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February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part V: Continued Onslaught

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Post by jmanley32 Mon Feb 01, 2021 2:44 pm

approx, and i mean wide approx do you guys think (frank hehaw mugs etc will my area see?) which model most closely got it right. Is it safe to say could get what franks map shows but thei higher end? I am basically at the low end already. Just not sure what to expect now that the major band is N and SW of me. Also does that band pull back through the area once the storm starts moving more east?
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Post by docstox12 Mon Feb 01, 2021 2:45 pm

Ripping, roaring the last hour.Has to be 3 inch plus rate! 23 degrees and blitzing snow!
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Post by mmanisca Mon Feb 01, 2021 2:47 pm

@aiannone wrote:Still coming down heavy here
February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part V: Continued Onslaught - Page 3 57e6e610
Kind of light but steady here..
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Post by Zhukov1945 Mon Feb 01, 2021 2:48 pm

@billg315 wrote:
@heehaw453 wrote:sleet is over for most of us and I don't expect it to rear its head again with mid-level storm further off the coast.  Very heavy snow for past 45 minutes.  

Bring it!

Not done here yet. I have heavy sleet right now. Hopefully it is short-lived and I go back to the heavy snow soon.

Just to the north of you its flipping back and forth every two minutes.
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Post by Radz Mon Feb 01, 2021 2:49 pm

Easily 3” per hr rates for a while- absolutely insane- so glad it’s a daytime event! 22* - over a foot so far...
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Post by billg315 Mon Feb 01, 2021 2:51 pm

@Zhukov1945 wrote:
@billg315 wrote:
@heehaw453 wrote:sleet is over for most of us and I don't expect it to rear its head again with mid-level storm further off the coast.  Very heavy snow for past 45 minutes.  

Bring it!

Not done here yet. I have heavy sleet right now. Hopefully it is short-lived and I go back to the heavy snow soon.

Just to the north of you its flipping back and forth every two minutes.

I think we go back to all snow soon. With this cold air pouring in these midlevels have to cool down very soon.
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Post by richb521 Mon Feb 01, 2021 2:53 pm

@heehaw453 wrote:
@billg315 wrote:I am getting pelted with heavy sleet still. After the blizzard this morning I'm now in a full-on sleet-fest!

It's going to switch back soon.  I'm absolutely ripping right now.  

Hopefully we will switch back soon in Hillsborough too. Looks like we are in a lull right now but wind is picking up.

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Post by heehaw453 Mon Feb 01, 2021 2:53 pm

Very soon you'll be all snow.  There is cyclonic curvature to the banding now.  That means more NE fetch as opposed to the E fetch.  The mid-levels will crash completely everywhere.

February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part V: Continued Onslaught - Page 3 Radar10

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Post by 1190ftalt Mon Feb 01, 2021 2:53 pm

12 inches in Stillwater NJ at 1190 feet altitude. Snowing heavy, 24 degrees out, just got done shoveling the roof and driveway.February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part V: Continued Onslaught - Page 3 Eaae7510
February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part V: Continued Onslaught - Page 3 F6627110
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Post by Scullybutcher Mon Feb 01, 2021 2:53 pm

It’s picked up and stayed a nice intensity here again
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Post by DAYBLAZER Mon Feb 01, 2021 2:56 pm

Using that excellent snow reporting link Frank provided earlier, a trained spotter in Hopatcong (who apparently lives in my neighborhood) posted 20 inches as of 2PM.

Being as I can no longer see my 18 inch ruler outside, I would say that is accurate. Looks like we are leading the charge up here. No mixing either.

Frank-- you had this area in 20-25 inch range, and that is now officially verified.
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Post by Irish Mon Feb 01, 2021 2:57 pm

@Rooster89 wrote:
@Frank_Wx wrote:
@Rooster89 wrote:I’m a little confused, based off the radar it looks like we’re about done. Can someone explain what’s happening next cause I feel like it’s supposed to be heavy snow until later from what I’ve read.

