March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations

Smittyaj623 wrote:This is about to be a big one...I gotta feeling for us Coasties

Hope so, you've earned it, enjoy.

NYC schools closed tomorrow per deblasio

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service New York NY
426 PM EDT Tue Mar 20 2018

"It is this storm that will bring snow into the region toward daybreak along the coast, which will be the start of what appears to be the potential for one of the biggest snowfalls
since 1960."

I. Am. So. Pumped.

Coming down moderately..Snowing here mixed with sleet roads are slick already...funny how everything was covered leading to my husband's work complex and I pull in and nothing....I guess all the alsphalt....

Frank_Wx wrote:I. Am. So. Pumped.

Me as well. And we all love you too, man....

Frank_Wx wrote:

Alright you POS model, the one I hate MOST! Finally showing me and Jman a little love, ay??

aiannone wrote:Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service New York NY
426 PM EDT Tue Mar 20 2018

"It is this storm that will bring snow into the region toward daybreak along the coast, which will be the start of what appears to be the potential for one of the biggest snowfalls
since 1960."

This is the Top 15 in NYC and non were in 1960. What are they talking about? Did they mean in March?

Ranking Amount Year & Date(s)
1...... .27.5. January 23, 2016
2...... .26.9. February 11-12, 2006
3...... .25.8. December 26-27, 1947
4...... .21.0. March 12-14, 1888
5...... .20.9. February 25-26, 2010
6...... .20.2. January 7-8, 1996
7...... .20.0. December 26-27, 2010
8.......19.8. February 16-17, 2003
9...... .19.0. January 26-27, 2011
10.... .18.1. March 7-8, 1941
11......18.1.January 22-24, 1935
12......18.0.December 26, 1872
13......17.7.February 5-7, 1978
14......17.6.February 11-12, 1983
15......17.5.February 4-7, 1920

Frank_Wx wrote:I. Am. So. Pumped.

If this storm doesn't merit opening up the chatroom, then I don't know what does.

Frank_Wx wrote:

Love the way that pivots.

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:

aiannone wrote:Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service New York NY
426 PM EDT Tue Mar 20 2018

"It is this storm that will bring snow into the region toward daybreak along the coast, which will be the start of what appears to be the potential for one of the biggest snowfalls
since 1960."

This is the Top 15 in NYC and non were in 1960. What are they talking about? Did they mean in March?

Ranking Amount Year & Date(s)
1...... .27.5. January 23, 2016
2...... .26.9. February 11-12, 2006
3...... .25.8. December 26-27, 1947
4...... .21.0. March 12-14, 1888
5...... .20.9. February 25-26, 2010
6...... .20.2. January 7-8, 1996
7...... .20.0. December 26-27, 2010
8.......19.8. February 16-17, 2003
9...... .19.0. January 26-27, 2011
10.... .18.1. March 7-8, 1941
11......18.1.January 22-24, 1935
12......18.0.December 26, 1872
13......17.7.February 5-7, 1978
14......17.6.February 11-12, 1983
15......17.5.February 4-7, 1920

yes, they edited it to say March

Omg it's pouring sleet...the roads are slick..safe travels home

weatherwatchermom wrote:Omg it's pouring sleet...the roads are slick..safe travels home

It will make a nice base for the snow tomorrow. It's all good.

aiannone wrote:Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service New York NY
426 PM EDT Tue Mar 20 2018

"It is this storm that will bring snow into the region toward daybreak along the coast, which will be the start of what appears to be the potential for one of the biggest snowfalls
since 1960."

WHAT THE FUDGE

34* with a mix of sleet and light snow flurries. Ground is getting that sleetish sheen. Should keep it nice and cold for when the real snow gets here tomorrow.

Yes, the National Weather Service has over a foot of snow for NYC for tomorrow. HOWEVER, I'm not sold to that solution at this point in time. If this storm were to take place in January, then I would agree with it. However, we are now into Spring and the March sun plays a factor. There are three ways to override this March sun: 1) Have snow come down at night, 2) Have very cold temperatures (i.e. at least a few degrees below freezing), and 3) Have very intense snowfall rates. What models are also picking up on is the mixing issues aloft, which would provide a mix of sleet, especially early on. Now, the snow looks to get cranking at around daybreak, which means the March sun will have an influence on the snowstorm. Also, the temperatures are marginal, which creates issues in accumulation. The three most recent noteworthy snow events we had (3/2, 3/7, and 3/13), it remained above freezing the entire time in the city which is why the snow struggled to accumulate. The snow that fell on the 2nd and 13th did not accumulate and the one on the 7th had 3.2" of snow at Central Park, which accumulated only because of the high snowfall rates. Now, speaking of the high snowfall rates, it looks like we will get some in the area allowing for at least some accumulation. Also, models are now extending the snowstorm through several hours after sunset, which would allow the snow to stick easier.

So the way I see it, I see a mix of snow and sleet around daybreak changing to snow by mid-morning. The steady snow continues for much of the day, with the possible exception of mixing issues mid-late afternoon. As the low moves away by evening, however, it should change back to all snow and will taper off after midnight.

