Re: May 2014 Observations / Discussions Thread

by **Dunnzoo** Fri May 16, 2014 3:12 pm

algae888 wrote:there is a big hole on radar cutting through central n.j. from north to south with the last line of heavy showers moving into south jersey now. once these pass most of n.j should be finished with rain. I bet parts of central jersey do not even get .25" of rain from this system.

The front is still in western NJ and will take a while to pass through, a secondary low will form and enhance the precip through tonight...I see the breaks, but as the front approaches precip will increase....you also have the problem of rain training over the same areas for a long time, increasing the totals. It's not like some of those summer front passages where we get quick kick-a$$ thunderstorms.

by **algae888** Fri May 16, 2014 3:17 pm

Dunnzoo wrote:
algae888 wrote:there is a big hole on radar cutting through central n.j. from north to south with the last line of heavy showers moving into south jersey now. once these pass most of n.j should be finished with rain. I bet parts of central jersey do not even get .25" of rain from this system.

The front is still in western NJ and will take a while to pass through, a secondary low will form and enhance the precip through tonight...I see the breaks, but as the front approaches precip will increase....you also have the problem of rain training over the same areas for a long time, increasing the totals. It's not like some of those summer front passages where we get quick kick-a$$ thunderstorms.

I do see a low trying to form off the Virginia coast. if that low tracks due north than yes we may have some heavy rain overnight but all to often these seem to slide just east of nyc. we shall see. do not want to see a deluge tonight.

by **SoulSingMG** Fri May 16, 2014 3:58 pm

IT IS SO WINDY in Manhattan. Like ADVISORY LEVEL windy.

by **jmanley32** Fri May 16, 2014 4:33 pm

Yes Soulsing I said that earlier its crazy windy surprised there is no advisory.

by **jmanley32** Fri May 16, 2014 4:37 pm

What type of map shows a low forming, so far all it looks like is a straight line to me.

by **Dunnzoo** Fri May 16, 2014 4:47 pm

jmanley32 wrote:What type of map shows a low forming, so far all it looks like is a straight line to me.

http://www.wunderground.com/wundermap/?lat=41.00897980&lon=-74.02182007&zoom=8&pin=Westwood%2c%20NJ

The low down by Virginia just started forming in the last hour or so...

oops, link doesn't quite show you...on the right, click fronts and it will give it to you

by **algae888** Fri May 16, 2014 5:05 pm

WOW! the line of heavy rain over southern New Jersey really fizzled out.if the next wave weekens or moves a little East we won't get much rain at all. so far I have less than .25inches of rain

by **jmanley32** Fri May 16, 2014 7:44 pm

Ahhh I see, it just got seriously like high wind warning criteria in city. I heard some trees came down on the rails of the train system and debris was blowing all over the place. coulds were skyrocketing across the sky. I am about to get socked with that rain band to south of NYC and looks like it will train for quite a while.

by **jmanley32** Fri May 16, 2014 7:54 pm

Wow 30-45 dbz rains moving up our way shows 1 hr totals of 1.2 inches on wundermap, yikes! Winds picking up here in Westchester now, probably the same winds advancing north that were in city.

by **Dunnzoo** Fri May 16, 2014 8:38 pm

Power outages here in part of my town due to substation problem....I have power though....

by **amugs** Fri May 16, 2014 8:56 pm

. 31" so far and finally raining now - west end of Hillsdale without power as well Zoo.

Models had the majority of rain to our west and the rain/ front fizzled out as it moved east.

Great stretch of weather setting up!!

by **Dunnzoo** Fri May 16, 2014 9:17 pm

Power is back.....separate issue than Hillsdale....both are up now...

by **jmanley32** Fri May 16, 2014 9:55 pm

We are getting hammered here, just got emergency system alert on my phone not a app one but the one sent out now by emergency services flood warning

by **Dunnzoo** Fri May 16, 2014 10:13 pm

yeah jman, most of the rain just east of us here in Bergen County and over you.....

by **jmanley32** Fri May 16, 2014 10:17 pm

FULLY Over me, its tropical downpours! Like 50dbz showing up on NWS radar.

by **Dunnzoo** Fri May 16, 2014 10:19 pm

amugs wrote:. 31" so far and finally raining now - west end of Hillsdale without power as well Zoo.

Models had the majority of rain to our west and the rain/ front fizzled out as it moved east.

Great stretch of weather setting up!!

I don't know how accurate our rain gauges are going to be, a lot of rain blowing sideways at some points today....

by **jmanley32** Fri May 16, 2014 10:20 pm

0.91 inches in last hour or so here dang. Thats according to wundermap, I am sure NWS will have actual reports tomorrow, it honestly looks like the heaviest is still to come here, in yellow now red just south of here. It lets up, then pours and over and over its not steady.

by Snowlover76 Fri May 16, 2014 10:38 pm

Mostly moderate rain here in North Massapequa

by **algae888** Sat May 17, 2014 12:34 am

ended up with 1,36" of rain but 1" fell in one hour between 10pm and 11pm. flooded the Hutchinson river pkwy near my house. parts of central and northern n.j. ended up with only .5". was really weird how system affected area today. forecast was for mod to heavy rain all day but most of the rain fell in a very brief period. great stretch of weather on the way.

by **Dtone** Sat May 17, 2014 1:10 am

Sprain brook Pkwy in Yonkers was flooded too.
That last burst of wind & rain was intense.

1.66" at nybg next to me.

by **Frank_Wx** Sat May 17, 2014 2:55 pm

Looks like the heaviest training storms ended up over or just east of NYC. Its a nice day today but rather cool. Should get a little warmer as we head into next week.

by **amugs** Sat May 17, 2014 11:24 pm

Wound up with .79" of rain from last night and yesterday rain.
Today was a great day hitting 74* here with sunny skies all day.

At 54* now and chilly - how crazy is this after the last 4 months I call 54* chilly - I need a drink!! Hahaha.

by **Frank_Wx** Mon May 19, 2014 10:01 am

Nice weather today with sunshine and temps maybe getting into low 70's, probably upper 60's for most. Tomorrow even better with temps getting into the mid 70's. Wednesday will start sunny but clouds will gradually increase with rain by around 3-5pm, thunder possible. Thursday and Friday look like partly cloudy days with temps cooling back into the 60's again.

by **Quietace** Mon May 19, 2014 7:19 pm

Quick cell with heavy rain before. Nice day today.

by **Analog96** Tue May 20, 2014 11:11 am

Long range looks like a torch Memorial Day and beyond, could see our first 90s in the warmer locations.
The beginning of June is up in the air, with some models developing a big trough, and others returning temperatures to seasonal levels, but not really below.
Could also see our first legitimate severe weather threat(s) during that time frame (the end of May).

by **Quietace** Tue May 20, 2014 4:36 pm

Got to 79.6 today. Looking forward to the rain to wash away the pollen.

by **Frank_Wx** Tue May 20, 2014 8:00 pm

Rain tomorrow moving in between 2-3pm. I have a feeling the strongest cells will stay south of NYC. We'll see.

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