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Pain in the Butt March 7th Godzilla: Observations

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Post by heehaw453 Wed Mar 07, 2018 4:25 pm

Think I'm just about done here. About 13" with very impressive rates for a three hour period. Pulling for one more before winter's end! Curious about Lower Bucks and TTN, some of those folks were under a death band for several hours.

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Post by weatherwatchermom Wed Mar 07, 2018 4:25 pm

sroc4 wrote:
Frank_Wx wrote:MADONNE

Pain in the Butt March 7th Godzilla: Observations - Page 32 7fnt_sf

That is just nuts!

And 500 about to close off as well.  
Pain in the Butt March 7th Godzilla: Observations - Page 32 500mb_sf

What does these maps mean

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Post by weatherwatchermom Wed Mar 07, 2018 4:26 pm

sroc4 wrote:
Frank_Wx wrote:MADONNE

Pain in the Butt March 7th Godzilla: Observations - Page 32 7fnt_sf

That is just nuts!

And 500 about to close off as well.  
Pain in the Butt March 7th Godzilla: Observations - Page 32 500mb_sf

What does these maps mean
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Post by snowlover78 Wed Mar 07, 2018 4:26 pm

Pain in the Butt March 7th Godzilla: Observations - Page 32 Image10

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Post by brownie Wed Mar 07, 2018 4:27 pm

I just measured 14 inches in the spot that was 10 inches 45 minutes ago.  Surely this cannot be?  There is not a lot of wind so doesn’t seem to be much drifting.

I have never seen anything like this.

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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Wed Mar 07, 2018 4:27 pm

Under the yellow again.

13 inches plus and counting.
RIPPING!!!!!!!
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Post by nutleyblizzard Wed Mar 07, 2018 4:27 pm

Lee Goldberg thinks heaviest snows will stop by 7pm. I'm hoping for a surprise slow down or stall.
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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Wed Mar 07, 2018 4:28 pm

brownie wrote:I just measured 14 inches in the spot that was 10 inches 45 minutes ago.  Surely this cannot be?  There is not a lot of wind so doesn’t seem to be much drifting.

I have never seen anything like this.

It can and it has today. Saw that for an hour myself.
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Post by sroc4 Wed Mar 07, 2018 4:29 pm

weatherwatchermom wrote:
sroc4 wrote:
Frank_Wx wrote:MADONNE

Pain in the Butt March 7th Godzilla: Observations - Page 32 7fnt_sf

That is just nuts!

And 500 about to close off as well.  
Pain in the Butt March 7th Godzilla: Observations - Page 32 500mb_sf

What does these maps mean

Top map shows 700mb closed low position (black lines), and the purple on the NW side of the closed low indicates VERY strong frontogensis (strong lift).

Bottom map is the 500mb level which is about to close off and will also enhance lift to the N and W of it.

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WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65"WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85" WINTER 2022/2023 TOTALS 4.9"      
WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2023/2024 TOTALS 13.1"
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Post by Guest Wed Mar 07, 2018 4:30 pm

weatherwatchermom wrote:
sroc4 wrote:
Frank_Wx wrote:MADONNE

Pain in the Butt March 7th Godzilla: Observations - Page 32 7fnt_sf

That is just nuts!

And 500 about to close off as well.  
Pain in the Butt March 7th Godzilla: Observations - Page 32 500mb_sf

What does these maps mean

Look outside. It means INSANELY HEAVY SNOW

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Post by sroc4 Wed Mar 07, 2018 4:30 pm

ANNDD FINALLY IM INTO THE CHEDDA!!!!!!!

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"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65"WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85" WINTER 2022/2023 TOTALS 4.9"      
WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2023/2024 TOTALS 13.1"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20"WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25"WINTER 2021/2022 TOTALS 31.65" 
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Post by Artechmetals Wed Mar 07, 2018 4:31 pm

Pain in the Butt March 7th Godzilla: Observations - Page 32 Img_2119
Pain in the Butt March 7th Godzilla: Observations - Page 32 Img_2119
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Post by Artechmetals Wed Mar 07, 2018 4:32 pm

11 in here sorry posted pic twice
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Post by aiannone Wed Mar 07, 2018 4:32 pm

I posted 10min ago on the NWS page they need to issue a blizzard warning for western Suffolk. They now just tweeted this haha
Pain in the Butt March 7th Godzilla: Observations - Page 32 Cb38ec10

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Post by bloc1357 Wed Mar 07, 2018 4:32 pm

Thundersnow here again in the last 5 minutes!!