Keep in mind that if you are outside of the urban heat island that is Manhattan, you may see higher snow totals. So I see 3-6" in the city and 6-10" in the suburbs. One last thing to note though: As is usually the case in snowstorms, a narrow band of very heavy snow will likely form somewhere in the area. If this band does form, some portions of the tri-state area could get over a foot of snow.

Math23x7 wrote:Yes, the National Weather Service has over a foot of snow for NYC for tomorrow. HOWEVER, I'm not sold to that solution at this point in time. If this storm were to take place in January, then I would agree with it. However, we are now into Spring and the March sun plays a factor. There are three ways to override this March sun: 1) Have snow come down at night, 2) Have very cold temperatures (i.e. at least a few degrees below freezing), and 3) Have very intense snowfall rates. What models are also picking up on is the mixing issues aloft, which would provide a mix of sleet, especially early on. Now, the snow looks to get cranking at around daybreak, which means the March sun will have an influence on the snowstorm. Also, the temperatures are marginal, which creates issues in accumulation. The three most recent noteworthy snow events we had (3/2, 3/7, and 3/13), it remained above freezing the entire time in the city which is why the snow struggled to accumulate. The snow that fell on the 2nd and 13th did not accumulate and the one on the 7th had 3.2" of snow at Central Park, which accumulated only because of the high snowfall rates. Now, speaking of the high snowfall rates, it looks like we will get some in the area allowing for at least some accumulation. Also, models are now extending the snowstorm through several hours after sunset, which would allow the snow to stick easier.

So the way I see it, I see a mix of snow and sleet around daybreak changing to snow by mid-morning. The steady snow continues for much of the day, with the possible exception of mixing issues mid-late afternoon. As the low moves away by evening, however, it should change back to all snow and will taper off after midnight.

Keep in mind that if you are outside of the urban heat island that is Manhattan, you may see higher snow totals. So I see 3-6" in the city and 6-10" in the suburbs. One last thing to note though: As is usually the case in snowstorms, a narrow band of very heavy snow will likely form somewhere in the area. If this band does form, some portions of the tri-state area could get over a foot of snow.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9Jz1TjCphXE
Note: This is not to denote whether you are right or wrong. Just the overall reaction of one reading this post while super-jacked for this storm.

[quote="CPcantmeasuresnow"]

weatherwatchermom wrote:Omg it's pouring sleet...the roads are slick..safe travels home

It will make a nice base for the snow tomorrow. It's all good.[/quo

Yes it will be good but I don't like being in car while happening home safe and sound

Math23x7 wrote:Yes, the National Weather Service has over a foot of snow for NYC for tomorrow. HOWEVER, I'm not sold to that solution at this point in time. If this storm were to take place in January, then I would agree with it. However, we are now into Spring and the March sun plays a factor. There are three ways to override this March sun: 1) Have snow come down at night, 2) Have very cold temperatures (i.e. at least a few degrees below freezing), and 3) Have very intense snowfall rates. What models are also picking up on is the mixing issues aloft, which would provide a mix of sleet, especially early on. Now, the snow looks to get cranking at around daybreak, which means the March sun will have an influence on the snowstorm. Also, the temperatures are marginal, which creates issues in accumulation. The three most recent noteworthy snow events we had (3/2, 3/7, and 3/13), it remained above freezing the entire time in the city which is why the snow struggled to accumulate. The snow that fell on the 2nd and 13th did not accumulate and the one on the 7th had 3.2" of snow at Central Park, which accumulated only because of the high snowfall rates. Now, speaking of the high snowfall rates, it looks like we will get some in the area allowing for at least some accumulation. Also, models are now extending the snowstorm through several hours after sunset, which would allow the snow to stick easier.

So the way I see it, I see a mix of snow and sleet around daybreak changing to snow by mid-morning. The steady snow continues for much of the day, with the possible exception of mixing issues mid-late afternoon. As the low moves away by evening, however, it should change back to all snow and will taper off after midnight.

Keep in mind that if you are outside of the urban heat island that is Manhattan, you may see higher snow totals. So I see 3-6" in the city and 6-10" in the suburbs. One last thing to note though: As is usually the case in snowstorms, a narrow band of very heavy snow will likely form somewhere in the area. If this band does form, some portions of the tri-state area could get over a foot of snow.

can we get an ignore button forbMikeys posts until he gets his shit together

syosnow94 wrote:

aiannone wrote:Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service New York NY
426 PM EDT Tue Mar 20 2018

"It is this storm that will bring snow into the region toward daybreak along the coast, which will be the start of what appears to be the potential for one of the biggest snowfalls
since 1960."

WHAT THE FUDGE

They meant in March. Apparently they corrected it later.

CP it’s still damn impressive. Can you get SNOW MAN to smack Mikey around.

I find it hysterical that all morning News12 said we were only looking at 3-5” and now I’ve been watching for a half hour and they haven’t given any snow total amounts... chickens...