February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast

Good Morning snow lovers! What a day this will be.

Heavy snow in Hopatcong, temp hovering in the low 20s. Just measured about 10 inches on the ground already....how crazy is that???? I saw Morristown reported 8 about an hour ago, so that seems right to me.

Coming down hard big flakes about 27 degrees and ill measure in a bit.

Big dendrites and moderate to heavy snow here in St. James

New Hope update: light snow, a few big flakes, 27*, light wind

Just got a EAS alert on phone NYC has put a FULL travel restriction including all the boroughs, no cars are to be out. Not sure what will happen if your caught but I would advise against.

Just measured 9 inches on the ground. It is snowing like crazy big flakes and wind picking up. What a seen. Enjoy everyone and stay safe.

My bad its not a full travel ban, its a advisory and discourages non-essential travel, phone said travel ban.

Good Morning Everyone
Coming down pretty hard right now! winds kicked in we just had a gust of 22

almost 7 inches on the ground right now..if it stopped right now I would be happy...but here we go!!! The cherry on the sundae is coming!!

Blowing snow varying in intensity. Just a delicacy of delight outside right now.

just got back from my first shovel....there's about 5" in hempstead didn't use the blower yet(saving that for the main event later)

Those under these heavy yellow bands are seeing 2-3" per hour snows

Is HRRR correct in showing 20 inches up into albany now for Math?!!

amugs wrote:Those under these heavy yellow bands are seeing 2-3" per hour snows

INCOMING!!! YO (Slang for Yonkers lol) IN DA HOUSE

Coastal is getting its act together as the bands are rotating in off the ocean and we are getting deeper echo returns. All that latent heat from teh primary is going to make this go boom shortly !!

Bernie still talking about change over into Southern parts of NYC, and dry slotting towards evening, thoughts?

amugs wrote:Those under these heavy yellow bands are seeing 2-3" per hour snows

I am in that band now snowing hard and winds are howling how is it by you

27* with moderate snow. Some sleet actually mixed in here pattering my window but predominately snow. I expect with these heavy bands settling here any sleet I have mixed into the snow will go back to all snow very shortly. Looks gorgeous out there!

Just finished snow blowing and shoveling. Reporting 6 inches. Snow dendrites getting larger. Coastal starting to take shape.

frank 638 wrote:

amugs wrote:Those under these heavy yellow bands are seeing 2-3" per hour snows

I am in that band now snowing hard and winds are howling how is it by you

hey frank, lots snow here but not much wind, then again id have to go out of my building area to see if its really windy, we are kinda sheltered.

This means its getting its act together - these are things atmospherically we see the classic storms/nor'easters. It's COMING!

Gravity waves in NJ! Indicative of a VERY strong storm! pic.twitter.com/vDv0sm9K4q

— Ed Vallee | Empire Weather LLC (@EdValleeWx) February 1, 2021

amugs wrote:This means its getting its act together - these are things atmospherically we see the classic storms/nor'easters. It's COMING!

Gravity waves in NJ! Indicative of a VERY strong storm! pic.twitter.com/vDv0sm9K4q

— Ed Vallee | Empire Weather LLC (@EdValleeWx) February 1, 2021

woah wth is that?!! cool. looks like a earthquake in the sky. They even travel a bit into southern westchester and western LI, what does that do at the surface?

jmanley32 wrote:

frank 638 wrote:

amugs wrote:Those under these heavy yellow bands are seeing 2-3" per hour snows

I am in that band now snowing hard and winds are howling how is it by you

hey frank, lots snow here but not much wind, then again id have to go out of my building area to see if its really windy, we are kinda sheltered.

In more ways than one JMAN!! LOL!u
Winds are and will pick up. Be careful for what yo wish for sometimes when this bad boy gets cranking!. Just a delicacy of delight outside - 24* and moderately to heavy snow - heavy now 1" per hour rates.
Radar returns are juicy and getting juicier like a fruit that is rippening!
AT this rate we can see a good 12-20" depending on where your at and if those bands train over you.
Those banned maps ???

Absolutely puking snow right now in West Orange. Basically whiteout conditions. Beautiful to watch.

Our 500mb trough already in a neutral state. Once this fully closes off we'll begin seeing the secondary low slow down and gradually intensity as it gets captured.



Nothing major to call out with the SLP. Its position looks more or less with where the 6z GFS had it. I will say its pretty impressive the primary has already evaporated. Makes me think this trough means business. The banding that sets up later today will be prolific, historic, and majestic.



This area of 700mb frontogenesis will literally expand and explode north as we progress through the day. Once the 850mb LLJ takes over (around noon-ish), it's going to be vomiting snow in and around NYC.



Here is your current r/s line. What this isn't picking up is a warm layer in and just north of Philly. That includes west-central NJ. This warm layer should mix itself out once the coastal low gets going, but I will admit it was not predicted and could eat in to snow accumulations.



This storm will have surprises in store. I admit my forecast already looks on the high side for southern areas (DC-Philly-SNJ), but I still feel good about the north side. Let's see what happens!!!!!!!!!!!

Welcome to February folks!

Column has crashed completely. Nice big dendrites. The kind that accumulate rapidly.

26.6/25

amugs wrote:

jmanley32 wrote:

frank 638 wrote:

amugs wrote:Those under these heavy yellow bands are seeing 2-3" per hour snows

I am in that band now snowing hard and winds are howling how is it by you

hey frank, lots snow here but not much wind, then again id have to go out of my building area to see if its really windy, we are kinda sheltered.

In more ways than one JMAN!! LOL!u
Winds are and will pick up. Be careful for what yo wish for sometimes when this bad boy gets cranking!. Just a delicacy of delight outside - 24* and moderately to heavy snow - heavy now 1" per hour rates.
Radar returns are juicy and getting juicier like a fruit that is rippening!
AT this rate we can see a good 12-20" depending on where your at and if those bands train over you.
Those banned maps ???

I am def not a sheltered person, im from da streets yo lol, yeas i def go see 12+ already halfway there and a inch or so since they went through with snowblower a half hr ago!!