First Wintry Event - 11/15 to 11/16
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Re: First Wintry Event - 11/15 to 11/16
that's pretty late 7pm no? I thought this starts midday or early afternoon?amugs wrote:
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: First Wintry Event - 11/15 to 11/16
Euro has most areas seeing 6 to 8 even southern Westchester. This will b wet so with still many leaves and some gusty winds to 30mph looks like we could have problems.
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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SoulSingMG- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: First Wintry Event - 11/15 to 11/16
12km nam is insane a high end motherazilla to Godzilla for a huge area am mobile. Will post later or someone else can.
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: First Wintry Event - 11/15 to 11/16
Both name show winds gusting to 40mph too. That's no good.
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: First Wintry Event - 11/15 to 11/16
So far Lee Goldberg has posted his first snow map in general according to an inch for the city on East and Southern Westchester then 1 to 3 inches for North and west of the city
frank 638- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: First Wintry Event - 11/15 to 11/16
Where’s CP? My first call map you guys enjoyed so much last winter incoming
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weatherwatchermom- Senior Enthusiast
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frank 638- Senior Enthusiast
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SoulSingMG- Senior Enthusiast
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jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: First Wintry Event - 11/15 to 11/16
u dont know ur georaphy too well, you left southewrn WC in the green lol, and this isnt banter section, this is for real maps and I am guessing ur 1st one posted is what you think, some people who do not know out sense of humor may actually think everywhere in green except bronx will see 4-7, per your projection.
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Vinnydula- Pro Enthusiast
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Re: First Wintry Event - 11/15 to 11/16
Well NWS says 4 inches, and they are conservative. Yes prolly overdone big time its the NAM but if you look back each run has gotten colder and higher snow totals.
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: First Wintry Event - 11/15 to 11/16
I still feel it's gonna go nw
Vinnydula- Pro Enthusiast
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Re: First Wintry Event - 11/15 to 11/16
As of now this storm seems to me to be a play that will contain multiple acts. Roughly I see most people seeing heavy snow early Thursday afternoon, going over to a pelting sleet for a time, then just steady cold rain Thursday evening. Then Thursday night the rain tapering to showers, picking up again near dawn, and possibly ending as a brief bit of heavy wet snow before pulling away Friday morning. The further north and west you go, the longer the frozen precip will hold strong so they stand the best chance of some of these enhanced totals you're seeing in some models (i.e. more than 4"). I think most people across Central/North NJ and NYC metro see about 1-3" before changeover to sleet and then rain.
billg315- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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SoulSingMG- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: First Wintry Event - 11/15 to 11/16
So nothing really for the coast...man everyone on here is going to have a great storm. I don’t want to have a disappointment of a winter on the coast again....HATE RAIN!!!
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Smittyaj623- Posts : 73
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Re: First Wintry Event - 11/15 to 11/16
Complain in banter, its November what do you expect? This is NOT a precursor to the rest of the winter, IMO the coast will do well, its just way to early. And no many members on here are in the same boat.Smittyaj623 wrote:So nothing really for the coast...man everyone on here is going to have a great storm. I don’t want to have a disappointment of a winter on the coast again....HATE RAIN!!!
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jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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nutleyblizzard- Senior Enthusiast
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skinsfan1177- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: First Wintry Event - 11/15 to 11/16
NAM running lets see
skinsfan1177- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: First Wintry Event - 11/15 to 11/16
Hey skins what does the nam say?
weatherwatchermom- Senior Enthusiast
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