouldn't think so either but the air def feels like it is destabilizing, bright sunshine here. I would think we will probably see some good strong storms rain lightning big booms etc. The fun non-damaging stuff, but as you said we will see, may miss entirely. Thought it was funny one roge cell just north of the tip of LI a little while ago.
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Post by jmanley32 Mon Jun 08, 2015 3:10 pm

Frank if you were to guess a time to get indoors here in southern WC, if we get anything at all what time would that be (mainly because I do not want to get soaked nor the baby getting home)? That is one gigantic tornado watch and svr tstorm watch is almost all way from upstate NY to the southern US.
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Post by algae888 Mon Jun 08, 2015 3:22 pm

highly unlikely we will see any severe weather east of Hudson as strong sea breeze/coastal front has set up. temps over most of li in the 60's an.d temps are now falling in coastal sections
CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
FARMINGDALE SUNNY 71 60 68 SW22G37 29.89F
ISLIP PTSUNNY 71 59 65 S18G29 29.90F
SHIRLEY CLOUDY 71 60 68 S21G28 29.92F
WESTHAMPTON CLOUDY 69 60 73 S18G29 29.94F
MONTAUK POINT N/A 65 57 75 S10G20 29.96F
$$

nws disco...
ENOUGH CLEARING WILL TAKE PLACE THIS
AFTERNOON DURING PEAK HEATING TO ENHANCE SEA BREEZE DEVELOPMENT.
SFC PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN HIGH PRESSURE OFFSHORE AND AN
APPROACHING PRE-FRONTAL TROUGH...
THE NEXT CONCERN FOR LATE THIS AFTERNOON IS THE POTENTIAL FOR
SEVERE STORMS WITH PRE-FRONTAL TROUGH ACROSS FAR NW ZONES OF
ORANGE AND WESTERN PASSAIC COUNTIES. COULD SEE AN ISOLD SHOWER OR
TSTM DEVELOP THERE WITH PEAK DIFFERENTIAL HEATING BEGINNING MID-
AFTERNOON. MORE ORGANIZED CONVECTION WITH THE PRE-FRONTAL TROUGH
LOOKS TO HOLD OFF UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON...ENTERING ORANGE COUNTY
AND WRN PASSAIC COUNTIES AFTER 21Z...WHERE SBCAPE 500-1000 J/KG
WILL HELP FUEL TSTMS MOVING IN FROM THE WEST. 0-1 KM SHEAR OF
25-30 KT...WITH WINDS VEERING FROM S TO SW WITH HEIGHT...WILL BE
SUPPORTIVE OF ORGANIZED MULTICELLS WITH EMBEDDED BOWS OR ROTATING
STORMS. THE STRONGEST STORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING
WINDS/LARGE HAIL...EVEN A BRIEF TORNADO.
severe weather per spc and nws is well west of city
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