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Possible Snowstorm Thursday, February 9th

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Post by jmanley32 Mon Feb 06, 2017 9:38 pm

oy, too warm for coast, all rain through hr 63

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Post by jmanley32 Mon Feb 06, 2017 9:39 pm

I think frank or someone did say if it was too strong that would not be a good thing for the coast

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Post by skinsfan1177 Mon Feb 06, 2017 9:41 pm

Yeah i think coast is toast being a stronger storm in this run
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Post by jmanley32 Mon Feb 06, 2017 9:42 pm

Weird the snowmap, does not match the simulated radar really, nam is a decent hit. but 18z was better.
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Post by jmanley32 Mon Feb 06, 2017 9:44 pm

Its a roidzilla for NE, Rayno knows his stuff, seems precip shield was way north with the heaviest then it wraps up big time and explodes but too late for us.

Possible Snowstorm Thursday, February 9th - Page 8 Nam_3h13
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Post by skinsfan1177 Mon Feb 06, 2017 9:46 pm

It's also 60 hours out still lots of time to change. Nam may be overamping it
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Post by amugs Mon Feb 06, 2017 9:46 pm

Possible Snowstorm Thursday, February 9th - Page 8 IMG_7837.thumb.PNG.439c0aaa3a8d32788379f4501078b9d8

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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by jmanley32 Mon Feb 06, 2017 9:46 pm

to far in the benchmark, continues to deepen to 986mb! Why is it that that strip into NE benefits, anyway that can get into this area?

Possible Snowstorm Thursday, February 9th - Page 8 Nam_ms14

Also verbatim the winds will make for blizzard conditions, cape cod will be hammered, next frame has sustained at 50mph!


Last edited by jmanley32 on Mon Feb 06, 2017 9:50 pm; edited 2 times in total
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Post by amugs Mon Feb 06, 2017 9:48 pm

Jet Streak still strong - not as for 0Z then 18Z but still strong - Need euro tonight to show a NW tick and juicier.

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Post by jmanley32 Mon Feb 06, 2017 9:54 pm

the coast would see more but precip type is snowing a period of 3 hrs or so of sleet.
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Post by Guest Mon Feb 06, 2017 9:54 pm

NAM 12k and 3K aren't nearly as kind to me as the 4k. I get the feeling I'll have to vicariously enjoy this one through you guys.

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Post by amugs Mon Feb 06, 2017 9:57 pm

Possible Snowstorm Thursday, February 9th - Page 8 5899375aa2930_NAMHIRES.thumb.PNG.0aec0286fef1df8b2b0847cbab8e1236

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WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by amugs Mon Feb 06, 2017 9:58 pm

This sucker with teh jet streak overhead is going to allow for great instability and explode - N will do fine please no IMBY stuff here

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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by jake732 Mon Feb 06, 2017 9:59 pm

unfortunately us coast peeps are screwed. not gonna get the goods. to warm
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Post by Guest Mon Feb 06, 2017 10:00 pm

If this sucker is as intense as the NAM shows then there will be no sleet Jman. We are looking good IMO

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Post by amugs Mon Feb 06, 2017 10:01 pm

Possible Snowstorm Thursday, February 9th - Page 8 58993817cf0b5_HIRESCVV.thumb.PNG.b48d9013819128c04777941cc3f23e43
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Post by Snow88 Mon Feb 06, 2017 10:02 pm

jake732 wrote:unfortunately us coast peeps are screwed. not gonna get the goods. to warm

How are we screwed? Based off the Nam?
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Post by amugs Mon Feb 06, 2017 10:06 pm

This is sick - heavy echos for snow here and instability under yellow, orange and red

Possible Snowstorm Thursday, February 9th - Page 8 589939614188f_NAMHIRESCOmp.thumb.PNG.325876c949995a99a27c4546cb15b1a8

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WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by rb924119 Mon Feb 06, 2017 10:06 pm

Here's my video:

https://drive.google.com/open?id=0Byod2Sk27yNYeTlKd3ExYnU1UjA

Please note that I goofed and said the energy should exit off of northern New England when I really meant to say southern. Also, a way that this can not happen at all is if our energy is too strung out and doesn't consolidate, although I feel this is unlikely. Enjoy, and if you have any questions, please feel free to ask!!

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Post by SoulSingMG Mon Feb 06, 2017 10:08 pm

amugs wrote:Possible Snowstorm Thursday, February 9th - Page 8 IMG_7837.thumb.PNG.439c0aaa3a8d32788379f4501078b9d8

Ahh. Not sure what all the sad posts are about for this run/the coast but this shows 6-12 for nyc metro ;-)


Last edited by SoulSingMG on Mon Feb 06, 2017 10:09 pm; edited 1 time in total
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Post by jmanley32 Mon Feb 06, 2017 10:08 pm

syosnow94 wrote:If this sucker is as intense as the NAM shows then there will be no sleet Jman. We are looking good IMO
Just going by the wxbell ptype map but its not always very accurate. mugs North will do fine, but will the coast do as well as the north, just 30-40 miles outside city is closer to 10+ city is 6-8. Why is there such a diff with the cold and dynamics?
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Post by amugs Mon Feb 06, 2017 10:10 pm

NMA suite picking up once again on teh convective nature of this storm - going to bring er home!!
Possible Snowstorm Thursday, February 9th - Page 8 58993a7f8bb13_NAMHIRES60hr.PNG.9849dc806d7d2e60809a5c90f0a58c87

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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by amugs Mon Feb 06, 2017 10:11 pm

jmanley32 wrote:
syosnow94 wrote:If this sucker is as intense as the NAM shows then there will be no sleet Jman. We are looking good IMO
Just going by the wxbell ptype map but its not always very accurate.  mugs North will do fine, but will the coast do as well as the north, just 30-40 miles outside city is closer to 10+ city is 6-8.  Why is there such a diff with the cold and dynamics?

IF euro temps verify

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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by jmanley32 Mon Feb 06, 2017 10:14 pm

SoulSingMG wrote:
amugs wrote:Possible Snowstorm Thursday, February 9th - Page 8 IMG_7837.thumb.PNG.439c0aaa3a8d32788379f4501078b9d8

Ahh. Not sure what all the sad posts are about for this run/the coast but this shows 6-12 for nyc metro ;-)
Get that green in here haha, thats a prettier picture than the wxbell snowmap. Wxbell shows about 6 for city and inland about 30 miles or so b4 it ups.
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Post by amugs Mon Feb 06, 2017 10:16 pm

A piece of the PV phases in,

Hi RES models picking up this Monthrazilla

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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by jmanley32 Mon Feb 06, 2017 10:17 pm

Oh derr I see why the north has more cuz they get snow tomorrow, duhhh lol
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Post by SoulSingMG Mon Feb 06, 2017 10:18 pm

jmanley32 wrote:
SoulSingMG wrote:
amugs wrote:Possible Snowstorm Thursday, February 9th - Page 8 IMG_7837.thumb.PNG.439c0aaa3a8d32788379f4501078b9d8

Ahh. Not sure what all the sad posts are about for this run/the coast but this shows 6-12 for nyc metro ;-)
Get that green in here haha, thats a prettier picture than the wxbell snowmap.  Wxbell shows about 6 for city and inland about 30 miles or so b4 it ups.

Some greens WOULD be nice lol... 17" on that run over my hometown in New Hampshire!
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