Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?

Snow88 wrote:Jose is still stalled out at 168 near NJ

I know, and this reignites my fears for the east coast with the next one

Very impressive wind gusts

SREFs 100 miles back northwest from 21z with a heavy west lean again. Each model run is shaving a year off my life expectancy aha

06z NAM through 39 is 100 miles northwest of 00z for what it's worth.

rb924119 wrote:06z NAM through 39 is 100 miles northwest of 00z for what it's worth.

I think we're the only ones up, Rb lol

Wow at the UKMET and EURO. They continue to trend west. 6z GFS is a little west of 0z which was a little west of 18z. I guess the NHC is totally going on the hurricane models lol

6z NAM comes west too. Similar to EURO

5am Update



EURO and UKMET tracks are barely even in this cone at all, seems odd to me

Wow euro holy smokes huge shift west. So all models shifted west overnight and the 06z this will be interesting to see if nhc follows. If ukie is right this will be a big surprise for all. BTW Jose looks really good on sattelites.

The EURO was stronger as well, 960mb

Nhc staying and hugging gfs

Jose is moving due North unless he gets go nw again I don't see how he pulls these west shifts off.

For your pleasure from the OZ Euro wind maps brought to u by Wxbell

Jose appears to be stronger. Down to 970mb. Current recon recorded 85kt flight level and looks like surface winds of 85knotts and hasn't flown through the NE quad just yet. That would put him at Cat 2.

The Euro is actually bringing the storm due north. Jose's current Long is 71.7 W. The Long of Montauk Point LI is 71.92 W. The Euro only shades the storm slightly west of due north as it brings it to off the NJ and LI coasts.

What are coastal nj areas looking at with wind and surge. Many saying coastal areas see the worst

https://twitter.com/AccuRayno?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%7Ctwcamp%5Eserp%7Ctwgr%5Eauthor

good morning..this was bernie rayno's video on Friday...the storm so far seems to be doing what he said so far...

amugs wrote:For your pleasure from the OZ Euro wind maps brought to u by Wxbell

Wow likegets roughed up. Another tick west go b on.

Wow likegets roughed up. Another tick west go b on.

what? usually can figure out the abbreviations and slang..

Nam is coming in wetter for the coast

Wow coastal areas in trouble here

The west tend contunues.
This will not be a hcane up here BUT he Wil transition to an extra tropical hybrid system ala sandy ( not as severe of course ) bUT once he does his wind field explodes and those 925 winds will.mix down. The shore better start preparing for coastal flooding with a new moon and a strong onshore flow.

90 mph at the 11:00 advisory

The cone moves west

jwalsh wrote:The cone moves west

No change at all actually

syosnow94 wrote:

jwalsh wrote:The cone moves west

No change at all actually

Yes it moved west. This was the 11pm

Just got through watching The Weather Channel so far they're saying for NYC Long Island lower Westchester Coastal Connecticut and south of Jersey will see two to three inches worth of rain with beach erosion and possibility of major coastal flooding