Monday's N&W Snowfall
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Monday's N&W Snowfall
_________________
Mugs
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Location : Hillsdale,NJ
Re: Monday's N&W Snowfall
12 Z EURO until 18Z comes out


_________________
Mugs
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 51
Location : Hillsdale,NJ
Re: Monday's N&W Snowfall
18 Z 3K NAM agrees


_________________
Mugs
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Join date : 2013-01-07
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Re: Monday's N&W Snowfall
I'm seeing a lot of discussion on media that this snow won't accumulate and not a big deal as late February sun will mitigate accumulations since it occurs during the day.
Hmm I'm at 26.2/14.6 right now which is a good overrunning surface that will wet bulb nicely. Moreover, if rates approach 1-2"/hr it will accumulate and rapidly. I've seen 1-2"/hr easily accumulate in mid March quite easily. Will be interesting to see how this plays out.
Hmm I'm at 26.2/14.6 right now which is a good overrunning surface that will wet bulb nicely. Moreover, if rates approach 1-2"/hr it will accumulate and rapidly. I've seen 1-2"/hr easily accumulate in mid March quite easily. Will be interesting to see how this plays out.
heehaw453- Posts : 1599
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Location : Bedminster Township, PA
heehaw453- Posts : 1599
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Join date : 2014-01-20
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Re: Monday's N&W Snowfall
Absolutely people think Sun Angle will save them - it still Feb for goodness sake and this happen to be 1" hr rates plus you stick no doubt.@heehaw453 wrote:I'm seeing a lot of discussion on media that this snow won't accumulate and not a big deal as late February sun will mitigate accumulations since it occurs during the day.
Hmm I'm at 26.2/14.6 right now which is a good overrunning surface that will wet bulb nicely. Moreover, if rates approach 1-2"/hr it will accumulate and rapidly. I've seen 1-2"/hr easily accumulate in mid March quite easily. Will be interesting to see how this plays out.
No will it be all 3" on roadway maybe not but Do NOT POO PPO this for N & W areas especially with elevations.
HRDPS = GEM LAM goes full bore

_________________
Mugs
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: Monday's N&W Snowfall
I think it has had a SW bias this winter with most of the storms but time will tell - 18 Z EURO up next. Imagine if this were mid December?? This board would be lighting up like a Xmas Tree! This is what we can Winter Fatigue!!!!
_________________
Mugs
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 51
Location : Hillsdale,NJ
Re: Monday's N&W Snowfall
Tuesday snow shower to follow up??


_________________
Mugs
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Join date : 2013-01-07
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Re: Monday's N&W Snowfall
RAP HUMINA BABY!!

_________________
Mugs
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Join date : 2013-01-07
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Location : Hillsdale,NJ
Re: Monday's N&W Snowfall
HRRR wowza


_________________
Mugs
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: Monday's N&W Snowfall
Daytime snow in late Feb/March all comes down to two things: 1.) was a layer of snow put down before the sun comes up (ie has the snow started accumulating before daybreak and can just build on what already is accumulating); and 2. What is the intensity of snowfall. We don’t have #1 tomorrow, so it comes down to intensity. In March 2018 I was reminded how snow will accumulate despite sun angle in March as long as it is moderate to heavy and ground temps are close to freezing. I think N&W of I-95 surface temps will be close enough to freezing that any moderate to heavy snow will stick. I could see a few hours of decent snow rates from this with 2-4” sticking. Major, well traveled, treated highways may not get too bad but side roads could see decent accumulation.
billg315- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: Monday's N&W Snowfall
21/9 here. Amazing it’s going to rain tmw. What a bummer to have to watch the snowpack melt away tmw
aiannone- Advanced Forecaster
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weatherwatchermom likes this post
Re: Monday's N&W Snowfall
Mugs. Rain for Long Island?
oldtimer- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Monday's N&W Snowfall
Alex. No chance for us at all? Can’t shift se 30 40 miles?
oldtimer- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Monday's N&W Snowfall
_________________
Mugs
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
- Posts : 12120
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Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 51
Location : Hillsdale,NJ
Re: Monday's N&W Snowfall
EURO steady as she goes 3 runs in a row now with this look

Temps wet bulb under heavier bands so 34 = 32/31


Temps wet bulb under heavier bands so 34 = 32/31

_________________
Mugs
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 51
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Re: Monday's N&W Snowfall
0Z NAM ticks colder yet again more E and S.
.png.99894d2bec332d90827f5b7ebed7fc6b.png)
.png.99894d2bec332d90827f5b7ebed7fc6b.png)
_________________
Mugs
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
- Posts : 12120
Reputation : 211
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 51
Location : Hillsdale,NJ
Re: Monday's N&W Snowfall
3K NAM is too.
Start time 11-12 West to East
END TIME 4-5PM

Start time 11-12 West to East
END TIME 4-5PM

_________________
Mugs
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
- Posts : 12120
Reputation : 211
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 51
Location : Hillsdale,NJ
Re: Monday's N&W Snowfall
This should cause stickage to roads


_________________
Mugs
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
- Posts : 12120
Reputation : 211
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 51
Location : Hillsdale,NJ
CPcantmeasuresnow likes this post
Re: Monday's N&W Snowfall
Gfs trends cder and snowier too with its dry bias
.png.ee047440dc70bcc54eaf96524af12634.png)
.png.ee047440dc70bcc54eaf96524af12634.png)
_________________
Mugs
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
- Posts : 12120
Reputation : 211
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 51
Location : Hillsdale,NJ
Re: Monday's N&W Snowfall
HRRR dropped a shoot with this output.


_________________
Mugs
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
- Posts : 12120
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Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 51
Location : Hillsdale,NJ
Re: Monday's N&W Snowfall
Wel lthat shows several inches IMBY, is that possible? I was fully expecting a rainy day, might it be accumulating snow buy this map?
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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heehaw453- Posts : 1599
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Re: Monday's N&W Snowfall
Nws bumped up from 1-2 to 2-4 here.
docstox12- Wx Statistician Guru
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Re: Monday's N&W Snowfall
Well doc and CP this is a razor thin cutoff where that extra 20 to 25 miles north would give me 2 to 4 and instead rain here. I might just take a drive up to 287 to see the snow. So crazy its go rain here and 20 min drive or less with no traffic and boom 2 to 4. It is what it is but dang.
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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