Re: January 7, 2017 Storm Observations

by **billg315** Sat Jan 07, 2017 6:56 am

Virginia. Delmarva, and Cape May County are going to make out like bandits on this snow. Radar is already juiced over those areas.

by **billg315** Sat Jan 07, 2017 6:59 am

For my area snow isn't anticipated to start until 11 and end by 4 or 5. While I disagreed with Jake the other night when he said you can't get a significant snow in a 9-hour event. I do think it's hard to get a big snow out of a 5 or 6 hr event.

by **CPcantmeasuresnow** Sat Jan 07, 2017 7:23 am

All guidance last night went east rather than staying the same or even jogging west a tad. Unless you live on the eastern half of LI or the immediate jersey shore from central jersey to cape may, whatever you went to bed expecting, expect less today and hope for the best.

by **jmanley32** Sat Jan 07, 2017 7:32 am

Well I guess rb was right, except that north areas far NW of city have a big band, and city dry slotted and SE is get hammered which was expected, guess ill get out and do some stuff today. NWS not making a move I guess had good merit, frank did say 5-7am and nada yet.

by **docstox12** Sat Jan 07, 2017 7:33 am

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:All guidance last night went east rather than staying the same or even jogging west a tad. Unless you live on the eastern half of LI or the immediate jersey shore from central jersey to cape may, whatever you went to bed expecting, expect less today and hope for the best.

Yet another S and E event in a never ending pattern of large snowstorms recently.The force field of the NJ Border and Hudson River maintain their effectiveness, CP,LOL.If we get an inch out of this I'll be amazed.

by **jmanley32** Sat Jan 07, 2017 7:34 am

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:All guidance last night went east rather than staying the same or even jogging west a tad. Unless you live on the eastern half of LI or the immediate jersey shore from central jersey to cape may, whatever you went to bed expecting, expect less today and hope for the best.

Most of the 00z models were well west, not east so not sure where you got east from. Didn't you see how excited we all were? 06z runs were not so great.

by larryrock72 Sat Jan 07, 2017 7:35 am

working down here in southern atlantic county, just outside of Atlantic City. Been snowing since 5:00am.......Good covering on the ground, roads not good.

by larryrock72 Sat Jan 07, 2017 7:37 am

Last call was 5-8 inches down here.

by **jmanley32** Sat Jan 07, 2017 7:38 am

okay i see nws did actually expand wsw over oue county in li and ct and a wwa for nyc and southern westchester.

by **jmanley32** Sat Jan 07, 2017 7:40 am

wow cape cod has been upped to 15-20 wow, so nws did go with the west trend. i guess lets see what happens looks like any snow is hrs away. boston will also appear to get their godzilla what a surprise,

by **RJB8525** Sat Jan 07, 2017 7:41 am

It's showing snow over me but nothing doing lol

Currently 19* feel is 11

by larryrock72 Sat Jan 07, 2017 7:44 am

NJ12 news said gonna take a little bit for precip to reach ground N&W. Air was dry.

by **jmanley32** Sat Jan 07, 2017 7:44 am

i think unless its green its virga.

http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?product=N0R&rid=dox&loop=yes

by snowlover78 Sat Jan 07, 2017 7:44 am

It is snowing already since 7:15 am in central NJ on the lighter side but it will pick up soon

by **CPcantmeasuresnow** Sat Jan 07, 2017 7:47 am

jmanley32 wrote:
CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:All guidance last night went east rather than staying the same or even jogging west a tad. Unless you live on the eastern half of LI or the immediate jersey shore from central jersey to cape may, whatever you went to bed expecting, expect less today and hope for the best.
Most of the 00z models were well west, not east so not sure where you got east from. Didn't you see how excited we all were? 06z runs were not so great.

all the short term models last night were east, not by alot but not what we wanted.

by bobjohnsonforthehall Sat Jan 07, 2017 7:48 am

Dry slotted since the start here in Flemington so far. Hoping to get 3-4 here when all is said and done.

by **Dtone** Sat Jan 07, 2017 7:48 am

billg315 wrote:Virginia. Delmarva, and Cape May County are going to make out like bandits on this snow. Radar is already juiced over those areas.

