01/22/16 - 01/23/16 Update #2 - Models Not Backing Off

jmanley32 wrote:wait im confuised GFS para? Didnjt that replace the old gfs or is there yet another gfs being developed?

Another upgrade

I had Jonas in the contest so I've got that going for me.

Well its odd the euro para 00z is out now but it shows a great storm. Godzilla plus for many.

Quietace wrote:

jmanley32 wrote:wait im confuised GFS para? Didnjt that replace the old gfs or is there yet another gfs being developed?

Another upgrade

I do not see it on wxbell?

algae888 wrote:map...

awesome hit, there is still far more support for a big storm than there is for little to nothing. in any game this would bode to guess the majority wins. Snow map?

Lee was just on if you saw it he was even more depressing listening too..with new info he says sharp cutoff north inland is there and 6-12" 35% chance we all see it

jmanley32 wrote:

Quietace wrote:

jmanley32 wrote:wait im confuised GFS para? Didnjt that replace the old gfs or is there yet another gfs being developed?

Another upgrade

I do not see it on wxbell?

He is not running para data from the NCEP

Jonas... Juno... Maybe Euro is always wrong with "J's"

EVERYONE LOOK AT MY BANTER POST

IT'S RALLY TIME HERE PEEPS!!

I have a question did the energy in the pacific come on shore yet ? did the euro info sample the energy in the pacific or on shore

18z NYC MODEL ROUNDUP
 
GFS:  15-20”
GEFS:  10-14”
Para GFS:  22-26”
Euro:  3-6”
EPS:  6-10”
FIM:  18-24”
JMA:  18-24”
Navgem:  1"
SREFs:  Not Euro
NAM:  Not Euro

Artechmetals wrote:I have a question did the energy in the pacific come on shore yet ? did the euro info sample the energy in the pacific or on shore

No sir. 18z Nam is the first to really sample part of the energy as it is coming ashore now

Artechmetals wrote:I have a question did the energy in the pacific come on shore yet ? did the euro info sample the energy in the pacific or on shore

No 0Z at the earliest 12Z total sampling tomorrow. BIG runs then.

The new EURO model that is taking over this spring and entirely replace the current model shows a storm coming up the coast.

Oh ok so the euro can definitely be glitching

Frank_Wx wrote:The new EURO model that is taking over this spring and entirely replace the current model shows a storm coming up the coast.

I posted on that notice its still the 00z from last night bottom right.

The 12z GFS PARA matches the OP. This is wnd.



QPF

What will that mean for us, Frank?

Frank_Wx wrote:The 12z GFS PARA matches the OP. This is wnd.



QPF

any snow map for that? If I went by 10:1 id be about 18 for me.

So Sroc the 18Z was a bit hit? Im just geting back into town and trying to catch up

Artechmetals wrote:So Sroc the 18Z was a bit hit? Im just geting back into town and trying to catch up

18z not out yet, just started, anyone doing a PBP?

18z gfs coming out now

Artechmetals wrote:So Sroc the 18Z was a bit hit? Im just geting back into town and trying to catch up

Extrapolated most likely yes. NAM doesn't go out far enough though. 18z GFS coming in now..about 24-30hrs out so far.

Most watched 18z GFS ever!!!!!!!!!!!

Hour 39 western ridge is slightly weaker and heights ahead of mean trough slightly less amplified

Frank_Wx wrote:Hour 39 western ridge is slightly weaker and heights ahead of mean trough slightly less amplified

By a split hair

Hour 48 the trough is digging slightly more into TX.

Frank_Wx wrote:Hour 48 the trough is digging slightly more into TX.

Still further N than todays euro at same time stamp