Re: November 2019 Observations and Discussion

by **SoulSingMG** Wed Nov 13, 2019 1:18 am

Record daily low temperature set for the day at Central Park (and the airports for that matter) at 11:25 PM(!!) lol. The 25°F reading beats the old record for November 12th of 26°F set back in 1926.

We should break the daily record low of 22°F for November 13th in a couple hours as well.

by **CPcantmeasuresnow** Wed Nov 13, 2019 6:37 am

17.0°

I thought we'd make a run at the low teens. First trace of snow yesterday, kind of late in the season for the first one here.

How does Central Park not record a trace of snow yesterday?

by **Radz** Wed Nov 13, 2019 6:45 am

21.2° this morning, thought i'd be lower- not as cold as Saturday morning's 19.4°...

by **CPcantmeasuresnow** Wed Nov 13, 2019 6:52 am

Radz wrote:21.2° this morning, thought i'd be lower- not as cold as Saturday morning's 19.4°...

Same here.

16.2° Saturday morning the 9th, and 17.0° this morning. Not quite as bad (or good depending on how you view things) as originally advertised.

by **frank 638** Wed Nov 13, 2019 6:56 am

Morning low of 22*so cold

by **amugs** Wed Nov 13, 2019 9:37 am

19.6* in Hillsdale

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by **weatherwatchermom** Wed Nov 13, 2019 9:54 am

21* this morning in Hazlet....dogs moved fast to complete their business this morning!! Very Happy

by **CPcantmeasuresnow** Wed Nov 13, 2019 10:05 am

Add another record this morning for NYC, Central Park to be exact. They hit 23 breaking the old record of 24 for the date.

by **heehaw453** Wed Nov 13, 2019 10:31 am

19 for me this morning. Not too shabby for November. Have to have patience for the white gold though. Missed out on any accumulations yesterday.

by **Radz** Thu Nov 14, 2019 7:16 am

18.1° this morning's low...

by **weatherwatchermom** Thu Nov 14, 2019 7:27 am

24* low this morning

by **amugs** Thu Nov 14, 2019 2:51 pm

20* for me.

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by **rb924119** Sat Nov 16, 2019 2:25 am

IF the ICON evolution is right at H5 for early next week, that’s a SECS north and west of I-95. I’ve seen this setup before, and it’s a very sneaky setup for models to try to pick up on. You get such a potent shortwave tilting that negative with cold air around, you backbuild the precip shield for several hours before it moves out, and you quickly attain dendritic growth with such strong ascent on the heels of low-level cold advection (this could also lead to enhanced banding via CSI, though I’d really need to dig in to confirm this). Additionally, with the low-levels likely between 0 and -5°C, you would have aggregate flakes. Gotta see what other modeling does with that vort, so far the NAM is nowhere near as enthused. I’d also like a chance to try to analyze this event more but I’m probably not gonna get it

just know that if the 00z ICON is right, this is a SECS north and west of I-95. I’ll post more if I can.

by **rb924119** Sat Nov 16, 2019 2:26 am

EURO followed ICON, GFS and GEM are somewhere in the middle for early next week lol The pattern through Day 15 continues to excite me, I won’t even lie. Watching a potential threat period 22nd-25th, though I am not ready to sound the alarm yet for lack time to sit down and analyze deeply.

by **rb924119** Sat Nov 16, 2019 2:27 am

UKMET for early next week looks like EURO/ICON. Warm verbatim, but I don’t think it would end up that way.

by **weatherwatchermom** Sat Nov 16, 2019 6:04 am

rb924119 wrote:EURO followed ICON, GFS and GEM are somewhere in the middle for early next week lol The pattern through Day 15 continues to excite me, I won’t even lie. Watching a potential threat period 22nd-25th, though I am not ready to sound the alarm yet for lack time to sit down and analyze deeply.

Thanks for posting it's been so boring! Need some type of hope

by **Radz** Sat Nov 16, 2019 7:09 am

29.3°, wind chill 19° ... Coastal storms and below normal temps, i hope the theme continues for the next few months, odds are timing will be right at some point...

by **billg315** Sat Nov 16, 2019 5:54 pm

Looks like this coastal storm will have some significant impacts along the Jersey Shore with 50 mph gusts and coastal flooding tomorrow.

by **amugs** Sat Nov 16, 2019 6:01 pm

Put at PSU , Penn State, 18-21 wind chill all day here. Brrrr. Watched the game and tailgat2d before and after, lots of hot cocoa and homemade baileys!!!
Coastal sneaking up and ice amount in NW NJ are .10 to .20.

by **rb924119** Sat Nov 16, 2019 7:21 pm

18z EURO WITH MY SECS TO START NEXT WEEK!!! LETS GOOOOOOOO!!!!!!

by **rb924119** Sat Nov 16, 2019 7:24 pm

Joins the rest of the 18z suite and the UK. Now, let’s repeat this at 00z.

by **billg315** Sat Nov 16, 2019 7:48 pm

amugs wrote:Put at PSU , Penn State, 18-21 wind chill all day here. Brrrr. Watched the game and tailgat2d before and after, lots of hot cocoa and homemade baileys!!!
Coastal sneaking up and ice amount in NW NJ are .10 to .20.

Good win today. Closer than I hoped but still a W which is a nice bounceback from last week.

by **dsix85** Sun Nov 17, 2019 7:30 am

Currently snow flurries in Manorville, Long Island

by **sroc4** Sun Nov 17, 2019 9:39 am

dsix85 wrote:Currently snow flurries in Manorville, Long Island

Same here. Long Islnd Sound effects snow at its finest.

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by **dsix85** Sun Nov 17, 2019 10:08 am

Love when we take advantage of that small body of water to our north!

by **amugs** Sun Nov 17, 2019 6:58 pm

by **amugs** Sun Nov 17, 2019 7:00 pm

WWUS41 KOKX 172112
WSWOKX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service New York NY
412 PM EST Sun Nov 17 2019

NJZ002-NYZ067-180915-
/O.EXT.KOKX.WW.Y.0012.191118T0800Z-191118T1500Z/
Western Passaic-Orange-
412 PM EST Sun Nov 17 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 10 AM EST
MONDAY...

* WHAT...Freezing rain expected. Total ice accumulations of a
light glaze.

* WHERE...In New Jersey, Western Passaic County. In New York,
Orange County.

* WHEN...From 3 AM to 10 AM EST Monday.

* IMPACTS...Very slippery sidewalks, roads and bridges are
possible. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning
commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling. Prepare for possible
power outages.

Check local Department of Transportation information services for
the latest road conditions.

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