Sunday-Monday Snowstorm - 2nd Call Snow Map
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jimv45
lglickman1
Dunnzoo
CPcantmeasuresnow
oldtimer
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nutleyblizzard
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Re: Sunday-Monday Snowstorm - 2nd Call Snow Map
that is a solid 4-6" for n and w areas with no mixing. closer to coast looks like mixing will take place. do not have 925's so do not know how far north mix line gets.
algae888- Advanced Forecaster
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Re: Sunday-Monday Snowstorm - 2nd Call Snow Map
I'll take that 4 to 6 with no mixing!
docstox12- Wx Statistician Guru
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Re: Sunday-Monday Snowstorm - 2nd Call Snow Map
southern conn gets crushed this run. hearing nyc turns to sleet by hr 27
algae888- Advanced Forecaster
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Re: Sunday-Monday Snowstorm - 2nd Call Snow Map
doc me too! however I may mix but 4" still likely for me just ice at the end. I have been saying for a few days now that anyplace that has a chance to get 6+" of snow is due north and north east of nyc that's where heaviest precip will be plus cold tempsdocstox12 wrote:I'll take that 4 to 6 with no mixing!
algae888- Advanced Forecaster
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Re: Sunday-Monday Snowstorm - 2nd Call Snow Map
925mb freezing line goes up to SCT on this run at hr 27, then comes back down to NLI at 30
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Re: Sunday-Monday Snowstorm - 2nd Call Snow Map
nyc is .75 le if it's all snow that's 6+. ratio's prob. 8:1 or 10:1 hearing most of precip is over by the time it mixes. do not know if that is true.
algae888- Advanced Forecaster
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Re: Sunday-Monday Snowstorm - 2nd Call Snow Map
precip looks to be real light until after 4pm. so will be hard to stick on paved surfaces during day.
algae888- Advanced Forecaster
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Re: Sunday-Monday Snowstorm - 2nd Call Snow Map
Good thump, then mixes, then precip lightens up and we go back to snow. Very tricky. RGEM has done much better with precip type this year, so I am really interested to see the 0z run
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Re: Sunday-Monday Snowstorm - 2nd Call Snow Map
algae888 wrote:nyc is .75 le if it's all snow that's 6+. ratio's prob. 8:1 or 10:1 hearing most of precip is over by the time it mixes. do not know if that is true.
.75 LE with the temps around 28-32 during the storm would probably be 7"-7.5" of snow for NYC.
North and northeast of NYC would be 7"-9" with temps in the low to mid 20's.
But this simply going off of the 00z NAM, so who knows if it's correct.
Last edited by snow247 on Sat Feb 28, 2015 9:46 pm; edited 2 times in total
snow247- Pro Enthusiast
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Re: Sunday-Monday Snowstorm - 2nd Call Snow Map
I still think we see at least 4-6 al, even NWS is on with this now.
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Sunday-Monday Snowstorm - 2nd Call Snow Map
alex nam has done better with these systems imo. remember last sat rgem had us all snow while nam had us changing over. think rgem is a little to cold. this set up is slightly different than last week as we will have a low trying to form south of li. so we shall see.aiannone wrote:Good thump, then mixes, then precip lightens up and we go back to snow. Very tricky. RGEM has done much better with precip type this year, so I am really interested to see the 0z run
algae888- Advanced Forecaster
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Re: Sunday-Monday Snowstorm - 2nd Call Snow Map
Any news for cnj coast frank said earlier it was tricky but trending in the right direction
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Re: Sunday-Monday Snowstorm - 2nd Call Snow Map
agree. just want it to stay all snow. not sure that will happenjmanley32 wrote:I still think we see at least 4-6 al, even NWS is on with this now.
algae888- Advanced Forecaster
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Re: Sunday-Monday Snowstorm - 2nd Call Snow Map
skins nam looks to warm for you. 2 or 3" tops. however if rgem is right maybe you could get a little moreskinsfan1177 wrote:Any news for cnj coast frank said earlier it was tricky but trending in the right direction
algae888- Advanced Forecaster
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Re: Sunday-Monday Snowstorm - 2nd Call Snow Map
yes I agreesnow247 wrote:algae888 wrote:nyc is .75 le if it's all snow that's 6+. ratio's prob. 8:1 or 10:1 hearing most of precip is over by the time it mixes. do not know if that is true.
.75 LE with the temps around 28-32 during the storm would probably be 7"-7.5" of snow for NYC.
North and northeast of NYC would be 7"-9" with temps in the low to mid 20's.
But this simply going off of the 00z NAM, so who knows if it's correct.
algae888- Advanced Forecaster
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Re: Sunday-Monday Snowstorm - 2nd Call Snow Map
Alex What amount are we looking at now The R/S line shifting N?
oldtimer- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Sunday-Monday Snowstorm - 2nd Call Snow Map
well 6-9, 6-8 right in line with peoples maps on here for the highest area, which does include us Al, but yeah its a close call on if there is a changeover or not. Still quite a bit of snow on the ground here so hoping that helps cooling. I can say one thing its plenty cold tonight, I do not see surfaces warming up that much tomorrow before it starts.
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Sunday-Monday Snowstorm - 2nd Call Snow Map
high res NAM coming in big 10pm already 5 inches around NYC.
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Sunday-Monday Snowstorm - 2nd Call Snow Map
I was just speaking with a meteorologist and you can in fact have wet snow with 925mb just above freezing if the rest of the column is cold.
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Re: Sunday-Monday Snowstorm - 2nd Call Snow Map
rgem
look where low is trying to form
look where low is trying to form
algae888- Advanced Forecaster
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algae888- Advanced Forecaster
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Re: Sunday-Monday Snowstorm - 2nd Call Snow Map
4km NAM still screws people west of the Hudson River a bit but it looks good.
snow247- Pro Enthusiast
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algae888- Advanced Forecaster
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Re: Sunday-Monday Snowstorm - 2nd Call Snow Map
I thought the RGEM doesn't come out until 11:30?
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algae888- Advanced Forecaster
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Re: Sunday-Monday Snowstorm - 2nd Call Snow Map
9pm still snow for nyc
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