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Post by snowlover78 Wed Mar 07, 2018 4:32 pm

Pain in the Butt March 7th Godzilla: Observations - Page 32 Image11

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Post by algae888 Wed Mar 07, 2018 4:34 pm

this is going to be one of the biggest bust I've ever experienced in winter storms I have about 2 inches of slushy wet sloppy snow mainly on the coldest surfaces National Weather Service had me for 14 in many of the models 12 plus no way I'm reaching that I've been following winter storms for 40 plus years and I knew around 12:15 this was going to be a big fail light snow now even though I have dark green bands on the radar over head
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Post by Frank_Wx Wed Mar 07, 2018 4:34 pm

aiannone wrote:
Frank_Wx wrote:Pain in the Butt March 7th Godzilla: Observations - Page 32 Inxr1Knyca_h


Is that going to dry slot into LI, or should it pivot and cause it to rotate back around?

I have a feeling that dry slot does not get to LI

jmanley32 wrote:It's pouring snow here sideways winds picking up hoping I see some thunder snow think it's possible?

Possible, but not common at sunset.

nutleyblizzard wrote:Snowing heavily now. up to 3.5''. I have some big time making up to do if i want double digits.

Might fall just short. But this band over us is insane. Maybe 8?

jmanley32 wrote:So is this really ending NYC area in 4 hrs or less or much later? Wsw is till 4am.

Huh? The expiration time on a WSW does not equal the end time of the storm. They extend advisories purposely to account for hazardous roads, wind, etc. I've been saying end time is between 7-8pm (later east into LI). Could actually end sooner than 7.

weatherwatchermom wrote:
sroc4 wrote:
Frank_Wx wrote:MADONNE

Pain in the Butt March 7th Godzilla: Observations - Page 32 7fnt_sf

That is just nuts!

And 500 about to close off as well.  
Pain in the Butt March 7th Godzilla: Observations - Page 32 500mb_sf

What does these maps mean

700mb frontogenesis (all the purple over NJ) is where air is rising the fastest. An indication of where your heaviest snowfall rates are. 500mb low closing off means the surface low should slow down and best dynamics begin to fuel the storm.

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Post by dkodgis Wed Mar 07, 2018 4:35 pm

And I can't believe it but I have 15 inches...much higher then when I lasted used the Stick of Truth. Trees are heavily coated. Snowing steady. It will be interesting to see if it all ends by 7 like Lee Goldberg said or if it will go into 2-3 am. Snowing steadily.
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Post by Taffy Wed Mar 07, 2018 4:35 pm

The view from my daughter's house In Kenilworth, NJ. I took a measurement but don't trust it. I got 3.5" but I didn't use my "official snow stick".  It is just coming down gangbusters.Pain in the Butt March 7th Godzilla: Observations - Page 32 Unname10
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Post by Scullybutcher Wed Mar 07, 2018 4:36 pm

Sitting on the front porch watching and hearing branches come down all over.
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Post by WeatherBob Wed Mar 07, 2018 4:36 pm

Well, I am going with my car measurement since that's where the snow stuck to first  14 in.

Heavy snow still falling - est 2 in per hr rates
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Post by Frank_Wx Wed Mar 07, 2018 4:38 pm

algae888 wrote: this is going to be one of the biggest bust I've ever experienced in winter storms I have about 2 inches of slushy wet sloppy snow mainly on the coldest surfaces National Weather Service had me for 14 in many of the models 12 plus no way I'm reaching that I've been following winter storms for 40 plus years and I knew around 12:15 this was going to be a big fail light snow now even though I have dark green bands on the radar over head

Try to keep "bust" posts in the banter thread.

Unfortunately I think timing of the storm played a part in this. First, the air mass was better than the one from the storm last week but still near marginal. During the day it took awhile for the changeover to occur. I also feel NYC did not get into the best banding. Dealt with some subsidence. That said, it should be coming down nicely by you right now.

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Post by aiannone Wed Mar 07, 2018 4:38 pm

HOLY CRAP! 1.0" in 20 min. So 3" per hour

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Post by sroc4 Wed Mar 07, 2018 4:39 pm

We haven't even fully transferred all the energy to the coast yet:

Pain in the Butt March 7th Godzilla: Observations - Page 32 Pmsl

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WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65"WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85" WINTER 2022/2023 TOTALS 4.9"      
WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2023/2024 TOTALS 13.1"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20"WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
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Post by billg315 Wed Mar 07, 2018 4:40 pm

Still heavy snow. Closing in on 7" here. A couple notes, those power lines are beginning to sag quite a bit. And I've made three trips to knock snow off the spruce trees and arborvitae lining my backyard because they are young and the weight was bending the branches. So those trees you see, would be a big cone of white had I not done that three times already.
Pain in the Butt March 7th Godzilla: Observations - Page 32 Backya10
Pain in the Butt March 7th Godzilla: Observations - Page 32 Snow_o10
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Post by Frank_Wx Wed Mar 07, 2018 4:41 pm

Man, LI may actually get dry slotted. Hopefully not

Pain in the Butt March 7th Godzilla: Observations - Page 32 Inxr1Knyca_h

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