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December 14th Clipper

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Post by Frank_Wx Wed Dec 13, 2017 9:58 am

Latest NAM shows 1 to 3 inches of snow, with ratios, accumulating by 8am Thursday morning on Long Island. Everyone else is expected to see about an inch or less of snow.

December 14th Clipper Nam_total_precip_nyc_12.thumb.png.228574dc7143351d2c5141181d433bf4

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Post by mikeypizano Wed Dec 13, 2017 10:23 am

I'll take my 2 inch...
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Post by amugs Wed Dec 13, 2017 10:52 am

HRRR coming in nicely - going to make for a slippery commute - you know peeps are pop tarts when we get teh first snow driving wise!

Cool.thumb.gif.e740786e1a1ea6c765961a2742d72505.gif" alt="" />


Last edited by amugs on Wed Dec 13, 2017 1:33 pm; edited 1 time in total

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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by sroc4 Wed Dec 13, 2017 11:16 am

RGEM and now GFS coming in with about 0.2" qpf...esp over LI a quick fluffy 1-3" is entirely possible

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"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65" WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20" WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25" WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85"
WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
Dec 16th/17th 7.25"    
Jan 31st-Feb 3rd 15.5"    
Feb 7th 6"
Feb 10th-11th 2.75"
Feb 18th-19th 6.25"
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Post by sroc4 Wed Dec 13, 2017 1:17 pm

Euro for Tomorrow on LI..hey now Thumbs up

_________________
"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65" WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20" WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25" WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85"
WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
Dec 16th/17th 7.25"    
Jan 31st-Feb 3rd 15.5"    
Feb 7th 6"
Feb 10th-11th 2.75"
Feb 18th-19th 6.25"
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Post by algae888 Wed Dec 13, 2017 1:38 pm

@sroc4 wrote:Euro for Tomorrow on LI..hey now  Thumbs up
any maps?
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Post by sroc4 Wed Dec 13, 2017 1:42 pm

@algae888 wrote:
@sroc4 wrote:Euro for Tomorrow on LI..hey now  Thumbs up
any maps?

Through Sunday with ratios:

December 14th Clipper Ecmwf_19
December 14th Clipper Ecmwf_20


_________________
"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65" WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20" WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25" WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85"
WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
Dec 16th/17th 7.25"    
Jan 31st-Feb 3rd 15.5"    
Feb 7th 6"
Feb 10th-11th 2.75"
Feb 18th-19th 6.25"
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Post by amugs Wed Dec 13, 2017 2:09 pm

SREFS

December 14th Clipper IMG_0638.thumb.GIF.5be107cc8832c8976279033c500d28a0

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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by sroc4 Wed Dec 13, 2017 2:15 pm

I'm hoping virga doesn't play a big role, but it is going to be quite cold and dry at the onset.

_________________
"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65" WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20" WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25" WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85"
WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
Dec 16th/17th 7.25"    
Jan 31st-Feb 3rd 15.5"    
Feb 7th 6"
Feb 10th-11th 2.75"
Feb 18th-19th 6.25"
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Post by mikeypizano Wed Dec 13, 2017 2:16 pm

December 14th Clipper Wwa10
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Post by amugs Wed Dec 13, 2017 2:38 pm

December 14th Clipper IMG_0693.GIF.79e59ba9dd6622d2a73d38641a11ae5f

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Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by amugs Wed Dec 13, 2017 2:39 pm


BOOYAHHHHHHHHHHHHH! Good for you!!

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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by Guest Wed Dec 13, 2017 3:04 pm

WWA Nassau and Suffolk Counties on LI. 2-3”

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Post by aiannone Wed Dec 13, 2017 3:04 pm

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service New York NY
249 PM EST Wed Dec 13 2017

NYZ078>081-177-179-141000-
/O.NEW.KOKX.WW.Y.0002.171214T0800Z-171214T1500Z/
Northwestern Suffolk-Northeastern Suffolk-Southwestern Suffolk-
Southeastern Suffolk-Northern Nassau-Southern Nassau-
249 PM EST Wed Dec 13 2017

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 10 AM EST
THURSDAY...

* WHAT...Snow expected. Plan on slippery road conditions,
including during the morning commute on Thursday. Total snow
accumulations of 2 to 3 inches are expected.

* WHERE...Long Island.

* WHEN...From 3 AM to 10 AM EST Thursday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Be prepared for reduced visibilities at
times.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means periods of snow will
cause primarily travel difficulties. Be prepared for snow covered
roads and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving.
The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can
be obtained by calling 5 1 1.
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Post by RJB8525 Wed Dec 13, 2017 3:35 pm

Got an advisory also


NJZ001-007-009-PAZ054-055-060>062-103-105-141100-
/O.NEW.KPHI.WW.Y.0003.171214T0100Z-171214T1500Z/
Sussex-Warren-Hunterdon-Carbon-Monroe-Berks-Lehigh-Northampton-
Western Montgomery-Upper Bucks-
Including the cities of Newton, Washington, Flemington,
Jim Thorpe, Stroudsburg, Reading, Allentown, Bethlehem, Easton,
Collegeville, Pottstown, Chalfont, and Perkasie
328 PM EST Wed Dec 13 2017

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO
10 AM EST THURSDAY...

* WHAT...Snow expected. Temperatures are cold enough for snow to
stick on contact on untreated roads, resulting in slippery
travel conditions. Total snow accumulations of 2 to 3 inches are
expected.

* WHERE...Portions of northwest New Jersey and eastern
Pennsylvania.

* WHEN...From 8 PM this evening to 10 AM EST Thursday.
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Post by MattyICE Wed Dec 13, 2017 3:43 pm

Virga guys. Beware.

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Post by jmanley32 Wed Dec 13, 2017 5:33 pm

Not looking like much here but hey if I can add a inch to the 5 from this past well on way to a good season total.
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Post by frank 638 Wed Dec 13, 2017 6:35 pm

Another does thing to possibly two inches of snow for me tomorrow morning I am happy to see we are having a colder in some snow so far but I want the big one when is it coming

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Post by Math23x7 Wed Dec 13, 2017 7:37 pm

The latest HRRR is suggesting that while the first snow falls between midnight and 9 AM, there is a break in snow from about 3-6 AM.

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Post by dkodgis Wed Dec 13, 2017 8:02 pm

A little bit of wind + low temps =icy. Be careful, all.
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Post by billg315 Wed Dec 13, 2017 9:09 pm

Not expecting much. Typical clipper, will break up and dry out a bit over the mountains. But cold ground temps so everything that does fall should stick, so that helps. I'd be happy to wake up to an inch or two of snow tomorrow. Even a coating keeps me in the holiday spirit.
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Post by aiannone Wed Dec 13, 2017 9:56 pm

Just started here in Binghamton. Ground is so cold and the snow is so fluffy that it dusted the ground in just a few minutes. Not going to need a lot of precip to get accumulations with this one.
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Post by amugs Wed Dec 13, 2017 10:26 pm

Nice fetch that goes back to Michigsn, we may get some ocean enhancement once the upper levl.lp hits the warm Atlantic and throws some heavier /moderaate bands back into enjoy and throughout LI and NY Metro
December 14th Clipper Radar

December 14th Clipper 5a31e9822bdaa.png.fde08b91434519bce497af5a6cef9e65

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Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by Vinnydula Wed Dec 13, 2017 11:21 pm

Just started
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Post by Guest Thu Dec 14, 2017 2:34 am

Just woke up. Coming down nice. Slowly and steadily falling. Fluffy dry snow. Approaching 1” already.

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