March 14th Godzilla Discussion Part 2

I'll take 20-30in lmao

OMG!!! The Euro TAKES THE F*in CAKE! That was the best 00z suite I've seen since I can remember.

We're in for a STORM, you guys.

Good morning Doc. I've been following the board all day. I keep trying to pull myself away, but it's like a tractor beam in Star Trek it just won't let me go. And to think I drained both of my snow blowers and put them away last week. I also took down the markers that mark my private road so I know where the edges are when I'm snow blowing. Today I took the snow blowers back out and wouldn't you know the models went sour. But it seems like things are looking up.
  So tomorrow I'll be putting the markers back out. I just hope there tall enough to see after the snow stops. LOL !!!

20+ for NYC

3z RPM has 20 + for NYC and to the north and west.

RPM,UKIE. EURO, CMC all have 20 +

Not much left for me to say. But Madonne...

SoulSingMG wrote:OMG!!! The Euro TAKES THE F*in CAKE! That was the best 00z suite I've seen since I can remember.

We're in for a STORM, you guys.

Amazing and NYC and surround is in bullseye for 20-30 inches craziness, gn all see you romorrow, I may not be on a lot during day will be mobile on though. Warnings are coming in next 24 hrs I can feel it.

syosnow94 wrote:

Ha Jimmy. I was going to post that you would probably poo a little in your pants after seeing the number 35 over your house...lol

Latest rpm

Frank_Wx wrote:Not much left for me to say. But Madonne...

Hope you had a good evening, yes madonne...hopefully we see a change on the forum scroll and maybe a roid? GN thanks for all u do.

Snow88 wrote:20+ for NYC

3z RPM has 20 + for NYC and to the north and west.

RPM,UKIE. EURO, CMC all have 20 +

And the GFS has like 6. LOL

SNOW MAN wrote:Good morning Doc. I've been following the board all day. I keep trying to pull myself away, but it's like a tractor beam in Star Trek it just won't let me go. And to think I drained both of my snow blowers and put them away last week. I also took down the markers that mark my private road so I know where the edges are when I'm snow blowing. Today I took the snow blowers back out and wouldn't you know the models went sour. But it seems like things are looking up.
  So tomorrow I'll be putting the markers back out. I just hope there tall enough to see after the snow stops. LOL !!!

I hear their trying to clone Jim Cantore so they can put him in Bastan and NYC.

SNOW MAN wrote:I hear their trying to clone Jim Cantore so they can put him in Bastan and NYC.

sroc4 wrote:10:1 followed by 15:1 snow maps.   Good night all and sweet dreams.  "Sugar plums danced in their heads"

Stayed away for 12 hours (yes SNOWMAN I know I always say it but I finally really did it) because I was starting to lose it when it looked like we might only get  8 or 10 inches. Yes billg I the GHEMR was one of those people.  I now go to bed with a 28 over my head. Yes Syos I know you have a 35 and yes it will probably keep me up all night now you son of a bitch. Tomorrow's 12z suites will be huge. Night all.

Euro says lets do it again next weekend

WAVE 4

http://www.stormvistawxmodels.com/img/ecmwf/current/00z/ECMWF_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f192.png

Snow88 wrote:Euro says lets do it again next weekend

WAVE 4

http://www.stormvistawxmodels.com/img/ecmwf/current/00z/ECMWF_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f192.png

We need to go to bed, Snow! We've done our due diligence in graveyard shifts the past couple of nights; we're gonna need our rest! ;-)

SoulSingMG wrote:

Snow88 wrote:Euro says lets do it again next weekend

WAVE 4

http://www.stormvistawxmodels.com/img/ecmwf/current/00z/ECMWF_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f192.png

We need to go to bed, Snow! We've done our due diligence in graveyard shifts the past couple of nights; we're gonna need our rest! ;-)

Just remembered the time change, holy crap it's really 3 AM.

0z Euro snowmap for next weekend has close to 12 inches for NYC lol

Another wave coming down at 240

D

No one has any reason to complain, at least not until the 6z GFS

GGEM - I like the orange Blob. DOC, Mugs and SNOWMAN all the founding fathers win in this scenario.

Looking better seems like everyone is in area of good snow. Honestly like idea of models with it near coast or inside benchmark because as others have said storms usually seem to end up more east.

6Z NAM is INSANE, and that's in a good way.

NNJ, HV NYC all get crushed. I don't have the snow map but it looks like a few in the areas just mentioned get close to 3 feet.

I wish it was Monday, just to take away any lingering doubts. I think it's time to step away for awhile. This is getting to good to be true.

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:6Z NAM is INSANE, and that's in a good way.

NNJ, HV NYC all get crushed. I don't have the snow map but it looks like a few in the areas just mentioned get close to 3 feet.

I wish it was Monday, just to take away any lingering doubts. I think it's time to step away for awhile. This is getting to good to be true.

here cp

all I know is MADONNE at last night's runs. now we continue to wait. amazed at how long a lead time models caught on to this. feels like I have been tracking this for weeks.

Nws disco...

In terms of heavy snowfall: Coupled jet structure...approaching mid
level shortwave energy...and strong frontogenetic
forcing...interacting with inflow of gulf/sub-tropical moisture
points towards strong banding and intense snowfall rates late Monday
Night through Tuesday afternoon for much of the region. The one
noticeable trend is that the storm track is slightly faster compared
to 24 hrs ago. With that said...ensemble mean qpf is around 1 to 1
1/2 inches...with some clustering of spread about 1/4 inch on either
side of this range. This is in line with operational
models...with 00z NAM/ECMWF/SBU WRF on higher end of range and
00z gfs on lower end of this range.

In terms on snow banding...SPC SREF is signaling potential for
snowfall rates of 2 to 3 inches per hour...which seems quite
reasonable based on forcing/moisture. The 3km experimental
NAM...which is on the western fringe of track guidance...is
showing potential for snowfall rates of 3-5 inches per hour.
With subtle e/w correction in storm track still
likely...confidence in location of heaviest/most persistent
banding is low to moderate at this time. If ensemble mean track
holds...far NW portions of the region may fall on the edge or
outside of heaviest snow banding.

Based on competing factors and current uncertainty...still thinking
12 to 18 inches of snowfall is a solid most likely solution for
much of the region...with locally up to 2 ft possible in
heaviest and longest duration banding. Lower amounts possible
across NW hills if eastern edge of guidance envelope
verifies...while a shift towards western members would introduce
mixing potential for far E/LI/Se CT and lower amounts. Expect
some more clarity on this in the next 24 hrs.

Could not stay up to watch last nights EURO. Just finished looking over maps. What an epic run! 20-30 inches is just insane. The 6z NAM is even better with a general 2-3 feet across the area. This mornings GFS is an outlier right now with keeping the heaviest snow far to the south. I wonder if Frank pulls the trigger this morning and upgrades to Roidzilla status. Then again he might wait till the 12z suite comes out. Biggest model run of many a year coming up! After that, I'm riding the SR models the rest of the way.