Re: Observations/ Final Discussion Thread 1/2 - 1/3, 2014 Snowstorm

by **jmanley32** Thu Jan 02, 2014 3:50 pm

Man accuweather has a crazy night for me although I think their numbers are off. 14 degrees = 20:1 ratios 15:1 to be conservative, 26mph sustaine winds 58mph gusts, coastal flooding and 4-8 inches (this is where I think they are wrong).

by **SoulSingMG** Thu Jan 02, 2014 3:51 pm

COASTAL FLOOD WARNING now issued for BRONX, and northern QUEENS (northeast winds, makes sense)...

ALSO, the LONG ISLAND EXPRESSWAY will be SHUT DOWN at MIDNIGHT tonight in NASSAU & SUFFOLK Counties.

by **RJB8525** Thu Jan 02, 2014 3:52 pm

Anybody in L.I i just got breaking news from ABC the L.I.E is closing at midnight due to the storm by orders of Cuomo

by **jmanley32** Thu Jan 02, 2014 3:52 pm

Could be mugs but I have also seen upton post things at the very last minute or upon it happening. But either way we are in for a good storm.

by **Dtone** Thu Jan 02, 2014 3:52 pm

Watch is upgraded to Coastal Flood Warning for Bronx, northern Queens, northern Nassau and northwestern Suffolk.
(Western LI Sound.)

by **Quietace** Thu Jan 02, 2014 3:52 pm

The precip shield is getting serious now geez.
Observations/ Final Discussion Thread 1/2 - 1/3, 2014 Snowstorm - Page 4 Nerad213

by **Grselig** Thu Jan 02, 2014 3:53 pm

NWS lowered Eastern Passaic to 3 to 7 from 4 to 8. Hope they are wrong.

by **jmanley32** Thu Jan 02, 2014 3:55 pm

Upton just changed their map slightly too pushing all 8-10 totals east.

by Dwsi91 Thu Jan 02, 2014 3:55 pm

Nothing reaching the ground in western monmouth

by **SoulSingMG** Thu Jan 02, 2014 3:56 pm

SO where is NYC now on their dumb map? lol

by **algae888** Thu Jan 02, 2014 3:56 pm

nws just update totals. they are about the sane 6-10 inches area wide. however they went up by about .1 in liquid to between .6 and .75 area wide. my question is shouldn't snow totals be higher than what they r forcasting with the ratios being so high? im thinking more like 10-15 area wide

by **jmanley32** Thu Jan 02, 2014 3:58 pm

888 you make sense but we don't know what the big guys are doing or thinking at NWS. We will have to see what final calls they make maybe they are waiting to see the whole precip filed fill in.

by **docstox12** Thu Jan 02, 2014 3:59 pm

I wouldn't worry about the final totals, it's nowcast time.The storm will tell us by the radar what it's going to do.

by **Quietace** Thu Jan 02, 2014 4:00 pm

Bill Evans is on at night!!! And Jeff Smith!!!

by **RJB8525** Thu Jan 02, 2014 4:01 pm

No new advisories still 4-8 from upton for NYCbut i dont care about their numbers they were never true anyways just a touch basis

by **SoulSingMG** Thu Jan 02, 2014 4:02 pm

BULLETS from WABC EYEWITNESS NEWS:

-GOV. CUOMO just declared STATE OF EMERGENCY for all of NEW YORK
-LIE to CLOSE at Midnight
-de BLASIO to speak about storm within the next two hours
-COASTAL FLOOD WARNING for BRONX, N. QUEENS, & much of Jersey Shore
-ABC7 Map sticking with 6-10 inches of snow area-wide

by **Quietace** Thu Jan 02, 2014 4:02 pm

Ehh dont like channel 7's map.

by **SoulSingMG** Thu Jan 02, 2014 4:04 pm

Me either. It's so, like, standard and computerized. You'd think being who they are (most watched network) that they would really invest in their maps.

by **Artechmetals** Thu Jan 02, 2014 4:09 pm

So you guys definitely in disagreement with channel 7 seems like they moved higher totals more north any thoughts

by **RJB8525** Thu Jan 02, 2014 4:17 pm

They are just covering themselves saying a minimum of 6 for everyone like Frank's been saying i have no problem with it

by jbnyy224 Thu Jan 02, 2014 4:20 pm

One thing we should appreciate with this storm is that we have heard no mention of mixing. THANK GOD. Hate worrying about that R/S line in NYC.

by **Artechmetals** Thu Jan 02, 2014 4:21 pm

When do you think it will end before commute?

by **CPcantmeasuresnow** Thu Jan 02, 2014 4:22 pm

10 degrees and still snowing lightly, from the radar it looks like I'm about to get into the more moderate stuff, from the north and west.

At these temperatures which are only going lower, I'm sure a half inch qpf will give me a foot of snow. Now hopefully I get at least a half inch of liquid.

by **SoulSingMG** Thu Jan 02, 2014 4:24 pm

Very very true, JB.

by **Quietace** Thu Jan 02, 2014 4:26 pm

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:10 degrees and still snowing lightly, from the radar it looks like I'm about to get into the more moderate stuff, from the north and west.

At these temperatures which are only going lower, I'm sure a half inch qpf will give me a foot of snow. Now hopefully I get at least a half inch of liquid.

CP how far are you running below guidance right now in temps? Seems like all over FB people are running below on temps.

by **CPcantmeasuresnow** Thu Jan 02, 2014 4:28 pm

Quietace wrote:
CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:10 degrees and still snowing lightly, from the radar it looks like I'm about to get into the more moderate stuff, from the north and west.

At these temperatures which are only going lower, I'm sure a half inch qpf will give me a foot of snow. Now hopefully I get at least a half inch of liquid.
CP how far are you running below guidance right now in temps? Seems like all over FB people are running below on temps.

Ryan:

I'm running 6 to 8 degrees below what was forecast right now. It's been dropping slowly all day. I started the morning at 14.6 it's now 10.0

by **aiannone** Thu Jan 02, 2014 4:29 pm

Why would Upton lower totals? The storm looks better!

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