Re: Long Range Thread 13.0

by **dsix85** Mon Jan 02, 2017 7:55 pm

Rose Bowl- Penn State vs USC

by **jmanley32** Mon Jan 02, 2017 7:59 pm

dsix85 wrote:Rose Bowl- Penn State vs USC

knew it ha! not a sports fan, sorry just never been my thing but the silence on the board and my neighbors being loud told me there must be a sports game.

by **amugs** Mon Jan 02, 2017 8:18 pm

Thursday/ Fridays wave could.produce 3" plus for the area NY Metro, NNJ and LI as per JMA

Long Range Thread 13.0 - Page 17 Img_7311

by **Frank_Wx** Mon Jan 02, 2017 8:20 pm

SREFS like wave 1...snow on Friday

by **dsix85** Mon Jan 02, 2017 8:23 pm

What does this mean in terms of potential impact for Sunday? Does it rob the main storm from it's energy?

by **jmanley32** Mon Jan 02, 2017 8:24 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:SREFS like wave 1...snow on Friday

Does that mean wave 2 the bigger possibility would not happen? I see it off to the west,or do we not know yet what the sref will show for that?

by **Frank_Wx** Mon Jan 02, 2017 8:29 pm

SREF are short range guidance, but judging off 500mb it does not look like wave 2 would produce.

by **jmanley32** Mon Jan 02, 2017 8:30 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:SREF are short range guidance, but judging off 500mb it does not look like wave 2 would produce.

Yeah I know its SR, dang well I hope that changes but something is better than nothing I guess.

by **Frank_Wx** Mon Jan 02, 2017 8:34 pm

Thread started for wave 1

https://www.njstrongweatherforum.com/t771-january-5th-6th-wave-1-snow-event#97993

by **jake732** Mon Jan 02, 2017 8:34 pm

I just officially threw the towel in for wave 2. GAME OVER☹️☹️☹️☹️☹️☹️☹️☹️☹️☹️☹️☹️

by **jmanley32** Mon Jan 02, 2017 8:35 pm

jake732 wrote:I just officially threw the towel in for wave 2. GAME OVER☹️☹️☹️☹️☹️☹️☹️☹️☹️☹️☹️☹️

No one said throw in the towel. Just a few hours ago we said wed earliest.

by track17 Mon Jan 02, 2017 8:39 pm

Ok very confused so there is no chance of a 2nd wave? Very confused lol

by **Frank_Wx** Mon Jan 02, 2017 8:39 pm

track17 wrote:Ok very confused so there is no chance of a 2nd wave? Very confused lol

Who said that?

by **Frank_Wx** Mon Jan 02, 2017 8:40 pm

jake732 wrote:I just officially threw the towel in for wave 2. GAME OVER☹️☹️☹️☹️☹️☹️☹️☹️☹️☹️☹️☹️

Well, sorry to hear. But please keep these comments in the Banter thread. Thanks!

by track17 Mon Jan 02, 2017 8:44 pm

I got confused Frank because people said they were throwing in the towel things like that

by **Frank_Wx** Mon Jan 02, 2017 9:01 pm

I'm not able to confirm myself but many people are saying the EURO Weeklies show a very ugly pattern after January 11th. Very warm the rest of the month.

by **CPcantmeasuresnow** Mon Jan 02, 2017 9:41 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:I'm not able to confirm myself but many people are saying the EURO Weeklies show a very ugly pattern after January 11th. Very warm the rest of the month.

Penn state just loses the Rose Bowl 52-49 in the last second and now this. Not happy.

by **rb924119** Mon Jan 02, 2017 9:44 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:I'm not able to confirm myself but many people are saying the EURO Weeklies show a very ugly pattern after January 11th. Very warm the rest of the month.

I feel like since they were upgraded, though, they haven't even been worth any time. Not to say that they are wrong, but their recent performance has certainly been less than adequate in my opinion. They flip constantly, and have seemed to be more wrong than right.

by **amugs** Mon Jan 02, 2017 10:04 pm

rb924119 wrote:
Frank_Wx wrote:I'm not able to confirm myself but many people are saying the EURO Weeklies show a very ugly pattern after January 11th. Very warm the rest of the month.

I feel like since they were upgraded, though, they haven't even been worth any time. Not to say that they are wrong, but their recent performance has certainly been less than adequate in my opinion. They flip constantly, and have seemed to be more wrong than right.

So true not going by them, sorry. You have a trough off the NW coast which would argue for a trough over the NE. o10 days away and will know more by the weekend with the set up. CFSv2 shows a trough over the NE in the means and a -AO and -EPO with a + PNA - a weak nino with westerly QBO argue for this the second half of winter
Long Range Thread 13.0 - Page 17 IMG_20170102_151635.jpg.19ef832a6d217aa0755693832a14a827

Long Range Thread 13.0 - Page 17 IMG_20170102_151635.jpg.19ef832a6d217aa0755693832a14a827

by **algae888** Tue Jan 03, 2017 1:37 am

Euro caves now has wave 2 just misses to our Southeast big improvements. All the major models now have Wave 2 need to get this bad boy a couple of hundred miles west.

by **algae888** Tue Jan 03, 2017 1:40 am

Euro bring snow to Southern New Jersey into Long Island with the Wave 2. 1000mb low just east of the benchmark hundred miles west and we're all in business

by **SoulSingMG** Tue Jan 03, 2017 1:40 am

algae888 wrote:Euro caves now has wave 2 just misses to our Southeast big improvements. All the major models now have Wave 2 need to get this bad boy a couple of hundred miles west.

Just saw that as well. GREAT 00z suite tonight in the snow direction.

by **jmanley32** Tue Jan 03, 2017 1:53 am

SoulSingMG wrote:
algae888 wrote:Euro caves now has wave 2 just misses to our Southeast big improvements. All the major models now have Wave 2 need to get this bad boy a couple of hundred miles west.

Just saw that as well. GREAT 00z suite tonight in the snow direction.

Yahoo, USA, USA! Wow, yet still to temper expectations but will be a big fail for Euro, now we just need this badboy to intensify bit more and as you said all more west, have not seen euro maps but I trust in what you say, plenty of time for NW trend.

by **jmanley32** Tue Jan 03, 2017 2:01 am

This is a beautiful thing to see. Thats a strong piece of enegy too!

Long Range Thread 13.0 - Page 17 Ecmwf_10

by **skinsfan1177** Tue Jan 03, 2017 4:51 am

I'm hearing Euro was close to being a big hit with time left maybe it will keep getting better. Many thought gfs would cave to Euro looks to be the opposite.

by Mathgod55 Tue Jan 03, 2017 4:59 am

Always better to not be in the bullseye 5 days out. There will still be many changes ahead!

by **skinsfan1177** Tue Jan 03, 2017 5:11 am

Today and tommorow runs are huge and watching the trends

by Sponsored content