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January 4th Mothrazilla: Final Call & Observations

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Post by larryrock72 Thu Jan 04, 2018 10:09 am

almost whiteout conditions IMBY.....LOL.......Can't wait to shovel later

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Post by mmanisca Thu Jan 04, 2018 10:10 am

Just got in from Some Snowblowing (more for fun). 7" and 25 degrees here in Deer Park Long Island.

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Post by Joe Snow Thu Jan 04, 2018 10:11 am

January 4th Mothrazilla: Final Call & Observations  - Page 20 1-4-1811

Current Radar - Islip Airport at 7" already
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Post by larryrock72 Thu Jan 04, 2018 10:12 am

senjsnowman.....I think your right. I was saying 12-18 but I could be low on the 12 side. Your only what 10 miles north of me and yes snow rates are insane...Def 2-3 per hr.

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Post by amugs Thu Jan 04, 2018 10:15 am

Here come the death bands peeps wow

January 4th Mothrazilla: Final Call & Observations  - Page 20 5a4e443a3e441_radar1-41008AM.gif.6a21021678f29b62b102abb0b70ea197

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Post by Frank_Wx Thu Jan 04, 2018 10:16 am

The 700mb low is nicely stacked with the 500mb low. Some models, aka globals, were shooting the 700mb low east which is why most of the heavier precip remained off the coast.

January 4th Mothrazilla: Final Call & Observations  - Page 20 700mb

January 4th Mothrazilla: Final Call & Observations  - Page 20 7fnt

Central and eastern LI are going to see snow amounts surpass 18 inches with this look. 700mb frontogenesis will produce snowfall rates of 3-4"/hour which is why the NWS circled this area in their last meso discussion.

January 4th Mothrazilla: Final Call & Observations  - Page 20 300mb_sf

The UL jet engulfs the entire storms. It extends as far west as Lake Ontario. I strongly believe this is one reason the SLP is taking a track resembling what the Hi-Res NAM was showing.

This will be a Godzilla storm for coastal NJ into Long Island. At this rate it's also possible NYC will see double digit snowfall amounts. We'll see how this look an hour or so from now.

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Post by docstox12 Thu Jan 04, 2018 10:16 am

Joe Snow wrote:January 4th Mothrazilla: Final Call & Observations  - Page 20 1-4-1811

Current Radar - Islip Airport at 7" already

CP, we are just barely under that band,lol.Ripping good now.Screw NWS, it's a blizzard here.
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Post by amugs Thu Jan 04, 2018 10:17 am

Still.moderate blowing snow here, don't know how I.am going to measure this

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Post by mmanisca Thu Jan 04, 2018 10:19 am

Frank_Wx wrote:The 700mb low is nicely stacked with the 500mb low. Some models, aka globals, were shooting the 700mb low east which is why most of the heavier precip remained off the coast.

January 4th Mothrazilla: Final Call & Observations  - Page 20 700mb

January 4th Mothrazilla: Final Call & Observations  - Page 20 7fnt

Central and eastern LI are going to see snow amounts surpass 18 inches with this look. 700mb frontogenesis will produce snowfall rates of 3-4"/hour which is why the NWS circled this area in their last meso discussion.

January 4th Mothrazilla: Final Call & Observations  - Page 20 300mb_sf

The UL jet engulfs the entire storms. It extends as far west as Lake Ontario. I strongly believe this is one reason the SLP is taking a track resembling what the Hi-Res NAM was showing.

This will be a Godzilla storm for coastal NJ into Long Island. At this rate it's also possible NYC will see double digit snowfall amounts. We'll see how this look an hour or so from now.

Frank maybe the only thing stopping Godzilla here on the Island is the fast movement of the system
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Post by jimv45 Thu Jan 04, 2018 10:20 am

Yea docs it ripping here in Hopewell Jct, if this keeps up may top 6

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Post by hyde345 Thu Jan 04, 2018 10:21 am

20* with heavy snow and wind in Hyde park.
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Post by rb924119 Thu Jan 04, 2018 10:22 am

jimv45 wrote:Rb just an inch here but thinking this will go until around 300 and should get 3-6.  What time do you think this ends up here? radar looks good.

Oh, ok aha I thought you were well ahead of me and I was about to cry lol This place is a snow hole as it is, anyway :/ Probably mid-afternoon, like 2-4ish? I haven't been following details too closely since I didn't put out a forecast.

