Tracking 01-30 Arctic Front

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Post by amugs on Mon Jan 28, 2019 7:18 pm

heehaw453 wrote:
SENJsnowman wrote:Is that a more area wide squall threat, or also n/w only?

I think this is area wide threat.  

Yes it is from SNJ up through Conn - where it hits and you are lucky to be in it for 30 minutes take video - will be the best storm of the winter!!


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Post by SENJsnowman on Mon Jan 28, 2019 7:27 pm

Thanks guys...I’ll keep an eye out on Wednesday!

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Post by Scullybutcher on Mon Jan 28, 2019 7:57 pm

Any chance we wake up to Boxing Day 2010? I know completely different but one can hope.


Last edited by Scullybutcher on Mon Jan 28, 2019 8:02 pm; edited 1 time in total
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Post by heehaw453 on Mon Jan 28, 2019 7:57 pm

Temperature down to 21. Was 28 three hours ago. This airmass is cold.

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Post by amugs on Mon Jan 28, 2019 9:22 pm

Maybe a surprise tomorrow for some if this cold is true. SE winds yes but if they are light it won't erode the cold air. It's all about the BL here.
Could we get a positive bust this winter? GFS being the colder of the models is a red flag.

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Post by heehaw453 on Mon Jan 28, 2019 9:48 pm

amugs wrote:Maybe a surprise tomorrow for some if this cold is true. SE winds yes but if they are light it won't erode the cold air. It's all about the BL here.
Could we get a positive bust this winter? GFS being the colder of the models is a red flag.

NAM says my temperature should be 24 at 10 PM. I’m now at 18.

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Post by Grselig on Mon Jan 28, 2019 9:56 pm

heehaw453 wrote:
amugs wrote:Maybe a surprise tomorrow for some if this cold is true. SE winds yes but if they are light it won't erode the cold air. It's all about the BL here.
Could we get a positive bust this winter? GFS being the colder of the models is a red flag.

NAM says my temperature should be 24 at 10 PM. I’m now at 18.

I’m 19. Forecast low of 21 already beaten
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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow on Mon Jan 28, 2019 10:04 pm

Scullybutcher wrote:Any chance we wake up to Boxing Day 2010? I know completely different but one can hope.

0.1% chance of that and I'm being optimistic. But I'm sure you weren't being serious so........
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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow on Mon Jan 28, 2019 10:06 pm

14.2° right now.

I'm sure it will go up some tonight once the clouds roll in but I don't see how we get any mix up here tomorrow, BL seems fine and I doubt we crack 30°. The weather channel app is on crack, high of 36°, not happening.
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Post by amugs on Mon Jan 28, 2019 10:29 pm

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:14.2° right now.

I'm sure it will go up some tonight once the clouds roll in but I don't see how we get any mix up here tomorrow, BL seems fine and I doubt we crack 30°. The weather channel app is on crack, high of 36°, not happening.
That on crackdown sure.
Delayed precip.moving in is a good sign so cold air will be in better place later as the front moves in IMO. Saying it darts in the afternoon and tapers off in the early wed morning hours. Winds gustingbton30 mph. Gonna be fun over night manana.
Squall line looking serious for Wednesday aftwrnoon., LI maybe some enuance mentioned by this as dies Conn
Tracking 01-30 Arctic Front - Page 5 Nam3km10

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Post by heehaw453 on Tue Jan 29, 2019 8:19 am

radar looks very bleak.

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Post by jmanley32 on Tue Jan 29, 2019 8:21 am

Radar looks like a few banks of weak snow showers why are there wsw up for north areas no ones get more than a dusting from those.
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Post by docstox12 on Tue Jan 29, 2019 8:40 am

jmanley32 wrote:Radar looks like a few banks of weak snow showers why are there wsw up for north areas no ones get more than a dusting from those.

Agree, if it doesn't explode and fill in, looks like a bust right now.Could change fast though.Looks like it's going to start very soon up here.
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Post by 1190ftalt on Tue Jan 29, 2019 8:50 am

Snowing in Stillwater NJ at 1190 ft altitude, coming down constant fine powder, ground covered , fixn to git maybe 4-6 reckin could be little mor or lest, Gud luk ! Holding at 19 degrees!

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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow on Tue Jan 29, 2019 9:06 am

docstox12 wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:Radar looks like a few banks of weak snow showers why are there wsw up for north areas no ones get more than a dusting from those.

Agree, if it doesn't explode and fill in, looks like a bust right now.Could change fast though.Looks like it's going to start very soon up here.

DOn't expect anything from this crap moving in now. The short range models have it snowing of varying intensities from about 5 PM to 11 PM today. If we're going to get 4 or 5 inches today it will all have to fall then.

23.0° and flurries
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Post by sabamfa on Tue Jan 29, 2019 9:11 am

Very light snow in Cedar Knolls, NJ (Morristown).

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Post by Dtone on Tue Jan 29, 2019 9:13 am

some flurries in Lower Manhattan

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Post by heehaw453 on Tue Jan 29, 2019 9:23 am

The mesoscale models have gotten considerably worse for snow in most recent runs. I believe this is going to bust. If you get > 3" out of this then consider this a win for your area.

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Post by amugs on Tue Jan 29, 2019 9:24 am

This is not the storm so chill as CP said above, the main show comes in later today, this is just a tizer.

Snow squalls tomorrow are gonna be fun!!

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Post by amugs on Tue Jan 29, 2019 9:39 am

WOW and just like that in the last 10 minutes we have a coating - boooyaahhhh!

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Post by brownie on Tue Jan 29, 2019 9:49 am

It's coming down pretty good here in Pequannock. Sidewalks coated and cars starting to get covered.

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Post by docstox12 on Tue Jan 29, 2019 10:08 am

Snowing lightly the last 45 minutes, getting a coating now.20 degrees no wind.Guess this is just a few flurries from that radar, the real show is supposed to start after 5 pM.Wow, that was a major time change from yesterday.
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Post by hyde345 on Tue Jan 29, 2019 10:38 am

The main event with this system was always expected to be from about 5pm today until midnight as wave develops along the front. Those of us that remain all snow should not have a problem seeing 3-4 inches as it will snow at rates approaching an inch an hour. If there is a mix then who knows. Right now 22* with a steady light/moderate snow and a dusting. Schools closed today too which is really funny.
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Post by amugs on Tue Jan 29, 2019 10:44 am

SNOW!!!!!!!
Nice band here now - ground moderate coating
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Post by docstox12 on Tue Jan 29, 2019 10:46 am

Snow increased in intensity a little, flakes bigger.Radar looks a little better in PA filling in more.Got almost 1/2 inch OTG here, trucks are salting now.Ground covered and nice to see a snowy landscape again.tomorrow should be fun with those snow squalls and wind whipping around this snow.
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