Re: January 22nd-24th Nor'easter Observations & Discussions

by **rb924119** Mon Jan 23, 2017 9:41 am

Gust to 50 at Dover, DE

by **amugs** Mon Jan 23, 2017 9:42 am

Trending colder - so the delay will help out us snow weenies , except for LI folks and Shore line. Under heavy banding this will also help cool teh column down and allow things to accumulate. Looks like a sleetfest is in teh cards big time now. CMC has been on this for a week.

January 22nd-24th Nor'easter Observations & Discussions - Page 24 588614ce2b6bb

January 22nd-24th Nor'easter Observations & Discussions - Page 24 588614ce2b6bb

by Guest Mon Jan 23, 2017 9:42 am

You said snow, not sleet. But I'll still post pics.

by Guest Mon Jan 23, 2017 9:47 am

Mugsy don't give up on us Strong Islanders yet. We always find a way to surprise in the snow category. I'm telling you I'm not wishcasting here. IT DOESNT FEEL LIKE RAIN IS COMING!!!

by **rb924119** Mon Jan 23, 2017 9:50 am

Just updated my Facebook:

Gusts to 50 mph already being reported in Delaware and 40 mph in Maryland. Minor coastal flooding is already occurring in isolated spots. Forecast looks to generally be on track, although the observation of light snow already here in Northeast Pa is a bit concerning. Watching this system closely, and especially so once the main precipitation shield starts working in this afternoon, as how far northwest the warm air aloft will determine who sees mainly snow versus mainly sleet. If warmer air does not make it as far northwest as I am currently thinking (as evidenced by the 3-6" snow/sleet zone, where I feel mostly sleet will fall) and it stays cold aloft, snowfall amounts will need to be bumped to the 6-10" range. Just be aware that potential exists, as does the opposite, where so much warm air comes in aloft it ends up as mainly rain. I think the former is more likely to occur than the later if the current forecast is to bust. Again, so far the forecast issued last night appears to be on track, but I'll continue to watch this closely and update if necessary.

by **rb924119** Mon Jan 23, 2017 9:51 am

amugs wrote:Trending colder - so the delay will help out us snow weenies , except for LI folks and Shore line. Under heavy banding this will also help cool teh column down and allow things to accumulate. Looks like a sleetfest is in teh cards big time now. CMC has been on this for a week.

The warm nose is above this, roughly from about 820-680 hPa for the coastal plain once the main precipitation shield begins working in.

by **rb924119** Mon Jan 23, 2017 9:55 am

I spy with my little eye where our coastal is developing......

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by **oldtimer** Mon Jan 23, 2017 9:56 am

I'm at 40* ENE at 22 Looking at radar the heaviest precipitation seems so far west....

by **weatherwatchermom** Mon Jan 23, 2017 10:00 am

just a quick question...is anyone working today... Razz

by **skinsfan1177** Mon Jan 23, 2017 10:01 am

weatherwatchermom wrote:just a quick question...is anyone working today...

Yes I put pictures up earlier

by **jake732** Mon Jan 23, 2017 10:02 am

every1 still with power where i am in ocean county nj. very windy. and chillllllyyyy i thought it would be warmer

by **rb924119** Mon Jan 23, 2017 10:04 am

weatherwatchermom wrote:just a quick question...is anyone working today...

Very hard, as a matter of fact.........WATCHING THIS STORM ahahahaha

by **mikeypizano** Mon Jan 23, 2017 10:05 am

weatherwatchermom wrote:just a quick question...is anyone working today...

If we get something that can be shoveled, I will be working tomorrow... Wink

by **algae888** Mon Jan 23, 2017 10:07 am

cpk lga and nwk all 40+ mph gusts already

by **billg315** Mon Jan 23, 2017 10:10 am

40* Cloudy and windy. Winds according to my latest local report are 14 mph with gusts to 29 mph. Certainly feels like snow even though I know that's not in the cards.

by **amugs** Mon Jan 23, 2017 10:11 am

syosnow94 wrote:Mugsy don't give up on us Strong Islanders yet. We always find a way to surprise in the snow category. I'm telling you I'm not wishcasting here. IT DOESNT FEEL LIKE RAIN IS COMING!!!

Will not but at this time frame looks to be a nose to warm under the 850 level - above that is a warm level so it will be hard to sleet for you out there but then again teh dynamics of this storm is going to be nowcasting.
What happened to the South Easter and 60* for this storm? Big Momma had other ideas.
I am with you on teh frustration an almost perfect track for a blizz a real shame. What have been incredible back to back to the day years of blizz.
ENE winds will keep things cold hopefully colder so we can get some frozen.

by **Frank_Wx** Mon Jan 23, 2017 10:11 am

Banding working its way north from the south

January 22nd-24th Nor'easter Observations & Discussions - Page 24 Inxr1Kphla_h

by **Frank_Wx** Mon Jan 23, 2017 10:14 am

by **rb924119** Mon Jan 23, 2017 10:17 am

Frank_Wx wrote:RGEM

Definitely trended colder lol

by Guest Mon Jan 23, 2017 10:18 am

weatherwatchermom wrote:just a quick question...is anyone working today...

Yes. "Proctoring" a test. Razz

by **CPcantmeasuresnow** Mon Jan 23, 2017 10:19 am

Frank_Wx wrote:RGEM

Will make RB, Aresian and Alex happy.

by **Grselig** Mon Jan 23, 2017 10:21 am

rb924119 wrote:
weatherwatchermom wrote:just a quick question...is anyone working today...

Very hard, as a matter of fact.........WATCHING THIS STORM ahahahaha

Dude, you rock!!!!!!

by **Grselig** Mon Jan 23, 2017 10:23 am

Working on my gluten free bakery business plan but mostly watching the weather. 39 and cloudy with a nice breeze. No rain this morning yet.

by **Dtone** Mon Jan 23, 2017 10:24 am

Pretty gusty winds at home, enough to send garbage cans rolling away and litter the ground with twigs. At work in Dobbs Ferry hardly any wind. A little breezy.

Gusts into the mid 40s at CPK and LGA.

by Deweydave Mon Jan 23, 2017 10:32 am

35 and some flurries in western ct Danbury

by **weatherwatchermom** Mon Jan 23, 2017 10:48 am

Temperature is dropping..went from 41 down to 38* light rain...

by **amugs** Mon Jan 23, 2017 10:48 am

Ice as per RGEM

NW NJ if it verifies which I think it will they can see about 4" of sleet
Even to me in BC we can see by me calculations about 1" of sleet.

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