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01/22/16 - 01/23/16 Update #2 - Models Not Backing Off

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Post by amugs Mon Jan 18, 2016 10:54 pm

picking up Gulf moisture at 78

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Post by rb924119 Mon Jan 18, 2016 10:54 pm

Trough is also going neutral

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Post by amugs Mon Jan 18, 2016 10:55 pm

closing at 78 and big broad based trough looks great at 81

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Post by NjWeatherGuy Mon Jan 18, 2016 10:56 pm

http://forums.accuweather.com/index.php?act=attach&type=post&id=276280v
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Post by Frank_Wx Mon Jan 18, 2016 10:56 pm

I honestly think we wanted this type of evolution. H5 still open whereas 18z had it closed. Let's see what this results in.

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Post by NjWeatherGuy Mon Jan 18, 2016 10:56 pm

Over TN at 81
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Post by Frank_Wx Mon Jan 18, 2016 10:57 pm

Hour 90 closed off. Trough neutral

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Post by amugs Mon Jan 18, 2016 10:58 pm

phasing is going to be awesome 90 93 starting to explode

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Post by rb924119 Mon Jan 18, 2016 10:58 pm

Closed low is WAY north of 18Z!!

01/22/16 - 01/23/16 Update #2 - Models Not Backing Off - Page 4 GFS_00_opUS_H50V_0090

01/22/16 - 01/23/16 Update #2 - Models Not Backing Off - Page 4 GFS_18_opUS_H50V_0096

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Post by Frank_Wx Mon Jan 18, 2016 10:58 pm

Hour 93 going negative and H5 low located further north than 18z

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Post by rb924119 Mon Jan 18, 2016 10:59 pm

Think this could be 18z on roids, especially for those on the cusp of the jackpot for 18z

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Post by amugs Mon Jan 18, 2016 10:59 pm

Here she comes turned the corner

BOOM
01/22/16 - 01/23/16 Update #2 - Models Not Backing Off - Page 4 GFS_MSLPThickQPF_ne4_f96

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Post by Frank_Wx Mon Jan 18, 2016 10:59 pm

01/22/16 - 01/23/16 Update #2 - Models Not Backing Off - Page 4 GFS_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f96

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Post by amugs Mon Jan 18, 2016 11:00 pm

01/22/16 - 01/23/16 Update #2 - Models Not Backing Off - Page 4 GFS_MSLPThickQPF_ne4_f99

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Post by Frank_Wx Mon Jan 18, 2016 11:00 pm

Hour 99 the H5 low is noticeably north of 18z. Not sure what to make of it

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Post by amugs Mon Jan 18, 2016 11:00 pm

01/22/16 - 01/23/16 Update #2 - Models Not Backing Off - Page 4 USA_VRTHGTGRD_500mb_096.thumb.gif.0f2e131ae3c468dc1ad4c5bbc895a5c1

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Post by jmanley32 Mon Jan 18, 2016 11:01 pm

wow

01/22/16 - 01/23/16 Update #2 - Models Not Backing Off - Page 4 Usa_pr10
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Post by Frank_Wx Mon Jan 18, 2016 11:01 pm

01/22/16 - 01/23/16 Update #2 - Models Not Backing Off - Page 4 GFS_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f99

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Post by amugs Mon Jan 18, 2016 11:01 pm

01/22/16 - 01/23/16 Update #2 - Models Not Backing Off - Page 4 GFS_MSLPThickQPF_ne4_f102

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Post by rb924119 Mon Jan 18, 2016 11:02 pm

@Frank_Wx wrote:Hour 99 the H5 low is noticeably north of 18z. Not sure what to make of it

It's ok; ends up in the same spot at 102 lol a little weaker though

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Post by amugs Mon Jan 18, 2016 11:02 pm

da CRSUSHER SLOWER BUT BETTER

01/22/16 - 01/23/16 Update #2 - Models Not Backing Off - Page 4 GFS_MSLPThickQPF_ne4_f105

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WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by Frank_Wx Mon Jan 18, 2016 11:02 pm

01/22/16 - 01/23/16 Update #2 - Models Not Backing Off - Page 4 GFS_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f102

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Post by jmanley32 Mon Jan 18, 2016 11:02 pm

The winds are insane over NJ gusts 60-70 even inland (instant wxmaps).
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Post by amugs Mon Jan 18, 2016 11:03 pm

KABOOOOOOOM

01/22/16 - 01/23/16 Update #2 - Models Not Backing Off - Page 4 GFS_MSLPThickQPF_ne4_f108

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WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by NjWeatherGuy Mon Jan 18, 2016 11:03 pm

Boom
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