January 2021 Observations and Discussion

30* here now and windy. Arctic air feel for sure.

16 degrees this morning around 6 am. Wind is around 10 mph. Nice and sunny. Even the squirrels are staying in.

Happy Sunday! our low this morning was 20* Currently 31* winds around 16mph we had some gusts in the mid 20's

if you believe the most recent NAM DC is going to break the snowless streak in a big way.  WAA gets up to Mason Dixon Line and then dries out.  So you get good snow up to Mason Dixon Line and above route 80 for an inch or two as the ULL swings by.  LOL!!  

Billg this is the ultimate for our areas.

12Z 3K NAM

"Billg this is the ultimate for our areas."

Funny! This is what we need from time to time...good humor!

Today's 12Z model suite so far Has brought the upper level low South somewhat increased QPF Which raises snowfall totals especially areas North and West of the city The R GEM being the most liberal with precipitation and the nam having next to nothing. Although the 3k nam looks good. Maybe the Northward trend has ended and now we will shift Southeast with the upper level features and hopefully increase snowfall totals for tomorrow

Add today's ukie to the list 2 to 4" city west and north

6z euro also 2 to 4" . Lets see what 12z does

heehaw453 wrote:if you believe the most recent NAM DC is going to break the snowless streak in a big way.  WAA gets up to Mason Dixon Line and then dries out.  So you get good snow up to Mason Dixon Line and above route 80 for an inch or two as the ULL swings by.  LOL!!  

Billg this is the ultimate for our areas.

12Z 3K NAM

LMAO! Yeah if someone wanted to create an absurd snow map specifically to make us miserable, this would be it. And alas, here it is. The only saving grace is nobody is really "cashing in" in a big way on this so it doesn't sting too bad.

It was a balmy 9.5 degrees this morning. Wood stove is the saving grace for happiness when there is no snow.

If the 12z RGEM verifies I think the people in the northern part of our forum are owed an apology for closing the Jan 26th storm thread early. Are we not people too?

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:If the 12z RGEM verifies I think the people in the northern part of our forum are owed an apology for closing the Jan 26th storm thread early. Are we not people too?

On behalf of all of us Northern Folk vis a vis taking down the January 26th storm thread early.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sdQCPlAZjbY

docstox12 wrote:

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:If the 12z RGEM verifies I think the people in the northern part of our forum are owed an apology for closing the Jan 26th storm thread early. Are we not people too?

On behalf of all of us Northern Folk vis a vis taking down the January 26th storm thread early.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sdQCPlAZjbY

Haha, this made me laugh out loud.

My apologies for closing the storm thread. I unlocked it so we can carry on tracking. It does look like a solid 1-3/2-4 inch event for many on the board.

sroc4 wrote:

Frank_Wx wrote:

docstox12 wrote:

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:If the 12z RGEM verifies I think the people in the northern part of our forum are owed an apology for closing the Jan 26th storm thread early. Are we not people too?

On behalf of all of us Northern Folk vis a vis taking down the January 26th storm thread early.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sdQCPlAZjbY

Haha, this made me laugh out loud.

My apologies for closing the storm thread. I unlocked it so we can carry on tracking. It does look like a solid 1-3/2-4 inch event for many on the board.

Doc and CP Frank makes this decision like it was a simple one.  We got into a brutal rock em sockem fight to determine "weather" or not to open back up the other thread.  I believe someone caught it on their phones video feature and posted it on you tube.  It was quite the fight actually

To be...or NOT to be...

I have never seen Frank close a thread for a storm and then reopen it!!

amugs wrote:I have never seen Frank close a thread for a storm and then reopen it!!

The power of CP, mugsy!

Partly cloudy, cold.Looks like a slop mess tomorrow and tomorrow night with a few inches.NWS honking about Sunday -Monday now.

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:If the 12z RGEM verifies I think the people in the northern part of our forum are owed an apology for closing the Jan 26th storm thread early. Are we not people too?

We will make our voices heard.

Norlun trough on 3K NAM as well as regular NAM

Who ants a piece of PV this weekend??



Wind Chill Temperatures Sunday morning

amugs wrote:Who ants a piece of PV this weekend??



Wind Chill Temperatures Sunday morning

Yes, a TPV lobe is coming right down the shoot. Should lay down a nice antecedent air mass.

Saturday earl AM temps

Friday morning temps:



Saturday morning temps:



Sunday morning temps

PV comes basically just to the North of us and its not in and out in 24 hours as I showed and Frank its a 3 dayer Friday through Sunday into Monday. See teh NAO can be a curse and a blessing.

MOMMA MIA THESE WIND CHILLS FRIDAY MORNING!!

A piece of the polar vortex has decided to visit New England this weekend, and it will bring apparent temperatures below 0° F on Friday morning. Let’s all give it a warm NYC welcome! pic.twitter.com/wKX448xU20

— New York Metro Weather (@nymetrowx) January 27, 2021

26* and Partly Cloudy. Cold out there but this will actually be the warmest morning for the next several days. In fact High temperatures tomorrow and this weekend may struggle to top today’s lows. That arctic  air is paying a visit and today is its arrival.