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Post by RJB8525 Thu Jan 04, 2018 10:22 am

Cuomo is talking about how NY basically made it's own weather model..lol
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Post by Scullybutcher Thu Jan 04, 2018 10:23 am

26 degrees and absolutely ripping outside. Can’t see 100 yards
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Post by docstox12 Thu Jan 04, 2018 10:26 am

RJB8525 wrote:Cuomo is talking about how NY basically made it's own weather model..lol

Yeah, the TAS weather model....Tax and Spend
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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Thu Jan 04, 2018 10:27 am

rb924119 wrote:
jimv45 wrote:Rb just an inch here but thinking this will go until around 300 and should get 3-6.  What time do you think this ends up here? radar looks good.

Oh, ok aha I thought you were well ahead of me and I was about to cry lol This place is a snow hole as it is, anyway :/ Probably mid-afternoon, like 2-4ish? I haven't been following details too closely since I didn't put out a forecast.

Geez you had 26 inches in Fishkill in the blizzard last March. How quickly we forget.
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Post by aiannone Thu Jan 04, 2018 10:27 am

Ronkonkoma, LI. Currently a whiteout January 4th Mothrazilla: Final Call & Observations  - Page 20 98634e10

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Post by Scullybutcher Thu Jan 04, 2018 10:27 am

January 4th Mothrazilla: Final Call & Observations  - Page 20 D383ec10
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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Thu Jan 04, 2018 10:27 am

docstox12 wrote:
RJB8525 wrote:Cuomo is talking about how NY basically made it's own weather model..lol

Yeah, the TAS weather model....Tax and Spend
lol! lol! lol! so true
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Post by billg315 Thu Jan 04, 2018 10:29 am

docstox12 wrote:
RJB8525 wrote:Cuomo is talking about how NY basically made it's own weather model..lol

Yeah, the TAS weather model....Tax and Spend
Lmao!
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Post by yorkseer Thu Jan 04, 2018 10:30 am

I am in E. Hampton about 2 miles south of Sag Harbor. Have whiteout conditions every few minutes. Hard to measure cause of the drifting. Averaged about 7" on my rear deck and really coming down. Temp has dropped to 27 from earlier 31 degree reading.

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Post by Frank_Wx Thu Jan 04, 2018 10:31 am

Madonne! Incoming!

January 4th Mothrazilla: Final Call & Observations  - Page 20 WUNIDS_map?station=DIX&brand=wui&num=6&delay=15&type=N0R&frame=0&scale=1.000&noclutter=0&lat=0&lon=0&label=you&showstorms=0&map.x=400&map

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Post by jmanley32 Thu Jan 04, 2018 10:31 am

Really coming down people giving up driving and parking where they can on my street. My wife made it into work, her CEO cares more about money than anyones safety. The wind snapped a wood sign in half for a candidate I didn't like outside my building LOL flew away so fast I dunno where it went, hopefully not my car.
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Post by Joe Snow Thu Jan 04, 2018 10:32 am

January 4th Mothrazilla: Final Call & Observations  - Page 20 1-4-1812

Heavy Snow warning From Delaware To Vermont Very Rare to see that
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Post by Dunnzoo Thu Jan 04, 2018 10:32 am

2" so far here for me and mugs... waiting for the band to see what kind of hourly rate we get.

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Snowfall winter of 2023-2024  17.5"    

Snowfall winter of 2022-2023       6.0"
Snowfall winter of 2021-2022     17.6"    1" sleet 2/25/22
Snowfall winter of 2020-2021     51.1"
Snowfall winter of 2019-2020       8.5"
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Snowfall winter of 2017-2018     51.9"
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Post by jmanley32 Thu Jan 04, 2018 10:33 am

Frank_Wx wrote:Madonne! Incoming!

January 4th Mothrazilla: Final Call & Observations  - Page 20 WUNIDS_map?station=DIX&brand=wui&num=6&delay=15&type=N0R&frame=0&scale=1.000&noclutter=0&lat=0&lon=0&label=you&showstorms=0&map.x=400&map
Wow I am in the bullseye of that top yelllow part incoming is right!! A ton of thinder snow over CT, eastern LI, RI and mass. Like nearly 50 strikes wow.
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Post by billg315 Thu Jan 04, 2018 10:33 am

I’m not getting the costal/LI blizzard but sure can’t complain of this view from my porch:
January 4th Mothrazilla: Final Call & Observations  - Page 20 0e83ac10
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