Important to look at this from a wide view. Bands keep forming off the coast and pivoting inland. Our CCB seems to be here now, and its poised to do damage across WNJ-NWNJ-EPA

February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part V: Continued Onslaught - Page 3 >station=DIX&brand=wui&num=6&delay=15&type=N0R&frame=0&scale=1.000&noclutter=0&lat=0&lon=0&label=you&showstorms=0&map.x=400&map

Thanks for the response. I’m in Monmouth county close to the raritan and about 10 miles directly south of NYC by water so im assuming we’re getting more by what you said.

https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/index.php?type=OKX-N0Q-1-24#

http://sirocco.accuweather.com/nxssa_r1_h_500x620d/r1h/inxr1Kphla_h.gif

Are any other bands going to form off the water and hit eastern/ central Jersey?

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Post by heehaw453 Mon Feb 01, 2021 3:01 pm

If the 18Z NAM is right, then record setting snowfall will occur with this snowstorm. Based upon what's yet to fall.

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Post by Joe Snow Mon Feb 01, 2021 3:08 pm

Latest HRRR shows the low doing a loop dee loop heading NW then south then North again, ............ HAHAHA


Last edited by Joe Snow on Mon Feb 01, 2021 3:13 pm; edited 1 time in total
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Post by billg315 Mon Feb 01, 2021 3:10 pm

I actually feel pretty good about my Final Call map from yesterday morning as well. My jackpot zone (dark orange was 20-30”) should have been further south like Frank’s. Had it about 20 miles too far North. Oh well. Frank’s map wins again! As always (of course, lol)!
February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part V: Continued Onslaught - Page 3 D541e210

Green was 2-4
Yellow was 4-8
Blue was 8-14
Light Orange was 14-20
Dark Orange was 20-30
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Post by Grselig Mon Feb 01, 2021 3:10 pm

damn. just measured 17 inches on my deck. Windy moderate to heavy snow falling.
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Post by Zhukov1945 Mon Feb 01, 2021 3:17 pm

Anyone see how close we are to the sleet finally ending?  The false starts keep collapsing and its uber painful for a snow lover...

Like its not even trying to snow anymore. Just pure, intense, heavy sleet.


Last edited by Zhukov1945 on Mon Feb 01, 2021 3:20 pm; edited 1 time in total
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Post by Joe Snow Mon Feb 01, 2021 3:17 pm

More intense banding setting up on LI south shore, heading north west BRING IT!!!
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Post by billg315 Mon Feb 01, 2021 3:21 pm

@Zhukov1945 wrote:Anyone see how close we are to the sleet finally ending?  The false starts keep collapsing and its uber painful for a snow lover...

I just looked at the Dual-Pol radar to try to get an idea. The sleet zone over our area seems to be shrinking a bit. I don't think it will be too much longer. The banding is starting to rotate and will soon be coming more north/northeast direction, so we should go back to all snow when that happens as it will be a colder source.

However a dryslot is moving into our area, so we'll have to get through that as well and wait for the banding to our west to fill back in east.


Last edited by billg315 on Mon Feb 01, 2021 3:22 pm; edited 1 time in total
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Post by Zhukov1945 Mon Feb 01, 2021 3:22 pm

@Zhukov1945 wrote:Anyone see how close we are to the sleet finally ending?  The false starts keep collapsing and its uber painful for a snow lover...

Like its not even trying to snow anymore.  Just pure, intense, heavy sleet.

https://twitter.com/NWS_MountHolly/status/1356335823327801347?s=20

This answers my own question.
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Post by WeatherBob Mon Feb 01, 2021 3:24 pm

Hey Grselig, around 17 here in Caldwell too
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Post by SNOW MAN Mon Feb 01, 2021 3:25 pm

heehaw are those more intense bands going to move up my way ?
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Post by billg315 Mon Feb 01, 2021 3:27 pm

This dry slot needs to fill in before Central NJ gets back into the heavy snow. May happen as the storm wraps up tighter this evening.February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part V: Continued Onslaught - Page 3 87c9f610
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Post by dsix85 Mon Feb 01, 2021 3:28 pm

It just got really dark here in Manorville, the dark you see before a thunderstorm

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Post by 2004blackwrx Mon Feb 01, 2021 3:31 pm

8.5 inches so far. the last 3.5 inches came in the last 1.5 hours. cold 22 degrees light and fluffy snow.

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