Would love to be in VA beach now.

by **skinsfan1177** Sat Jan 07, 2017 7:52 am

snowing here northern ocean county light coating so far expecting 6 plus here on coast

by **jmanley32** Sat Jan 07, 2017 7:53 am

from the movement of radar looks like no sig snow will get north of central jersey through eastern li into eastern ct on a diagonal unless it pushes west but doesn't look as if it is. however is the trough actually neutral or even going negative a bit?! maybe im seeing things.

by larryrock72 Sat Jan 07, 2017 7:55 am

leaving work down here in Atlantic County at 11:00am. Will be driving North on the Garden State Parkway to Barnegat, NJ in Southern Ocean County. Hopefully will have update around 12:00-12:15pm.

by **skinsfan1177** Sat Jan 07, 2017 7:59 am

Picking up in intensity here temp has dropped 2 degrees

by **CPcantmeasuresnow** Sat Jan 07, 2017 8:00 am

https://www.americanwx.com/bb/uploads/monthly_2017_01/hrdps_snow_nyc_25.thumb.png.0a6176eabee7e8916d0cc6e227a64d14.png

latest HRRR an improvement,

by **weatherwatchermom** Sat Jan 07, 2017 8:05 am

larryrock72 wrote:leaving work down here in Atlantic County at 11:00am. Will be driving North on the Garden State Parkway to Barnegat, NJ in Southern Ocean County. Hopefully will have update around 12:00-12:15pm.

Be safe on the roads!

by **Dunnzoo** Sat Jan 07, 2017 8:07 am

docstox12 wrote:
CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:All guidance last night went east rather than staying the same or even jogging west a tad. Unless you live on the eastern half of LI or the immediate jersey shore from central jersey to cape may, whatever you went to bed expecting, expect less today and hope for the best.

Yet another S and E event in a never ending pattern of large snowstorms recently.The force field of the NJ Border and Hudson River maintain their effectiveness, CP,LOL.If we get an inch out of this I'll be amazed.

Hey doc and CP, where's the bar on OTI? I hope you are prepared for an onslaught of NWesterners! It's 23° and virga on radar. I'm hoping we get a few inches just to keep me sane. NAM and HRRR have only an inch or two for NNJ.

by **docstox12** Sat Jan 07, 2017 8:17 am

Dunnzoo wrote:
docstox12 wrote:
CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:All guidance last night went east rather than staying the same or even jogging west a tad. Unless you live on the eastern half of LI or the immediate jersey shore from central jersey to cape may, whatever you went to bed expecting, expect less today and hope for the best.

Yet another S and E event in a never ending pattern of large snowstorms recently.The force field of the NJ Border and Hudson River maintain their effectiveness, CP,LOL.If we get an inch out of this I'll be amazed.

Hey doc and CP, where's the bar on OTI? I hope you are prepared for an onslaught of NWesterners! It's 23° and virga on radar. I'm hoping we get a few inches just to keep me sane. NAM and HRRR have only an inch or two for NNJ.

LOL, Janet, the first rounds on me, come on down to OTI!!

17.4, 68%, 30.00 R

I am being virgarized up here.You have a better shot of thos few inches than me, Janet.You and Mugsy, good luck.

Check OTI for latest on that onslaught of N and W Mainlanders,LOL.

by **mikeypizano** Sat Jan 07, 2017 8:21 am

So I am going to say very little to no chance of me seeing anything in Wyoming Valley?

by **docstox12** Sat Jan 07, 2017 8:28 am

Mikey P, hard to say.This is a nowcast situation, a jog 25 miles west will help us N and W folks.Radar looks to be filling on the West side.We will see.

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