Re: December Obs and Discussion

by **docstox12** Wed Dec 27, 2017 7:00 am

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:8.1

We may make an unexpected run to 0 tonight.

CP, in my way of thinking, having this brutal cold without snow, is like one of your buddies coming over to play poker with your others and he forgot to bring the beer.I'd rather have 28 degrees at night with a snowstorm on the way of 16 plus inches.

by **Frank_Wx** Wed Dec 27, 2017 7:52 am

Man it is cold. 16 degrees at my home and 11 degrees at work.

by **frank 638** Wed Dec 27, 2017 8:17 am

Yes it is Frank it is freezing outside I'm working Outdoors at LaGuardia Airport and I have three shirts on heavy jacket and thermal jeans

by **Math23x7** Wed Dec 27, 2017 7:06 pm

Here in the Montreal region, it is -5* F, the wind chill is -25* F and there is a healthy snowpack. Tonight, it is forecasted to get down to -15* F with the wind chill going down to -35*F.

by **billg315** Wed Dec 27, 2017 7:57 pm

19* here at 7 p.m. Just put my trash out. I can confirm. It's cold. That is all.

by SnowForest Wed Dec 27, 2017 7:58 pm

Math23x7 wrote:Here in the Montreal region, it is -5* F, the wind chill is -25* F and there is a healthy snowpack. Tonight, it is forecasted to get down to -15* F with the wind chill going down to -35*F.

Wow, that's brutal cold. Looks like most of NJ can expect temps in lower teens and single digits tonight. Currently 20 degrees here.

by **Dunnzoo** Wed Dec 27, 2017 8:18 pm

17° here and dropping

by **frank 638** Wed Dec 27, 2017 8:53 pm

Down to 19* already and I am working on a new building that is not closed up yet at LaGuardia so it's about another 10 degrees colder than outside cannot wait.

by **weatherwatchermom** Wed Dec 27, 2017 9:11 pm

17* winds at 15 mph...brrrr real feel of 5*

by **Radz** Wed Dec 27, 2017 9:20 pm

16.5° winds 5-10mph, feels like an ice box out there

by **amugs** Wed Dec 27, 2017 11:49 pm

16* here and boys on the ice rik tonight

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by **frank 638** Thu Dec 28, 2017 4:29 am

Brrrrrr r 13*with a real feel of 3* dress warmly everyone

by **Frank_Wx** Thu Dec 28, 2017 5:48 am

amugs wrote:16* here and boys on the ice rik tonight

Love it Mugs!!

13 degrees. Madonne I'm not use to this.

by **rb924119** Thu Dec 28, 2017 5:58 am

That really is awesome, mugsy. How do you do that??

by **Frank_Wx** Thu Dec 28, 2017 7:51 am

GFS Ensembles and other models are trending wetter for Saturday's system. I am going to forecast 1-3 inches of snow for NYC, eastern NJ, and LI. Lollipop 4-5" amounts possible. C-2" with lollipop 3"-4" amounts for those N&W. It will be a high ratio / fluffy type of snow day. I will not start a thread. Let's just use this thread to talk about it.

December Obs and Discussion - Page 4 Gefs_qpf_mean_nyc_15.png.340088be1ba1a26b9056e353d0bf7335

December Obs and Discussion - Page 4 Gefs_qpf_mean_nyc_15.png.340088be1ba1a26b9056e353d0bf7335

by **Frank_Wx** Thu Dec 28, 2017 7:51 am

Reason I like more along the coast is due to jet enhancement / extension

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by Guest Thu Dec 28, 2017 8:10 am

2 days left. 50 miles more n and w shift and all coastal areas would be in .4" +. Let's get her done. With these ratios we could reach warning criteria IF WE GET MORE IF A SHIFT. I'm just hoping here

by **amugs** Thu Dec 28, 2017 8:58 am

So you areally in the 3-5" with high ratio if you get .3-.4qpf easliy. These little costal have trended more NW and this airmass is ready to produce.

by **CPcantmeasuresnow** Thu Dec 28, 2017 8:59 am

5.0 degrees, snow on the ground still from Christmas Eve. I don't think any of the 2.5 inches has melted yet.

Boy how expectations can change the mood. Now that we all put the 30-40 inch clown maps from last week out of our collective memories we can get our juices flowing for a possible 1-4 this Saturday.

I like the trend especially for LI, give me 2-3 Saturday IMBY and I'll be a happy man.

by **Frank_Wx** Thu Dec 28, 2017 9:29 am

I am going to update my SCI to 75% for at least 1 inch of snow falling in NYC this Saturday. Short range models are coming in wetter for this event.

by **frank 638** Thu Dec 28, 2017 9:32 am

13* trying to stay warm I have 3 heavy shirts on with heavy jacket and I am still cold

by **aiannone** Thu Dec 28, 2017 9:34 am

NAM was so close to moving heavy precip on shore.

by **Frank_Wx** Thu Dec 28, 2017 9:44 am

Hi-res NAM Saturday afternoon

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by **aiannone** Thu Dec 28, 2017 9:47 am

Frank_Wx wrote:Hi-res NAM Saturday afternoon

Not bad!

by **amugs** Thu Dec 28, 2017 9:57 am

CMC PULLIN A PETTY BABY ON THIS!

UHHMMM ...............WONT BACK DOWN, ANYONE???

by **jimv45** Thu Dec 28, 2017 10:01 am

With this cold will not take much, like cp said i will take a few inches and be happy

by **CPcantmeasuresnow** Thu Dec 28, 2017 10:04 am

amugs wrote:CMC PULLIN A PETTY BABY ON THIS!

UHHMMM ...............WONT BACK DOWN, ANYONE???

Other than LI basically .1-.2 qpf through most of the area, would translate to a basic 2 -3 inch snowfall. I'll take it.

Love the Tom Petty reference, RIP legend.

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